Opinion polling for the next Croatian parliamentary election

In the run-up to the next Croatian parliamentary election, various organisations have been carrying out monthly opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Croatia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 July 2020, to the present day.

Polling average

Graph

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and three other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.

Party standings

Surveys in Croatia are conducted by specialized companies in the field of public opinion polls, and their results are published in cooperation with national television. The televisions that publish the results are listed in the table below according to which TV show they publish the results, with which poll company they cooperate, the size of the poll, the number of polls conducted so far and the time of publication of the results.

Television TV presentation of the results Polling firm Poll size Conducted polls Time of publication of polls
HRT Dnevnik 2 at 19:00 (CET) Promocija plus 1,400 6 20th of the month
RTL RTL Danas at 18:30 (CET) 1,300 20 Between 4th and 10th of the month, usually on Sunday
Nova TV Dnevnik Nove TV at 19:15 (CET) Ipsos 981-993 22 Between 23rd and 26th of the month
N1 N1 Newsroom at 16:00 (CET) Masmi 1,300 1 One year after last general elections

Poll results published by major national televisions are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication, name of polling firm with a link to the page of results and poll size. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then all tied parties cells would be shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party or the support percentage is less than 1.0%, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown with a dash. Table also include other elections that are held between two parliamentary elections.

Date of publication Polling firm Votes HDZ SDP DP Most Možemo RF Centar Fokus ŽZ SIP HNS NS R BM 365 IDS HSS HSU GLAS HS HDS Others Undecided Lead
25 Apr 2022 Ipsos 987 28.6 15.9 4.8 9.0 9.1 - 2.3 - 1.1 - 1.9 - - 1.9 - 2.0 - - - 7.0[lower-alpha 1] 16.4 12.7
10 Apr 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 25.4 17.1 4.7 10.3 12.8 - 1.6 1.2 - - - - - 1.0 1.7 - - - - 6.9 17.3 8.3
25 Mar 2022 Ipsos 990 28.1 14.0 5.6 10.1 10.7 1.0 2.6 1.2 1.7 - 1.3 - - - 1.3 1.1 - 1.4 - 4.0 16.0 14.1
20 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,400 25.0 16.1 6.5 10.2 12.2 - 1.6 1.3 - - 1.1 - - 1.2 1.7 - - - - 6.2 16.9 8.9
6 Mar 2022 Promocija plus 1,300 25.2 17.0 6.3 10.6 12.5 - 1.4 1.3 - - - - - 1.0 1.6 - - - - 6.7 16.4 8.2
25 Feb 2022 Ipsos 600[lower-alpha 2] 26.9 13.7 6.4 12.4 12.9 - 1.6 - 2.8 - - 1.0 - 1.4 1.1 2.6 - - - 4.2 13.0 13.2
