Opinion polling for the next German federal election
In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
Poll results
Graphical summary
2022
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,146 | – | 23 | 27 | 19 | 9.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,508 | – | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 25–29 Apr 2022 | 1,202 | – | 23 | 26 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Apr 2022 | 1,170 | 21 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Infratest dimap | 25–27 Apr 2022 | 1,314 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| Kantar | 19–26 Apr 2022 | 1,431 | – | 23 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 2,056 | – | 24 | 26.5 | 18 | 9 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 2.5 |
| GMS | 20–25 Apr 2022 | 1,003 | – | 26 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | Tie |
| Forsa | 19–25 Apr 2022 | 2,507 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 1 |
| Civey | 8–25 Apr 2022 | 10,011 | – | 24 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | − | 24.5 | 22.5 | 22 | 11 | 8.5 | 3 | 8.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 19–22 Apr 2022 | 1,296 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Kantar | 12–19 Apr 2022 | 1,715 | – | 25 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 15–18 Apr 2022 | 2,073 | – | 23.5 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 4.5 | 7 | 2.5 |
| Forsa | 12–14 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 11–14 Apr 2022 | 1,402 | – | 25 | 26 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| Infratest dimap | 11–12 Apr 2022 | 1,226 | – | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 2 |
| YouGov | 8–12 Apr 2022 | 1,643 | – | 21 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 6–12 Apr 2022 | 1,960 | – | 26 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,061 | – | 25 | 27 | 17.5 | 9 | 11 | 4.5 | 6 | 2 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Apr 2022 | 2,500 | 25 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 4–8 Apr 2022 | 1,503 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Apr 2022 | 1,230 | 21 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Infratest dimap | 4–6 Apr 2022 | 1,325 | – | 24 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Allensbach | 25 Mar – 6 Apr 2022 | 1,075 | – | 28 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| Kantar | 30 Mar – 5 Apr 2022 | 1,437 | – | 27 | 25 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 2,450 | − | 27 | 25.5 | 19 | 8.5 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Apr 2022 | 2,063 | – | 25 | 26 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 6 | 1 |
| Forsa | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 2,508 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
| Ipsos | 1 Apr 2022 | 912 | – | 25 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| INSA | 25 Mar – 1 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 7 | Tie |
| Kantar | 23–29 Mar 2022 | 1,428 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 2,070 | – | 25 | 26 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 1 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Mar 2022 | 2,507 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| INSA | 21–25 Mar 2022 | 1,205 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 6 | Tie |
| Kantar | 16–22 Mar 2022 | 1,429 | – | 26 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 18–21 Mar 2022 | 2,122 | – | 24.5 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 11 | 11 | 4.5 | 6 | 2 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Allensbach | 9–21 Mar 2022 | 1,041 | – | 25 | 25 | 17 | 10.5 | 10 | 5 | 7.5 | Tie |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 1,923 | − | 26.5 | 25.5 | 18.5 | 10 | 8.5 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 14–18 Mar 2022 | 1,198 | – | 26 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 7 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 15–16 Mar 2022 | 1,254 | – | 25 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Kantar | 9–15 Mar 2022 | 1,416 | – | 26 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 7 | Tie |
| INSA | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 2,073 | – | 25 | 25.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 8 | 0.5 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Mar 2022 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| INSA | 7–11 Mar 2022 | 1,201 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Mar 2022 | 1,345 | 19 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| YouGov | 4–8 Mar 2022 | 1,629 | – | 23 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Kantar | 2–8 Mar 2022 | 1,426 | – | 25 | 26 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 4–7 Mar 2022 | 2,103 | – | 25 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 6 | 7.5 | 0.5 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| Ipsos | 4 Mar 2022 | 935 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 28 Feb – 4 Mar 2022 | 1,185 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 7 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 28 Feb – 2 Mar 2022 | 1,320 | – | 25 | 26 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Kantar | 23 Feb – 1 Mar 2022 | 1,405 | – | 26 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 7 | Tie |
