Opinion polling for the 2022 Colombian presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2022 Colombian presidential election, the first round of which is scheduled to take place on 29 May. If no candidate wins a majority, a second round will be held on 19 June.[1]

First round

Graphical summary

Table of values

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro Federico Gutiérrez Rodolfo Hernández Sergio Fajardo Íngrid Betancourt John Milton Rodríguez Enrique Gómez Luis Pérez Others Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
Guarumo[2] 1 May 2022 2,132 36.4% 30.6% 12.4% 6.9% 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 0.2% 5.7% 4.3% 2.5%
Invamer[3] 29 April 2022 1,409 43.6% 26.7% 13.9% 6.5% 0.5% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 5.7% 2.55%
CNC/Semana[4] 22 April 2022 4,599 38% 23.8% 9.6% 7.2% 0.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.4% 7.6% 2.1% 8.8% 1.4%
CELAG[5] 21 April 2022 3,064 42.6% 21.8% 11.5% 9.2% 1.0% 6.6% 1.4% 5.1% 2.19%
CNC[6] 7 April 2022 1,965 34% 23% 12% 9% 2% 1% 0% 0% 4% 2% 12% 2.2%
Guarumo[7] 3 April 2022 1,865 34% 25% 9.3% 9.5% 2.6% 0.6% 1.6% 0.3% 10.3% 7.4% 2.5%
CNC/Semana[8] 28–31 March 2022 4,206 36.5% 24.5% 10% 8.4% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 8.1% 2.8% 6.2% 1.5%
Yanhaas[9] 21 March 2022 1,236 37% 19% 11% 10% 2% 0.3% 0.2% 16% 5% 3.2
CNC/Semana[10] 20 March 2022 2,143 32% 23% 10% 10% 3% 1% 0% 5% 2% 13% 2.1%

Graphical summary

2022

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Alfredo Saade
Arelis Uriana
Aydeé Lizarazo
Camilo Romero
Carlos Amaya
David Barguil
John Milton Rodríguez
Luis Pérez
Others
No vote
Blank
Margin of error
AtlasIntel[11] 12 March 2,376 7.0% 1.9% 11.4% 35.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.6% 4.8% 0.5% 2.4% 11.2% 11.3% 2.4% 2%
Guarumo[12] 6 March 2,345 6.4% 3.4% 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 3.5% 1.4% 7.7% 2.5% 32.7% 3.3% 1.2% 3.4% 5.3% 8.2% 9.1% 4.8% 1.5% 2.5%
CELAG[13] 8 February 2,126 11.3% 3.4% 0.1% 2.2% 28.1% 1.0% 2.3% 3.2% 4.1% 7.2% 11.8% 15.1% 2.19%
Yanhaas[14] 6 February 1,225 5% 1% 0.1% 0.4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 3% 27% 2% 0.1% 1% 0.1% 3% 1% 4% 12% 7% 19% 3.2%
CNC[15] 5 February 2,206 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 27% 7% 4% 4% 14% 6% 1% 11% 6% 2.1%

2021

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Camilo Romero
David Barguil
Dilian Francisca Toro
Enrique Peñalosa
Luis Pérez
María Fernanda Cabal
Paloma Valencia
Rodrigo Lara
Tomás Uribe
Others
Blank
Margin of error
Yanhaas[16] 13 December 1,230 5% 1% 2% 3% 25% 5% 4% 13% 8% 4% 18% 2.8%
CNC/Semana[17] 11 December 4,093 4.5% 2.3% 0.6% 2.1% 3.3% 2.2% 25.4% 0.6% 3.9% 6.4% 11% 7.3% 17.4% 1.5%
CNC[18] 12 November 1,069 5% 1% 1% 2% 5% 22% 3% 1% 1% 5% 1% 4% 3% 6% 5% 19% 7% 3%
Datexco[19] 2 November 1,200 6% 1% 3% 6% 26% 5% 4% 3% 7% 10% 11% 9% N/A
CNC[20] 16 October 2,012 2.6% 1.3% 1.2% 3% 19.7% 1.8% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% 4.6% 0.9% 0.6% 5.8% 22.5% N/A
CNC[21] 8 August 2,019 3% 1% 4% 17% 6% 4% 3% 5% 7% 23% 2.4%
Guarumo[22] 19 August 1,367 4.2% 1.2% 8.9% 21.6% 1.6% 1.2% 6.0% 1.4% 3.8% 3.3% 12.7% 7.1% 10.8% 2.5%
CNC[23] 26 June 2,077 3% 2% 4% 3% 2% 21% 5% 6% 26% 2.4%
CELAG[24] 9 June 1,945 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 30.3% 6.2% 7.3% 14.7% 3.3% 4.2% 14.3% N/A
Guarumo[25] 25 May 1,480 4.8% 8.5% 20.6% 2.3% 2% 2.8% 3% 9.8% 2% 8.3% 20.4% N/A
Guarumo[26] 27 April 1,370 7.6% 9.7% 24.2% 2.3% 2% 2.8% 3% 6.9% 16.9% 4.2 N/A
Invamer[27] 21 April 2021 1,008 6.1% 5.2% 38.3% 4% 3.7% 1.3% 4.4% - 11.8% 15.9% 4.6% 4.6% 5%
CNC[28] 23 March 4,435 6% 2% 4% 6% 3% 23% 2% 2% 6% 9% 1% 4% 12% 1% 2% 3% 8% N/A
Datexco[29] 16 March 1,200 6% 3% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 19% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 4% 11% 9% 5% 2.8%

