Opinion polling for the next Romanian legislative election
In preparation for the next Romanian legislative election, which will take place no later than March 2025, various polling companies and organisations from Romania have already (since December 2020 onwards) been carrying out a series of opinion polling to gauge voting intention among the overall electorate.
The results of all these opinion polls are showcased in the table from down below in this Wikipedia article. The date range is between shortly after the previous legislative election, held on 6 December 2020, to the present-day during early 2022.
Polls
2022
| Date | Poll source | Sample size | PSD | PNL | USR | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PRO | ALDE[1] | PUSL | PER | APP | FD | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12–20 Apr 2022 | Avangarde | 906 | 36 | 19 | 11 | 14 | 5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 16.0 | 17.0 |
| 28 Mar–11 Apr 2022 | CURS | 2,750 | 35 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | N/A | 2 | N/A | 1 | 1 | 2.0 | 12.0 |
| 22–29 Mar 2022 | Avangarde | 900 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 15 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 22.0 | 19.0 |
| 2–11 Mar 2022 | CURS | 1,172 | 36 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | N/A | 4 | 2 | 2 | N/A | 3.0 | 16.0 |
| 2–7 Mar 2022 | INSCOP | 1,077 | 32 | 19.9 | 10.8 | 18.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 18.4 | 13.6 |
| 9–19 Feb 2022 | Sociopol | 1,001 | 35 | 16 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 18.0 |
| 20–31 Jan 2022 | Avangarde | 903 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 18 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 19.0 | 17.0 |
| 22–29 Jan 2022 | CURS | 1,003 | 35 | 17 | 10 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 18.0 |
| 10–18 Jan 2022 | INSCOP | 1,162 | 34.3 | 16.6 | 12.5 | 20.6 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 2.9 | N/A | 1.3 | N/A | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 13.7 |
| 6 December 2020 | 2020 Chamber election | N/A | 28.90 | 25.18 | 15.37 | 9.08 | 5.74 | 4.82 | 4.09 | 1.19 | 1.12 | N/A | N/A | 6.82 | 3.72 | |
| 2020 Senate election | N/A | 29.32 | 25.58 | 15.86 | 9.17 | 5.89 | 4.93 | 4.13 | 1.01 | 1.33 | N/A | N/A | 5.12 | 3.74 | ||
- ALDE is no longer active at any political level since late March 2022, having been entirely absorbed by the PNL in the meantime.
2021
| Date | Poll source | Sample size | PSD | PNL | FD | USR | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PRO | ALDE | PUSL | PER | APP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15–23 Dec 2021 | Avangarde | 907 | 39.0 | 18.0 | N/A | 10.0 | 17.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | N/A | 4.0 | N/A | 1.0 | 1.0 | 21.0 |
| 17–22 Dec 2021 | Sociopol | 1,001 | 33.0 | 15.0 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 23.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | N/A | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 |
| 13–17 Dec 2021 | CURS | 1,100 | 38.0 | 19.0 | N/A | 11.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | N/A | N/A | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 5.0 | 19.0 |
| 25 Nov 2021 | The Ciucă Cabinet, supported by a grand coalition consisting of the PNL, PSD, and UDMR, is voted and invested | |||||||||||||||
| 16–24 Nov 2021 | Avangarde | 906 | 40.0 | 17.0 | N/A | 11.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 23.0 |
| 17–22 Nov 2021 | CURS | 1,100 | 38.0 | 18.0 | N/A | 11.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | N/A | N/A | 3.0 | 20.0 |
| 9–12 Nov 2021 | PPU | 1,023 | 30.5 | 3.0 | 7.5 | 23.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 2.5 | N/A | 2.5 | 1.0 | 7.5 |
| before 3 Nov 2021 | FL | 1,217 | 34.0 | 8.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | N/A | 2.0 | 4.0 | 14.0 | |
| 25–30 Oct 2021 | CURS | 1,100 | 39.0 | 19.0 | N/A | 11.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | N/A | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 20.0 |
| 17–26 Oct 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 40.0 | 17.0 | N/A | 13.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 0.0 | 23.0 |
| 15–25 Oct 2021 | INSCOP | 1,100 | 35.5 | 21.9 | N/A | 12.4 | 14.2 | 5.0 | 2.9 | 3.2 | N/A | 0.5 | N/A | 1.7 | 2.8 | 13.6 |
| 12–20 Oct 2021 | CURS | 1,202 | 39.0 | 21.0 | N/A | 11.0 | 13.0 | 5.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 11.0 | 18.0 |
| 12–17 Oct 2021 | APP | 1,122 | 30.0 | 3.0 | 11.5 | 17.5 | 17.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 1.5 | N/A | N/A | 3.5 | 1.0 | 12.5 |