| INSA | 25–28 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | – | 23 | 27 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | – | 25 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–27 Feb 2022 | 2,030 | − | 26 | 23.5 | 17.5 | 11.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 7 | 2.5 |
| GMS | 23–26 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | – | 24 | 27 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 21–25 Feb 2022 | 1,405 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,103 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Kantar | 16–22 Feb 2022 | 1,432 | – | 26 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 18–21 Feb 2022 | 1,539 | – | 23 | 27 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Feb 2022 | 2,500 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 14–18 Feb 2022 | 1,303 | – | 22 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 15–16 Feb 2022 | 1,202 | – | 24 | 26 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| Allensbach | 3–16 Feb 2022 | 1,033 | – | 23 | 27 | 15 | 10.5 | 10 | 6 | 6.5 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 1,200 | − | 25 | 24.5 | 17 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 6 | 8.5 | 0.5 |
| YouGov | 10–15 Feb 2022 | 1,659 | – | 21 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| Kantar | 8–15 Feb 2022 | 1,434 | – | 24 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,141 | – | 22.5 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Feb 2022 | 2,504 | 22 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| INSA | 7–11 Feb 2022 | 1,504 | – | 22 | 26 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2022 | 1,224 | 18 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 8 | Tie |
| pollytix | 4–8 Feb 2022 | 1,547 | – | 23 | 27 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 4 |
| Kantar | 1–8 Feb 2022 | 1,287 | – | 22 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 4–7 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Feb 2022 | 2,502 | 23 | 22 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| Ipsos | 4 Feb 2022 | 910 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 1 |
| INSA | 1–4 Feb 2022 | 1,202 | – | 22 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–3 Feb 2022 | 2,330 | − | 21 | 28 | 19 | 8.5 | 10 | 5.5 | 8 | 7 |
| Civey | 22 Jan – 3 Feb 2022 | 10,070 | – | 25 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 8 | Tie |
| Infratest dimap | 31 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 1,339 | – | 22 | 27 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 26 Jan – 1 Feb 2022 | 1,410 | – | 24 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 28–31 Jan 2022 | 2,247 | – | 24 | 25 | 15 | 12.5 | 10 | 6.5 | 7 | 1 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jan 2022 | 2,501 | 23 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 24–28 Jan 2022 | 1,383 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jan 2022 | 1,249 | 21 | 24 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 1 |
| YouGov | 21–25 Jan 2022 | 1,602 | – | 23 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 3 |
| Kantar | 19–25 Jan 2022 | 1,415 | – | 24 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | Tie |
| INSA | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 2,146 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11.5 | 11 | 6 | 6.5 | 2 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jan 2022 | 2,502 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 1 |
| INSA | 17–21 Jan 2022 | 1,204 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Allensbach | 6–20 Jan 2022 | 1,090 | – | 27.5 | 23 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 10 | 5.5 | 7 | 4.5 |
| Infratest dimap | 18–19 Jan 2022 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15–18 Jan 2022 | 1,920 | − | 27.5 | 22.5 | 17 | 10.5 | 10 | 4.5 | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 12–18 Jan 2022 | 1,441 | – | 26 | 22 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,130 | – | 26 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jan 2022 | 2,504 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | Tie |
| INSA | 10–14 Jan 2022 | 1,504 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jan 2022 | 1,128 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 5–11 Jan 2022 | 1,426 | – | 26 | 23 | 17 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jan 2022 | 2,107 | – | 26.5 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| Forsa | 3–10 Jan 2022 | 3,003 | 22 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 9 | Tie |
| Ipsos | 6–9 Jan 2022 | 929 | – | 25 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 4 |
| INSA | 3–7 Jan 2022 | 1,504 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| Infratest dimap | 3–5 Jan 2022 | 1,325 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 30 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 2,060 | – | 26.5 | 23 | 15.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 3.5 |
| GMS | 29 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 1,003 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.1 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 8.7[1] | 1.6 |