6 Feb 2022 Promocija Plus 1,300 26.2 17.9 4.3 11.1 12.9 - 1.3 1.5 - - - - - 1.0 1.2 - - - - 7.4 15.8 8.3
25 Jan 2022 Ipsos 991 30.4 13.5 6.0 8.8 9.4 1.2 2.3 1.6 - - 1.0 - - 1.8 - 1.2 - - - 6.0 16.8 16.9
9 Jan 2022 Promocija Plus 1,300 26.1 16.9 3.7 12.4 13.3 1.0 1.4 1.4 - - - - - 1.1 1.2 - - 1.3 - 6.3 15.2 9.2
2022
24 Dec 2021 Ipsos 987 29.7 13.1 5.3 10.6 8.8 - 1.3 1.3 2.4 - 1.2 - - 1.7 1.6 - - - - 5.5 17.2 16.6
5 Dec 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.1 16.1 4.9 8.5 14.2 - 1.2 1.6 - - - - - 1.0 1.1 - - 1.5 - 6.1 16.7 11.0
25 Nov 2021 Ipsos 990 29.5 13.2 4.8 9.4 10.3 - 2.6 - 2.3 - 1.5 - - - - 1.2 - 1.2 - 6.3 17.6 16.3
20 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.5 15.7 4.5 8.0 15.4 - 1.5 1.5 1.2 - - - - 1.2 1.6 - - 1.4 - 4.5 16.0 11.8
7 Nov 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.4 16.0 5.0 8.0 15.9 - 1.2 1.3 1.1 - - - - 1.0 1.3 - - 1.2 - 5.1 15.5 11.4
25 Oct 2021 Ipsos 981 30.9 12.2 4.5 8.2 11.2 - 2.0 - 1.9 - 2.0 - - 1.6 2.0 - - 1.7 1.2 6.0 14.6 18.7
20 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.3 15.9 4.1 6.8 16.1 - 1.3 1.5 1.2 - - - - 1.0 1.5 - - 1.3 - 5.4 16.6 11.2
10 Oct 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.6 16.1 3.7 6.7 17.1 - 1.3 1.3 1.3 - 1.1 - - 1.1 1.3 - - 1.0 - 4.2 16.2 10.5
23 Sep 2021 Ipsos 990 30.8 13.4 5.2 8.3 13.6 - - 1.1 1.8 - - - - 1.7 - 1.5 1.0 1.4 - 5.2 15.0 17.2
20 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.1 17.1 3.9 8.5 16.1 - 1.5 1.7 - - - - - 1.4 1.5 - - 1.4 - 5.3 14.5 10.0
5 Sep 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.3 17.9 3.8 7.7 17.2 - 1.8 1.9 - - - - - 1.0 1.5 - - - - 6.2 13.7 9.4
25 Aug 2021 Ipsos 987 30.0 12.7 5.0 8.9 15.6 1.3 1.1 1.5 1.2 - - - - - - 2.7 - - - 5.8 14.2 14.4
26 Jul 2021 Ipsos 984 29.8 14.3 7.7 7.6 14.9 - 1.6 1.6 2.0 - - 1.2 - - 1.6 2.8 - - - 6.9 8.0 14.9
11 Jul 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.4 18.7 6.4 4.8 16.9 - 1.2 1.3 - - 1.1 - - 1.2 1.5 - - - - 5.7 13.7 8.7
7 Jul 2021 Masmi 1,300 30.9 15.2 8.4 7.4 13.5 1.4 1.1 1.7 - - - 1.1 1.2 - - - - - - 6.0[lower-alpha 3] 12.1 15.7
25 Jun 2021 Ipsos 991 30.7 13.4 6.4 6.8 12.6 - - 1.1 2.4 - - - - - 2.6 1.5 - - - 7.5 15.0 17.3
6 Jun 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.8 18.9 8.2 5.4 13.4 - 1.5 1.4 - - 1.4 - 1.2 - 1.7 - - - - 6.2 13.9 7.9
2021 Croatian local elections - second round
25 May 2021 Ipsos 986 30.5 15.2 7.3 6.7 9.4 - 2.2 1.3 1.4 - 1.2 - - 2.8 1.5 1.3 - - - 5.5 13.7 15.3
2021 Croatian local elections - first round
9 May 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.7 19.6 8.2 7.1 9.1 - 1.0 1.0 - - 1.2 - 1.6 1.3 1.6 - - - - 7.0 14.6 7.1
23 Apr 2021 Ipsos 986 29.3 15.1 6.6 7.7 8.7 1.7 1.2 - 3.4 - - - - 1.1 1.0 1.0 - - - 6.4 16.8 14.2
20 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.1 18.7 7.7 7.0 9.0 - 2.2 1.0 1.3 - 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.4 - - - - 4.1 15.7 8.4