| 12–17 Oct 2021 | INSCOP | 1,100 | 36.7 | 19.8 | N/A | 16.4 | 15.3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 3.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.8 | 16.9 |
| 11–15 Oct 2021 | Sociopol | 1,002 | 32.0 | 20.0 | N/A | 13.0 | 21.0 | 6.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| 26–29 Sep 2021 | Gazeta Civică | 1,202 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 18.0 | 17.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | 3.0 | 2.0 | 10.0 | |
| 28 Sep 2021 | INSOMAR | 1,030 | 31.6 | 25.9 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 4.6 | 2.5 | 2.3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.2 | 0.0 | 5.7 | |
| 15–27 Sep 2021 | INSCOP | 1,204 | 35.4 | 21.9 | 9.8 | 17.1 | N/A | 2.9 | 4.4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.5 | 13.5 | |
| 14–21 Sep 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 37.0 | 20.0 | 13.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 1.0 | 17.0 | |
| 8–10 Sep 2021 | CURS | 861 | 36.0 | 19.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 1.0 | 17.0 | |
| 3–5 Sep 2021 | CURS | 853 | 35.0 | 20.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 15.0 | |
| 1 Sep 2021 | The 2021 Romanian political crisis begins, leading to the break-up of the centre-right government coalition and a PNL splinter | |||||||||||||||
| 20–24 Aug 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 35.0 | 21.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | N/A | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.0[lower-alpha 1] | 14.0 | |
| 12–20 Aug 2021 | CURS | 1,067 | 34.0 | 20.0 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 3.0 | 14.0 | |
| 15–19 Aug 2021 | IRES | 1,006 | 35.0 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 8.0 | |
| 26 Jul 2021 | INSOMAR | N/A | 38.1 | 15.1 | 11.1 | 15.0 | 5.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 15.8 | 23.0 | |
| 9–19 Jul 2021 | Avangarde | 903 | 34.0 | 23.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 10.0 | 11.0 | |
| 1–15 Jul 2021 | Sociopol | 1,100 | 31.0 | 27.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | N/A | 3.0 | 4.0 | |
| 24 Jun 2021 | INSOMAR | 1,030 | 22.9 | 25.0 | 15.0 | 18.0 | 5.1 | N/A | 2.0 | 2.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 7.2 | 2.1 | |
| 11–18 Jun 2021 | CURS | 1,067 | 34.0 | 22.0 | 14.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | 4.0 | 12.0 | |
| 1–15 Jun 2021 | INSCOP | 1,100 | 30.2 | 26.6 | 13.2 | 14.2 | N/A | 2.8 | 4.3 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.7 | 3.6 | |
| 18 May 2021 | Sociopol | 1,100 | 36 | 22 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | N/A | 1.0[lower-alpha 2] | 14.0 | |
| 18 May 2021 | IRES | 1,100 | 36.0 | 28.0 | 11.0 | 14.0 | 3.0 | N/A | 3.0 | N/A | N/A | 1.0 | N/A | 8.0 | 8.0 | |
| 1–8 May 2021 | Avangarde | 900 | 36.0 | 23.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | N/A | 1.0 | 1.0 | N/A | 2.0 | 13.0 | |
| 7 May 2021 | INSOMAR | 1,030 | 22.1 | 23.5 | 13.6 | 15.5 | 8.6 | 4.6 | 4.1 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 8.4 | 1.4 | |
| 14–17 Apr 2021 | CURS | 1,107 | 33.0 | 21.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | N/A | 4.0 | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 12.0 | |
| 30 Mar–11 Apr 2021 | BCS[2] | 1,420 | 28.9 | 22.3 | 22.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 4.2 | 2.9 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 5.1 | 6.4 | |
| 12–28 Mar 2021 | Sociopol | N/A | 35.0 | 26.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 1.0 | 9.0 | |
| 22–26 Feb 2021 | CURS | 1,100 | 34.0 | 25.0 | 16.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | N/A | 3.0 | N/A | N/A | 4.0 | 10.0 | |
| 10–14 Feb 2021 | PER | 1,055 | 33.0 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | N/A | 3.0 | N/A | 4.0 | 8.0 | |
| 9–11 Feb 2021 | INSOMAR | 1,030 | 28.0 | 27.0 | 14.0 | 16.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 4.0 | 1.0 | |
| 15–17 Jan 2021 | Avangarde | 710 | 34.0 | 24.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 3.0 | 10.0 | |
| 11–15 Jan 2021 | CURS | 1,100 | 34.0 | 26.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 8.0 | |
| 17–21 Dec 2020 | CURS | 1,100 | 35.0 | 26.0 | 14.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 9.0 | |
| 10–20 Dec 2020 | Avangarde | 900 | 35.0 | 26.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 2.0 | 9.0 | |
| 6 December 2020 | 2020 Chamber election | N/A | 28.90 | 25.18 | 15.37 | 9.08 | 5.74 | 4.82 | 4.09 | 1.19 | 1.12 | N/A | 6.82 | 3.72 | ||
| 2020 Senate election | N/A | 29.32 | 25.58 | 15.86 | 9.17 | 5.89 | 4.93 | 4.13 | 1.01 | 1.33 | N/A | 5.12 | 3.74 | |||