2021
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Abs. | SPD | Union | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 27–30 Dec 2021 | 1,201 | – | 27 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| INSA | 20–23 Dec 2021 | 1,195 | – | 28 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 2,075 | – | 27.5 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 6 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Dec 2021 | 2,501 | – | 26 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | − | 30 | 21.5 | 14.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 4 | 8,5 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 13–18 Dec 2021 | 1,501 | – | 27 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Kantar | 14–16 Dec 2021 | 1,436 | – | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Allensbach | 1–15 Dec 2021 | 1,069 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 13 | 10.5 | 5 | 6.5 | 2 |
| YouGov | 10–14 Dec 2021 | 1,715 | – | 27 | 23 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 8–14 Dec 2021 | 1,440 | – | 27 | 22 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Dec 2021 | 2,221 | – | 27 | 22 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 5 |
| Forsa | 7–13 Dec 2021 | 2,509 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| INSA | 6–10 Dec 2021 | 1,480 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Dec 2021 | 1,303 | 21 | 28 | 21 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 7–8 Dec 2021 | 1,266 | – | 26 | 23 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| Civey | 1–8 Dec 2021 | 10,043 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 1–7 Dec 2021 | 1,439 | – | 28 | 21 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,119 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 1–6 Dec 2021 | 1,002 | − | 29 | 18 | 16.5 | 13.5 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 11 |
| Forsa | 30 Nov – 6 Dec 2021 | 2,503 | – | 25 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 3 |
| INSA | 29 Nov – 3 Dec 2021 | 1,348 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 29 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | 1,316 | – | 25 | 23 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 2 |
| Civey | 24 Nov – 1 Dec 2021 | 10,078 | – | 26 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
| Kantar | 24–30 Nov 2021 | 1,425 | – | 27 | 20 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| INSA | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 2,129 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | – | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 22–26 Nov 2021 | 1,403 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 23–25 Nov 2021 | 1,344 | 19 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Infratest dimap | 23–24 Nov 2021 | 1,239 | – | 25 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 22–24 Nov 2021 | 1,002 | – | 27 | 22.5 | 15.5 | 11.5 | 10 | 5 | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| Civey | 17–24 Nov 2021 | 10,064 | – | 25 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| YouGov | 19–23 Nov 2021 | 1,797 | – | 25 | 23 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 2 |
| Kantar | 17–23 Nov 2021 | 1,424 | – | 24 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| INSA | 19–22 Nov 2021 | 2,096 | – | 26 | 22 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 4 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 15–19 Nov 2021 | 1,501 | – | 26 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Civey | 10–17 Nov 2021 | 10,077 | – | 26 | 23 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| Kantar | 10–16 Nov 2021 | 1,433 | – | 24 | 21 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| INSA | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,091 | – | 27 | 21 | 15 | 13 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 7 | 6 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 21 | 24 | 22 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| INSA | 8–12 Nov 2021 | 1,202 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 9–11 Nov 2021 | 1,257 | 16 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 8 |
| Allensbach | 29 Oct – 11 Nov 2021 | 1,016 | – | 27 | 23 | 15 | 14 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 4 |
| Civey | 3–10 Nov 2021 | 9,999 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 3–9 Nov 2021 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
| INSA | 5–8 Nov 2021 | 2,112 | – | 26.5 | 20.5 | 16 | 13.5 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 7.7 | 6 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | – | 25 | 22 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 1–5 Nov 2021 | 1,212 | – | 27 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 31 Oct – 5 Nov 2021 | 1,200 | – | 28 | 20.5 | 15.5 | 14 | 10.5 | 4 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| GMS | 1–4 Nov 2021 | 1,005 | – | 26 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| Infratest dimap | 2–3 Nov 2021 | 1,329 | – | 27 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| Civey | 27 Oct – 3 Nov 2021 | 10,069 | – | 26 | 22 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2021 | 1,417 | – | 25 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
