List of countries by Fragile States Index

This is a list of countries by order of appearance in the Fragile States Index (formerly the Failed States Index) of the United States think tank Fund for Peace.

Countries according to the 2020 Fragile States Index
  Very high alert (111–120)
  High alert (101–110)
  Alert (91–100)
  High warning (81–90)
  Elevated warning (71–80)
  Warning (61–70)
  Less Stable (51–60)
  Stable (41–50)
  More Stable (31–40)
  Sustainable (21–30)
  Very sustainable (0–20)
  Data unavailable

A fragile state has several attributes. Common indicators include a state whose central government is so weak or ineffective that it has little practical control over much of its territory; non-provision of public services; widespread corruption and criminality; refugees and involuntary movement of populations; and sharp economic decline.[1] Since 2005, the index has been published annually by the Fund for Peace and the magazine Foreign Policy. The list has been cited by journalists and academics in making broad comparative points about countries or regions.[2][3]

The report uses 12 factors to determine the rating for each nation, including security threats, economic implosion, human rights violations and refugee flows.

Indicators of a fragile state

The following factors are used by Fund For Peace to determine the overall status of a country.[4]

  • Cohesion
    • Security apparatus
    • Factionalized elites
    • Group grievance
  • Economic
    • Economic decline
    • Uneven economic development
    • Human flight and brain drain
  • Political
    • State legitimacy
    • Public services
    • Human rights and rule of law
  • Social
    • Demographic pressures
    • Refugees and internally displaced people
  • Cross-cutting
    • External intervention

Fragile States Index 2021

The table below shows the FSI for 2021,[5] with comparisons of each country's current score to previous years' indices.[6] A higher score (with a maximum of 120) indicates a weaker, more vulnerable, or more fragile situation in the country.