Seats projection
| Date | Poll source | PSD | PNL | USR | AUR | UDMR | PMP | PRO | APP | FD | Nat. min. | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17–22 Dec 2021 | Sociopol | 117 | 53 | 42 | 82 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 35 |
| 17–26 Oct 2021 | Avangarde | 140 | 59 | 46 | 49 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 81 |
| 12–17 Oct 2021 | INSCOP | 125 | 68 | 56 | 52 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 57 |
| 12–17 Oct 2021 | APP | 109 | 42 | 63 | 62 | 14 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 46 |
| 26–29 Sep 2021 | Gazeta Civică | 95 | 57 | 61 | 59 | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 34 |
| 28 Sep 2021 | INSOMAR | 104 | 85 | 49 | 56 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 |
| 9–19 Jul 2021 | Avangarde | 118 | 80 | 45 | 52 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 38 |
| 11–15 Jan 2021 | CURS | 113 | 88 | 53 | 40 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 25 |
| 6 December 2020 | 2020 Chamber election | 110 | 93[3] | 55 | 33 | 21 | 0 | 0 | N/A | PNL | 18 | 17 |
Approval ratings
| Date | Poll source | Sample size | Ciolacu PSD |
Ciucă PNL |
Cîțu PNL |
Orban PNL/FD |
Cioloș USR |
Barna USR |
Dragu USR |
Simion AUR |
Kelemen UDMR |
Diaconescu PMP |
Băsescu PMP |
President Iohannis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 22 | CURS | N/A | 27.0 | 27.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 13.0 | N/A | N/A | 21.0 | 13.0 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 18.0 |
| 17–26 Oct 21 | Avangarde | 900 | 25.0 | N/A | 7.0 | 9.0 | 13.0 | 9.0 | N/A | 20.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 14.0 |
| 14–21 Sep 21 | Avangarde | 900 | 33.0 | N/A | 14.0 | 16.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | N/A | 14.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A | 30.0 |
| 12–20 Aug 21 | CURS | 1,100 | 27.0 | N/A | 18.0 | 16.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 15.0 | 12.0 | 17.0 | 11.0 | 32.0 |
| 11–18 Jun 21 | CURS | 1,067 | 26.0 | N/A | 19.0 | 18.0 | 15.0 | 14.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 11.0 | 17.0 | 14.0 | 33.0 |
| 6 May 21 | INSOMAR | 1,030 | 20.1 | N/A | N/A | 21.9 | 8.2 | 12.0 | N/A | 14.1 | N/A | 8.3 | N/A | N/A |
| 14–17 Apr 21 | CURS | 1,107 | 26.0 | N/A | 24.0 | 20.0 | 16.0 | 15.0 | N/A | 21.0 | 13.0 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11 Apr 21 | BCS | 1,420 | 14.0 | N/A | 21.6 | 17.5 | 18.6 | 16.8 | N/A | 12.2 | 6.5 | 11.8 | 16.6 | N/A |
| 22–26 Feb 21 | CURS | 1,100 | 25.0 | N/A | 17.0 | 20.0 | 14.0 | 18.0 | 14.0 | 20.0 | 18.0 | N/A | N/A | 37.0 |
2021 political crisis poll
| Polling firm | Date | Question | Iohannis | PNL | USR | Cîțu | PSD | N/A[4] |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avangarde[5] | Oct 2021 | Who is the main culprit for the current political crisis? | 18% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 1% | 48% |
Approval ratings for former Prime Minister Florin Cîțu (April–October 2021)
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Florin Cîțu | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
 |
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Net | |||
| CURS | 25–30 Oct 2021 | 1,100 | 10.0 | 81.0 | 9.0 | −71.0 |
| Avangarde | 17–26 Oct 2021 | 900 | 7.0 | 74.0 | 19.0 | −67.0 |
| Avangarde | 14–21 Sep 2021 | 900 | 14.0 | 61.0 | 25.0 | −47.0 |
| CURS | 12–20 Aug 2021 | 1,100 | 18.0 | 77.0 | 5.0 | −59.0 |
| CURS | 11–18 Jun 2021 | 1,067 | 19.0 | 75.0 | 6.0 | −56.0 |
| CURS | 14–17 Apr 2021 | 1,107 | 24.0 | 69.0 | 7.0 | −45.0 |
| BCS | 11 Apr 2021 | 1,420 | 21.6 | 68.5 | 9.8 | −46.9 |
National approval rating
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Is Romania going on a good path/direction? | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
Net | |||
| Approved | Disapproval | |||||
| Avangarde | 17–26 Oct 2021 | 900 | 8.0 | 80.0 | 12.0 | −72.0 |
References
- ALDE is no longer an active political party at any level, having been entirely absorbed by the PNL during late March 2022.
- BCS - Biroul de Cercetări Sociale (11 April 2021). "Credințe și valori în societatea românească 30 martie - 11 aprilie 2021". Retrieved 10 November 2021.
- Subsequently, several deputies decided to leave the PNL and follow former PNL president Ludovic Orban in his new political project FD, after PNL decided to form a new cabinet with PSD; therefore PNL has 79 deputies now whereas FD has 13.
- Don't know/No opinion
- Avangarde (27 October 2021). "Barometrul Opiniei Publice Național Octombrie 2021" (PDF). Retrieved 10 November 2021.
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