| INSA | 29 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,140 | – | 27 | 20 | 16 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Forsa | 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 25–29 Oct 2021 | 1,503 | – | 27 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Oct 2021 | 1,208 | 15 | 27 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
| Infratest dimap | 26–27 Oct 2021 | 1,239 | – | 26 | 22 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| Civey | 20–27 Oct 2021 | 10,050 | – | 25 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| Kantar | 19–26 Oct 2021 | 1,422 | – | 25 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 2,105 | – | 28 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 8 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Oct 2021 | 2,510 | – | 25 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| INSA | 18–22 Oct 2021 | 1,205 | – | 27 | 20 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
| Civey | 13–20 Oct 2021 | 10,028 | – | 25 | 20 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| Kantar | 13–19 Oct 2021 | 1,424 | – | 25 | 21 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 4 |
| INSA | 15–18 Oct 2021 | 2,140 | – | 28 | 18.5 | 16 | 15 | 11.5 | 5 | 6 | 9.5 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 2,502 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 11–15 Oct 2021 | 1,195 | – | 28 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 9 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 12–14 Oct 2021 | 1,329 | 14 | 28 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 9 |
| Allensbach | 1–14 Oct 2021 | 1,045 | – | 28 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 9.5 | 5 | 7.5 | 7 |
| Civey | 6–13 Oct 2021 | 9,999 | – | 26 | 20 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| Kantar | 6–12 Oct 2021 | 1,410 | – | 26 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| INSA | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,101 | – | 28.5 | 19.5 | 16 | 14.5 | 11 | 4 | 6.5 | 9 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7–10 Oct 2021 | 1,210 | – | 27 | 19 | 17.5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8.5 | 8 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 4–8 Oct 2021 | 1,509 | – | 28 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Civey | 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2021 | 10,009 | – | 28 | 19 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| Kantar | 28 Sep – 5 Oct 2021 | 1,985 | – | 26 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| INSA | 1–4 Oct 2021 | 2,000 | – | 28 | 21 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 10 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 7 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 | 3,004 | – | 26 | 20 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| INSA | 27 Sep – 1 Oct 2021 | 1,254 | – | 28 | 21 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,249 | 15 | 28 | 20 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 23.4 | 25.7 | 24.1 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 10.3 | 4.9 | 8.7[1] | 1.6 |
CDU and CSU
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | CSU | Linke | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 29 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,146 | 23 | 21 | 19 | 9,5 | 10.5 | 6 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 2 |
| INSA | 22–25 Apr 2022 | 2,056 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 9 | 11.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 15–18 Apr 2022 | 2,073 | 23.5 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | 7 | 3.5 |
| INSA | 8–11 Apr 2022 | 2,061 | 25 | 20 | 17.5 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 4.5 | 6 | 5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Apr 2022 | 2,063 | 25 | 21 | 17.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 5 | 4.5 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA | 25–28 Mar 2022 | 2,070 | 25 | 21 | 16.5 | 10 | 10.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 4 |
| INSA | 18–21 Mar 2022 | 2,122 | 24.5 | 20.5 | 16.5 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4.5 | 6 | 4 |
| INSA | 11–14 Mar 2022 | 2,073 | 25 | 19.5 | 15.5 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 5.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Mar 2022 | 2,103 | 25 | 19 | 15.5 | 11 | 10.5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.5 | 6 |
| INSA | 18–21 Feb 2022 | 1,539 | 23 | 22 | 14.5 | 12.5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| INSA | 11–14 Feb 2022 | 2,141 | 22.5 | 21 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 6.5 | 1.5 |
| INSA | 4–7 Feb 2022 | 2,067 | 23 | 20 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 3 |
| INSA | 28–31 Jan 2022 | 2,147 | 24 | 20 | 15 | 12.5 | 10 | 5 | 6.5 | 7 | 4 |
| INSA | 21–24 Jan 2022 | 2,146 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 11.5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 6.5 | 7 |
| INSA | 14–17 Jan 2022 | 2,130 | 26 | 17 | 15.5 | 12 | 12 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 9 |
| INSA | 7–10 Jan 2022 | 2,107 | 26.5 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 6.5 | 8.5 |