2020

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Paloma Valencia
Rafael Nieto Loaiza
Tomás Uribe
Blank
Margin of error
Invamer[30] 26 November 1,008 5.5% 1.3% 2.1% 6.7% 25.9% 7% 0.6% 7.2% 18.7% 0.6% 20.5% 3.9% 3%
Guarumo[31] 2 October 1,257 11.2% 12.1% 13.4% 1.7% 8% 2.1% 1.0% 18.1% N/A
CNC[32] 8 September 809 2% 1% 1% 5% 3% 16% 5% 2% 8% 6% 20% 5% 3% N/A
Guarumo[33] 15 August 1,876 9.1% 12.4% 16.5% 5.7% 23.1% N/A
CNC[34] 6 August 1,207 5% 2% 3% 1% 3% 8% 2% 18% 2% 1% 11% 3% 16% 4%
Invamer[35] 4 August 1,008 7% 8.9% 32.9% 12.1% 4.3% 11.4% 1.3% 19.9% 2.1% 5%

Second round

The following polls display potential run offs between the front runner, Gustavo Petro, and other candidates.

Petro vs. Gutiérrez

Polling organisation/client Date(s) conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro Federico Gutiérrez Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
Guarumo[2] 1 May 2022 2,132 43.8% 40.9% 8.8% 6.5% 2.5%
Invamer[3] 29 April 2022 1,306 52.4% 45.2% 2.4% 2.55%
CNC/Semana[4] 22 April 2022 4,599 44.8% 36.9% 5.2% 8% 5.1% 1.4%
CELAG[5] 21 April 2022 3,064 51.7% 32.6% 10.4% 5.3% 2.2%
CNC[6] 7 April 2022 1,965 41% 39% 6% 7% 7% 2.2%
Guarumo[7] 3 April 2022 1,865 40.1% 43.5% 7.4% 9% 2.5%
CNC[36] 2 April 2022 4,206 43.1% 40.1% 4.4% 8.1% 4.3% 1.5%
Yanhaas[37] 21 March 2022 1,236 42% 35% 23% 3.2%

Petro vs. Hernández

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro Rodolfo Hernández Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
Guarumo[2] 1 May 2022 2,132 44.5% 37.1% 8.6% 9.8% 2.5%
Invamer[3] 29 April 2022 1,243 56% 40.6% 3.4% 2.55
CNC[4] 22 April 2022 4,599 44.1% 34.1% 4.9% 11.4% 5.5% 1.4%
CNC[6] 7 April 2022 1,965 40% 38% 4% 10% 8% 2.2%
CNC[36] 2 April 2022 4,206 42.6% 34.4% 4.5% 12.4% 4.1% 1.5%
Yanhaas[37] 21 March 2022 1,236 41% 32% 27% 3.2%

Petro vs. Fajardo

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro Sergio Fajardo Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
Guarumo[2] 1 May 2022 2,132 44.8% 36% 11.1% 8.1% 2.5%
Invamer[3] 29 April 2022 1,215 56.5% 40.4% 3.1% 2.55%
CNC[4] 22 April 2022 4,599 43.4% 35.8% 5.3% 10.5% 5% 1.4%
CNC[6] 7 April 2022 1,965 39% 38% 6% 10% 7% 2.2%
CNC[36] 2 April 2022 4,206 41.5% 38.3% 5% 11.2% 4% 1.5%
Yanhaas[37] 21 March 2022 1,236 41% 35% 24% 3.2%