4 Apr 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 26.8 19.3 7.9 7.6 8.2 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5 - 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.0 - - - 3.9 14.3 7.5
25 Mar 2021 Ipsos 993 29.1 16.0 6.2 7.3 9.4 1.0 1.6 - 2.1 1.0 1.1 - - 1.3 2.3 - - - 4.9 16.6 13.1
20 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,400 27.3 18.8 8.1 7.5 8.7 - 1.8 1.2 1.1 - - - 1.5 1.2 1.2 - - - - 5.5 16.1 8.5
7 Mar 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.0 19.5 7.5 7.2 8.3 - 1.4 1.5 1.2 - - 1.2 2.1 1.1 1.1 - - - - 5.1 15.8 7.5
25 Feb 2021 Ipsos 990 30.9 17.2 6.8 8.0 9.3 1.3 2.1 - 1.2 - - - - 1.4 1.4 - - - - 7.1 13.3 13.7
7 Feb 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 27.7 19.9 7.2 7.3 8.3 - 2.1 - 1.0 - - - 1.3 1.6 1.5 - - - - 6.5 15.6 7.8
25 Jan 2021 Ipsos 987 31.1 16.6 7.3 7.8 9.6 1.3 3.0 1.5 2.0 - - - - 1.6 - 2.1 - - - 7.8 8.3 14.5
10 Jan 2021 Promocija plus 1,300 28.0 19.6 6.3 7.4 8.4 - 2.9 - - - - - 1.2 1.6 1.3 - - - - 7.8 15.5 8.4
2021
24 Dec 2020 Ipsos 991 30.8 16.2 9.4 8.3 8.6 1.1 4.3 1.8 1.4 1.3 - - - 1.2 - 2.3 - 1.2 - 7.0 5.1 14.6
6 Dec 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 29.2 20.5 7.9 8.7 6.4 - 2.2 - 1.7 - - - 1.0 1.7 1.6 - - - - 5.7 13.4 8.7
25 Nov 2020 Ipsos 983 31.5 17.6 7.5 7.4 6.5 1.1 3.6 - - 1.4 - 1.2 - - 2.1 1.6 1.7 - - - 6.3 10.5 13.9
8 Nov 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 29.1 19.8 7.3 8.6 7.6 - 1.5 2.3 - 1.4 - - - 1.0 1.4 2.1 - - - - 5.1 12.8 9.3
26 Oct 2020 Ipsos 983 32.5 18.7 8.4 7.3 6.7 - 3.8 1.4 - 2.1 - - - - 1.4 1.6 1.5 - - - 4.7 9.9 12.8
8 Oct 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 30.4 18.2 8.2 8.4 9.0 - 1.0 2.8 - 1.0 - - - 1.0 1.2 1.4 - - - - 5.0 12.4 12.2
25 Sep 2020 Ipsos 989 33.7 17.1 7.9 6.2 8.2 - 2.7 1.8 - 1.1 - - - - 1.5 1.3 1.0 - - - 5.7 11.8 16.6
6 Sep 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 32.8 18.4 7.8 7.6 8.9 - 2.1 2.0 - - - - - - 1.3 1.4 - - - - 6.5 11.2 14.4
25 Aug 2020 Ipsos 981 33.1 16.4 6.1 7.0 8.6 - 3.4 2.0 - 1.7 - 1.0 - - 2.0 1.5 1.5 - - - 5.8 9.9 16.7
6 Aug 2020 Promocija plus 1,300 32.9 18.1 8.6 8.3 11.0 - 1.3 2.6 - - - - - - 1.2 1.3 - - - - - - 14.8
25 Jul 2020 Ipsos 989 30.2 18.4 6.9 8.2 8.7 1.9 1.9 - 2.0 - - 1.0 1.4 1.9 1.3 1.2 - - - 6.2 8.8 11.8
5 Jul 2020 General Elections 1,705,686 37.3 24.9 10.9 7.4 7.0 4.0 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.6 [lower-alpha 4] [lower-alpha 4] [lower-alpha 4] [lower-alpha 4] [lower-alpha 5] [lower-alpha 6] 3.3 - 12.4

Notes
  1. incl. 1.0% for HSLS
  2. Given certain events at the beginning of the month, Ipsos conducted a second survey on a smaller sample than usual
  3. incl. 1.3% for NL Matija Posavec
  4. with SDP
  5. with DP
  6. with HDZ

Reference
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