| INSA | 31 Dec – 3 Jan 2022 | 2,060 | 26.5 | 17 | 15.5 | 11 | 11.5 | 6 | 6 | 6.5 | 9.5 |
| INSA | 17–20 Dec 2021 | 2,075 | 27.5 | 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 10.5 |
| INSA | 10–13 Dec 2021 | 2,221 | 27 | 17 | 14.5 | 13 | 11.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 10 |
| INSA | 3–6 Dec 2021 | 2,119 | 26 | 17 | 15 | 13.5 | 11.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 9 |
| INSA | 26–29 Nov 2021 | 2,129 | 25 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 8 |
| INSA | 19–22 Nov 2021 | 2,096 | 26 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 8 |
| INSA | 12–15 Nov 2021 | 2,091 | 27 | 16.5 | 15 | 13 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 7 | 10.5 |
| INSA | 5–8 Nov 2021 | 2,112 | 26.5 | 16.5 | 16 | 13.5 | 10.5 | 4 | 5.5 | 7.5 | 10 |
| INSA | 22–25 Oct 2021 | 2,105 | 28 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 15–18 Oct 2021 | 2,140 | 28 | 13.5 | 16 | 15 | 11.5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| INSA | 8–11 Oct 2021 | 2,101 | 28.5 | 14 | 16 | 14.5 | 11 | 5.5 | 4 | 6.5 | 12.5 |
| INSA | 1–4 Oct 2021 | 2,000 | 28 | 15 | 15.5 | 13.5 | 10 | 6 | 4.5 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 25.7 | 18.9 | 14.8 | 11.5 | 10.3 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 8.7[1] | 6.8 |
By state
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | AfD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 14–18 Mar 2022 | 1,001 | 29 | 16 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.1 | 18.0 | 17.4 | 11.1 | 8.2 | 7.8 | 8.4 | 11.1 |
North Rhine-Westphalia
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 26 Jan – 2 Feb 2022 | 2,006 | 28 | 25 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| Forsa | 26 Nov – 7 Dec 2021 | 2,009 | 29 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 29.1 | 26.0 | 16.1 | 11.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 6.5 | 3.1 |
Saxony-Anhalt
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | AfD | Linke | FDP | Grüne | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–21 Feb 2022 | 1,005 | 21.5 | 21.5 | 19.5 | 13 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 9.5 | Tie |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 25.4 | 21.0 | 19.6 | 9.6 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 8.4 | 4.4 |
Schleswig-Holstein
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD | CDU | Grüne | FDP | AfD | Linke | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 10–19 Feb 2022 | 2,000 | 28 | 22.5 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 4.5 | 7 | 5.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 28.0 | 22.0 | 18.3 | 12.5 | 6.8 | 3.6 | 8.7 | 6.0 |
Thuringia
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
AfD | SPD | CDU | Linke | FDP | Grüne | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 994 | 22.5 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 8.5 | 10 | 4.5 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | – | 24.0 | 23.4 | 16.9 | 11.4 | 9.0 | 6.5 | 8.7 | 0.6 |
Chancellor polling
These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's Chancellor candidate, and gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.
- Graph of opinion polls conducted
Scholz vs. Merz
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 26 Apr – 2 May 2022 | 2,508 | 43 | 19 | 38 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Apr 2022 | 2,507 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | 45 | 16 | 39 |
| Forsa | 12–14 Apr 2022 | 1,501 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Apr 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 18 | 40 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3–4 Apr 2022 | 2,450 | 51 | 17 | 32 |
| Forsa | 29 Mar – 4 Apr 2022 | 2,508 | 43 | 18 | 39 |
| Forsa | 22–28 Mar 2022 | 2,507 | 42 | 20 | 38 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 44 | 20 | 36 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–20 Mar 2022 | 3,923 | 51.5 | 21.5 | 27 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Mar 2022 | 2,502 | 46 | 19 | 35 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Mar 2022 | 2,501 | 48 | 19 | 33 |
| Forsa | 24–28 Feb 2022 | 1,500 | 45 | 20 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24–27 Feb 2022 | 2,030 | 49 | 19 | 32 |
| Forsa | 15–21 Feb 2022 | 2,500 | 42 | 20 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 13–15 Feb 2022 | 1,220 | 43 | 25 | 32 |
| Forsa | 8–14 Feb 2022 | 2,504 | 40 | 21 | 39 |
| Forsa | 1–7 Feb 2022 | 2,502 | 40 | 22 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 2–3 Feb 2022 | 2,330 | 42 | 31 | 27 |
| Forsa | 25–31 Jan 2022 | 2,501 | 43 | 21 | 36 |
| Forsa | 18–24 Jan 2022 | 2,502 | 48 | 19 | 33 |
| Forsa | 11–17 Jan 2022 | 2,504 | 48 | 17 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Jan 2022 | 1,030 | 54 | 19 | 27 |
| Forsa | 3–10 Jan 2022 | 3,003 | 49 | 18 | 33 |
| Forsa | 14–20 Dec 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 18 | 32 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | 55 | 20 | 25 |
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 45 | 18 | 37 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 46 | 19 | 35 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 44 | 21 | 35 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 52 | 17 | 31 |
Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Merz Union |
Baerbock The Greens |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 23 Apr 2022 | 1,007 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 26 |
Scholz vs. Söder
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Söder Union |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18–19 Dec 2021 | 1,120 | 49 | 28 | 23 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 39 | 33 | 28 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | 37 | 33 | 30 |
Scholz vs. Röttgen
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Röttgen Union |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 45 | 19 | 36 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 45 | 20 | 35 |
| Forsa | 9–15 Nov 2021 | 2,510 | 45 | 21 | 34 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 41 | 20 | 39 |
| Forsa | 2–8 Nov 2021 | 2,502 | 51 | 20 | 29 |
Scholz vs. Braun
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Braun Union |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forsa | 23–29 Nov 2021 | 2,509 | 50 | 11 | 39 |
| Forsa | 16–22 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 12 | 38 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 42 | 22 | 36 |
Scholz vs. Laschet
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Laschet Union |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YouGov | 19–23 Nov 2021 | 2,167 | 46 | 6 | 48 |
| Forsa | 26 Oct – 1 Nov 2021 | 2,501 | 50 | 8 | 42 |
| Forsa | 19–25 Oct 2021 | 2,510 | 52 | 8 | 40 |
| Forsa | 12–18 Oct 2021 | 2,502 | 53 | 8 | 39 |
| Forsa | 5–11 Oct 2021 | 2,503 | 52 | 8 | 40 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep – 4 Oct 2021 | 3,004 | 52 | 9 | 39 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 28–30 Sep 2021 | 1,249 | 76 | 13 | 11 |
| Infratest dimap | 27 Sep 2021 | 1,084 | 62 | 16 | 22 |
| Forsa | 27 Sep 2021 | 1,006 | 56 | 11 | 33 |
| YouGov | 26 Sep 2021 | 1,596 | 43 | 13 | 43 |
Scholz vs. Kretschmer
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
Scholz SPD |
Kretschmer Union |
Neither |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wahlkreisprognose | 11–12 Nov 2021 | 1,004 | 41 | 19.5 | 39.5 |
Preferred coalition
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
SPD Grüne |
Union FDP |
SPD Grüne FDP |
SPD Union |
Union Grüne |
SPD Grüne Linke |
SPD FDP | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–28 Apr 2022 | 1,170 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 5–7 Apr 2022 | 1,230 | 23 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Mar 2022 | 1,345 | 18 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 4 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 21–23 Feb 2022 | 1,103 | 17 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 8–10 Feb 2022 | 1,224 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 25–27 Jan 2022 | 1,249 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 11–13 Jan 2022 | 1,128 | 16 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |||||||||
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 7–9 Dec 2021 | 1,303 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 4 | |||||||||
Constituency projections
Direct mandates
- Graphic of possible distribution of direct mandates
| Polling firm | Release date | Union | SPD | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| INSA | 2 May 2022 | 199 | 62 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Apr 2022 | 182 | 77 | 30 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Apr 2022 | 121 | 128 | 36 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 144 | 115 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 19 Apr 2022 | 182 | 74 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| INSA | 11 Apr 2022 | 179 | 83 | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 144 | 116 | 23 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 5 Apr 2022 | 128 | 134 | 25 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Apr 2022 | 184 | 86 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| INSA | 28 Mar 2022 | 165 | 93 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 161 | 104 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Mar 2022 | 192 | 74 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 21 Mar 2022 | 132 | 133 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 150 | 115 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 27 Feb 2022 | 128 | 131 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 159 | 103 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 21 Feb 2022 | 213 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 15 Feb 2022 | 143 | 117 | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 14 Feb 2022 | 203 | 71 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 158 | 103 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 7 Feb 2022 | 196 | 81 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 3 Feb 2022 | 195 | 63 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 31 Jan 2022 | 178 | 100 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 133 | 121 | 20 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| INSA | 24 Jan 2022 | 146 | 129 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 