Petro vs. Betancourt

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Gustavo Petro Íngrid Betancourt Blank No vote Unsure/No answer Margin of Error
CNC[4] 22 April 2022 4,599 46.9% 23.2% 7.2% 17.9% 4.8% 1.4%
CNC[36] 2 April 2022 4,206 44.7% 26% 7.1% 18.4% 3.3% 1.5%

Coalition primaries

Historic Pact

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Alfredo Saade
Arelis Uriana
Camilo Romero
No vote
Blank
Don't know/No response
Margin of error
Primary election[38] 13 March 2022 0.38% 0.98% 4.06% 14.05% 80.5%
AtlasIntel[11] 12 March 2022 2,736 0.1% 1.9% 3.9% 6.2% 85.2% 0.9% 1.9% 3%
Guarumo[12] 6 March 2022 2,345 0.2% 1.8% 5.9% 10.5% 81.6% 2.5%
Invamer[39] 4 March 2022 1,504 0.3% 1.7% 5.9% 13.5% 78.6% 2.92%
CNC[15] 5 February 2022 2,206 1% 4% 4% 12% 77% 1% 0.6% 2.1%
CNC[17] 11 December 2021 4,093 1% 4% 3% 89% 1% 1% 1% 1.5%
Invamer[40] 5 December 2021 1,200 0% 2.8% 4.5% 7.5% 82.4% 2.7% 0% 3.49%

Team for Colombia

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Aydeé Lizarazo
David Barguil
No vote
Blank
Unsure/no answer
Margin of error
Primary election[41] 13 March 2022 17.72% 6.51% 15.77% 5.8% 54.18%
AtlasIntel[11] 12 March 2022 2,736 21.3% 1.8% 14.8% 5.2% 49.3% 4.6% 3.1% 4%
Guarumo[12] 6 March 2022 2,345 29.2% 4.2% 21.4% 11.8% 33.4% 2.5%
Invamer[39] 4 March 2022 1,504 24.7% 12.3% 15.5% 18.7% 28.9% 2.92%
CNC[15] 5 February 2022 2,206 30% 5% 6% 21% 30% 5% 3% 2.1%
CNC[17] 11 December 2021 4,093 34% 4% 6% 21% 24% 5% 4% 2% 1.5%
Invamer[40] 5 December 2021 1,200 26.1% 8.8% 10.6% 22.7% 26.4% 4.3% 1% 3.49%

Hope Center

Polling organisation/client Date conducted Sample
size
Carlos Amaya
No vote
Blank
Unsure/no answer
Margin of error
Primary election[42] 13 March 2022 15.58% 20.89% 7.46% 22.55% 33.5%
AtlasIntel[11] 12 March 2022 2,736 17.7% 10.2% 5.2% 13.8% 46.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5%
Guarumo[12] 6 March 2022 2,345 21.5% 10.4% 8.5% 22.1% 37.5% 2.5%
Invamer[39] 4 March 2022 1,504 12.9% 14.9% 10.5% 23.9% 37.8% 2.92%
CNC[15] 5 February 2022 2,206 11% 8% 5% 1% 31% 39% 4% 1% 2.1%
CNC[17] 11 December 2021 4,093 17% 4% 3% 31% 43% 2% 2% 1.5%
Invamer[40] 5 December 2021 1,200 9.5% 5.3% 5.5% 3.1% 32.4% 43.5% 0.7% 3.49%