18 Jan 2022 | 124 | 139 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 17 Jan 2022 | 125 | 140 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 129 | 129 | 19 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 10 Jan 2022 | 128 | 142 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| INSA | 3 Jan 2022 | 118 | 137 | 19 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 111 | 148 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 20 Dec 2021 | 108 | 160 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 19 Dec 2021 | 102 | 167 | 12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 109 | 149 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 13 Dec 2021 | 114 | 153 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 6 Dec 2021 | 75 | 176 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 6 Dec 2021 | 118 | 145 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 111 | 143 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| INSA | 29 Nov 2021 | 112 | 140 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 24 Nov 2021 | 123 | 140 | 16 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| INSA | 22 Nov 2021 | 122 | 147 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 103 | 153 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| INSA | 15 Nov 2021 | 99 | 160 | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| INSA | 8 Nov 2021 | 110 | 158 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 7 Nov 2021 | 125 | 137 | 16 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 101 | 156 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| INSA | 25 Oct 2021 | 84 | 176 | 21 | 14 | 3 | 1 |
| election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 101 | 154 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| Wahlkreisprognose | 10 Oct 2021 | 113 | 145 | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 108 | 148 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| INSA | 4 Oct 2021 | 94 | 163 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 143 | 121 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
By probability
| Polling firm | Release date | Union | SPD | Grüne | AfD | Linke | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | Safe | Likely | Lean | ||
| election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 15 | 46 | 54 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 46 | 51 | 47 | 16 | 43 | 57 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 51 | 51 | 59 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 48 | 51 | 51 | 15 | 44 | 56 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 53 | 50 | 56 | 12 | 42 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 49 | 51 | 58 | 12 | 44 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 41 | 50 | 42 | 22 | 42 | 57 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 37 | 50 | 42 | 27 | 44 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 30 | 41 | 40 | 31 | 57 | 60 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 30 | 41 | 38 | 33 | 58 | 58 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 27 | 42 | 42 | 28 | 55 | 60 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 26 | 39 | 38 | 35 | 55 | 63 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 25 | 35 | 41 | 40 | 57 | 59 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 26 | 35 | 40 | 39 | 54 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 28 | 42 | 38 | 30 | 59 | 59 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 143 | 121 | 16 | 16 | 3 | ||||||||||
Second place
| Polling firm | Release date | SPD | Union | Grüne | AfD | Linke | FDP | FW |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| election.de | 22 Apr 2022 | 127 | 114 | 42 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Apr 2022 | 127 | 113 | 42 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Mar 2022 | 135 | 102 | 42 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Mar 2022 | 130 | 112 | 41 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 25 Feb 2022 | 135 | 109 | 35 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 11 Feb 2022 | 137 | 103 | 38 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 28 Jan 2022 | 122 | 120 | 40 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| election.de | 14 Jan 2022 | 120 | 125 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
| election.de | 31 Dec 2021 | 111 | 135 | 35 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 17 Dec 2021 | 110 | 135 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 3 Dec 2021 | 104 | 126 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 19 Nov 2021 | 104 | 133 | 41 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 5 Nov 2021 | 108 | 128 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 22 Oct 2021 | 103 | 130 | 40 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| election.de | 8 Oct 2021 | 107 | 129 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021 federal election | 26 Sep 2021 | 129 | 115 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
References
- FW: 2.4
External links
- Wahlrecht.de (in German)
- pollytix-Wahltrend (in German)
- DAWUM Wahltrend (in German)
- Twitter: @Wahlen_DE (in German)
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