References

  1. Holly K. Sonneland; Hope Wilkinson (14 March 2022). "Explainer: Who's Who in Colombia's 2022 Presidential Race". AS/COA. Retrieved 2 May 2022.
  2. Neira, Armando (1 May 2022). "Petro y Fico, favoritos para primera vuelta, pero habría empate en segunda". El Tiempo (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 1 May 2022. Retrieved 1 May 2022.
  3. "Petro baja un punto, pero sigue arriba; Fico sube 18 y Fajardo pierde 8,5: encuesta Invamer". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 29 April 2022. Archived from the original on 29 April 2022. Retrieved 29 April 2022.
  4. "Atención Gustavo Petro consolida su ventaja y se perfila como el próximo presidente: encuesta del CNC". Semana (in Spanish). 22 April 2022. Archived from the original on 24 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  5. "Encuesta Colombia, abril 2022". CELAG (in Spanish). 21 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  6. "Nueva encuesta: empate técnico entre Petro y Fico en segunda vuelta". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 8 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  7. "Dos encuestas vaticinan una disputada segunda vuelta entre Petro y Fico". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 4 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  8. "Petro y Fico, adelante en la 1.ª vuelta; para la 2.ª se aprieta el duelo". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 2 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  9. "La Gran Encuesta: Petro encabeza intención de voto para las presidenciales, seguido por 'Fico'". LAFM (in Spanish). 21 March 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  10. "Petro y Fico se separan del lote en nueva encuesta presidencial". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 20 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  11. "Encuesta Atlas: Elecciones legislativas y consultas presidenciales 2022" (in Spanish). AtlasIntel. 12 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  12. "Petro, Fico y Fajardo ganarían las consultas, según encuesta Guarumo". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 6 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  13. "Encuesta Colombia, febrero 2022" (in Spanish). CELAG. 8 February 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  14. "#LaGranEncuesta Petro, Fajardo y Gutiérrez puntean en intención de voto en coaliciones". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 6 February 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  15. "Nueva encuesta: Gustavo Petro y Rodolfo Hernández crecen". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 5 February 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  16. "Gustavo Petro se queda con el podio de La Gran Encuesta". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 13 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  17. "¡Despegó Rodolfo Hernández! La segunda vuelta presidencial podría ser entre él y Gustavo Petro". Semana. 11 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  18. "Encuesta ¿Por quién votaría a la Presidencia?". Canal1. 12 November 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  19. "Datexco: En segunda vuelta, Petro ganaría excepto si enfrenta a Fajardo o Galán". El Espectador (in Spanish). 3 November 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  20. "Petro y los enanitos: encuesta presidencial de SEMANA revela su sorprendente ventaja frente a sus rivales". Semana (in Spanish). 18 October 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  21. "Petro, Fajardo y Galán lideran nueva encuesta presidencial en Colombia". Valora Analitik. 8 September 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  22. "Gustavo Petro y Sergio Fajardo siguen liderando intención de voto para elecciones de Colombia en 2022" (in Spanish). Valora Analitik. 19 August 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  23. "Encuesta SEMANA: Gustavo Petro bajó 4 puntos después del paro, ¿qué pasó con los demás candidatos?". Semana. 26 June 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  24. "Encuesta Colombia, junio 2021" (in Spanish). CELAG. 9 June 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  25. "Encuesta: vea cómo va la intención de voto para el 2022". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 25 May 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  26. "Encuesta sobre los precandidatos presidenciales". Canal1 (in Spanish). 27 April 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  27. "Aprobación de presidente Iván Duque cae, Petro lidera intención de voto: encuesta Invamer". Caravel TV (in Spanish). 21 April 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  28. "Petro se escapa del lote y puntea en encuesta de intención de voto a la Presidencia". Semana (in Spanish). 23 March 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  29. "¿Qué tendencia política les preocupa a los colombianos de cara a las elecciones de 2022?". W Radio. 16 March 2021. Archived from the original on 16 March 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  30. "Gustavo Petro y Sergio Fajardo encabezan intención de voto para presidenciales de 2022". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 26 November 2021. Archived from the original on 26 November 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  31. "Fajardo supera a Petro en intención de voto". El Tiempo. 2 October 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  32. "Fajardo le gana a Petro en intención de voto, según CNC". Blu Radio (in Spanish). 8 September 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  33. "Así va la carrera entre los aspirantes a la Presidencia en 2022". El Tiempo (in Spanish). 18 August 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  34. "Gran Encuesta: Gustavo Petro lidera intención de voto para elecciones presidenciales de 2022". Canal TV (in Spanish). 6 August 2020. Archived from the original on 18 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  35. "Detención de Álvaro Uribe: el 53% está de acuerdo y el 41,4% no". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 13 August 2020. Archived from the original on 16 December 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  36. "Segunda vuelta presidencial de infarto: Fico Gutiérrez está a solo tres puntos de Gustavo Petro". Semana (in Spanish). 2 April 2022. Archived from the original on 21 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  37. "#GranEncuesta: Gustavo Petro gana en todos los escenarios de segunda vuelta". El Colombiano (in Spanish). 21 March 2022. Archived from the original on 21 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  38. "Votos a Pre-candidatos" (in Spanish). Government of Colombia. Archived from the original on 14 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  39. "Así votarían los colombianos en segunda vuelta, según la más reciente encuesta Invamer". BluRadio (in Spanish). 4 March 2022. Archived from the original on 24 March 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  40. "Encuesta Invamer: Pacto Histórico sería la coalición más votada en las consultas interpartidistas". Caracol TV (in Spanish). 5 December 2021. Archived from the original on 16 April 2021. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  41. "Votos a Pre-candidatos" (in Spanish). Government of Colombia. 17 March 2022. Archived from the original on 14 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
  42. "Votos a Pre-candidatos" (in Spanish). Government of Colombia. 17 March 2022. Archived from the original on 3 April 2022. Retrieved 26 April 2022.
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