Rank Country 2021 score Change from 2020 Change from 2019 Change from 2018 Change from 2017
1 Yemen111.7 0.7 1.8 1.0 0.6
2 Somalia110.9 1.4 2.3 2.5
3 Syria110.7 0.8 0.7 0.1
4 South Sudan109.4 1.4 2.8 4.0 4.5
5 DR Congo108.4 1.0 1.8 2.3 1.6
6 Central African Republic107.0 0.5 1.9 4.1 5.6
7 Chad105.8 0.6 2.7 2.5 3.6
8 Sudan105.2 0.4 2.8 3.5 5.4
9 Afghanistan102.1 0.8 2.9 4.5 5.2
10 Zimbabwe99.1 0.1 0.4 3.2 2.5
11 Ethiopia99.0 4.4 4.8 0.6 2.1
12 Nigeria98.0 0.7 0.5 1.9 3.6
13 Haiti97.5 0.2 1.8 4.5 7.8
14 Guinea97.4 0.2 2.0 4.2 5.0
15 Cameroon97.2 0.7 0.2 1.9 1.6
16 Burundi97.1 0.8 1.1 0.3 1.8
17 Libya97.0 1.8 4.8 2.4 0.7
 Eritrea97.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 1.1
19 Mali96.6 0.6 2.1 3.0 3.7
20 Iraq96.2 0.3 2.9 6.0 9.2
21 Niger96.0 0.7 0.2 0.2 1.4
22 Mozambique93.9 2.2 5.2 5.2 4.9
23 Myanmar93.8 0.2 0.5 2.3 1.9
24 Uganda92.9 0.1 2.4 2.2 3.1
25 Venezuela92.6 1.4 3.3 6.4 9.7
26 Congo92.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.0
27 Guinea-Bissau92.0 0.9 3.5 6.1 7.5
28 Côte d'Ivoire90.7 1.0 1.4 3.9 5.8
29 Pakistan90.5 1.6 3.7 5.8 8.4
30 North Korea90.0 0.2 2.7 3.2 3.3
31 Liberia89.5 0.5 0.7 3.1 4.3
32 Kenya89.2 1.1 4.3 8.2 7.2
33 Mauritania89.1 0.4 1.0 3.1 4.6
34 Lebanon89.0 4.3 4.0 2.2 0.8
 Angola89.0 1.7 1.2 0.4 2.1
36 Burkina Faso87.1 1.2 3.2 0.6 0.9
37 Palestine[lower-alpha 1]86.0n/an/an/an/a
38 Togo85.1 0.7 2.3 0.1 1.2
39 Egypt85.0 1.0 3.4 3.7 4.8
 Bangladesh85.0 0.7 2.7 5.3 4.1
 Rwanda85.0 1.0 2.5 4.3 5.8
42 Zambia84.9 0.4 0.8 2.3 2.9
43 Iran84.5 1.1 1.5 0.2 1.3
44 Equatorial Guinea84.1 1.1 1.5 0.7 0.9
45 Sierra Leone83.4 1.0 3.4 5.7 5.9
46 Malawi83.2 0.8 0.1 2.3 4.8
47 Eswatini82.5 0.5 2.8 5.0 6.3
 Comoros82.5 1.3 0.8 0.1 2.3
49 Philippines82.4 1.4 0.7 3.1 2.0
 Djibouti82.4 0.3 2.7 4.7 6.5
51   Nepal82.2 0.4 2.5 5.7 8.8
52 Timor-Leste80.9 1.8 4.6 7.4 9.6
 Papua New Guinea80.9 1.4 2.2 3.9 5.5
54 Cambodia80.6 0.3 1.9 3.4 5.1
55 Sri Lanka80.5 1.3 3.5 4.4 6.1
 Gambia80.5 1.7 3.4 6.6 8.9
57 Turkey79.7 0.6 0.6 2.5 1.1
58 Madagascar79.5 1.4 4.1 4.5
59 Honduras79.4 2.6 1.6 2.1 0.3
 Guatemala79.4 0.2 2.0 2.4 3.7
61 Solomon Islands79.3 0.4 2.6 3.8 5.5
 Tanzania79.3 1.2 0.8 0.1 1.0
 Colombia79.3 2.7 3.6 2.7 0.4
64 Lesotho77.9 0.4 1.8 2.2 3.8
65 Nicaragua77.1 1.0 1.8 0.3
66 India77.0 1.7 2.6 0.7 0.9
67 Jordan76.8 1.4 0.9 1.9
68 Kyrgyzstan76.4 2.5 0.2 2.2 3.9
69 Laos76.0 0.9 2.7 4.7 6.4
70 Brazil75.8 2.8 4.0 7.1 7.6
71 Azerbaijan75.1 3.8 1.9 0.5 1.2
 Tajikistan75.1 0.4 2.6 4.4 6.7
73 Bolivia74.9 0.1 2.0 0.3 1.9
74 Algeria73.6 1.0 1.8 2.2 3.2
 Russia73.6 1.0 1.1 3.6 5.6
76 Senegal73.4 1.2 3.8 6.2 8.9
77 Bosnia-Herzegovina72.9 2.7 1.6 1.6 0.1
78 Benin72.8 0.3 0.8 2.9 4.8
79 Georgia72.6 1.4 0.6 1.4 3.9
80 Uzbekistan72.0 1.1 3.7 7.1 9.5
81 Micronesia71.7 0.5 1.3 2.7 4.7
82 El Salvador71.6 2.7 1.8 0.4 1.5
83 São Tomé and Príncipe71.5 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.6
 Morocco71.5 0.3 1.5 2.5 3.4
85 Peru71.4 3.8 3.2 1.3 1.1
86 Ecuador71.2 1.8 3.0 6.1
87 Thailand70.9 0.1 2.2 4.1 5.3
88 Fiji70.4 0.5 1.3 4.1 6.5
89 South Africa70.0 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.3
90 Mexico69.9 2.7 0.2 1.6 4.4
91 Ukraine69.8 0.8 1.2 2.8 4.2
 Armenia69.8 5.6 3.1 0.3 1.2
93 Saudi Arabia69.7 0.9 0.7 0.5 1.5
94 Tunisia69.2 1.1 0.9 2.9 5.0
95 China68.9 1.0 2.2 3.5 5.8
96 Bhutan68.3 1.2 3.7 6.0 7.7
97 Turkmenistan68.2 0.9 3.2 4.4 6.2
98 Belarus68.0 2.2 0.2 2.5 4.4
99 Maldives67.6 1.4 2.2 4.8 6.8
 Indonesia67.6 0.2 2.8 4.7 5.3
101 Serbia67.4 1.3 0.6 0.7 2.6
 Gabon67.4 1.7 3.1 5.1 6.4
103 Moldova67.0 1.0 0.1 2.5 5.0
104 Bahrain66.7 2.8 2.9 2.3 1.8
105 Paraguay66.4 1.2 0.6 3.4 5.2
106 Guyana66.1 0.1 2.1 4.3 5.2
107 Dominican Republic64.7 0.3 1.5 4.5 4.3
108 North Macedonia64.5 2.4 0.1 0.3 1.6
109 Namibia64.3 0.8 2.1 4.5 6.1
110 Samoa64.2 0.9 1.3 2.9
 Cape Verde64.2 0.6 2.4 3.8 5.9
 Belize64.2 3.4 1.7 0.5 1.3
113 Ghana63.9 0.3 2.0 4.2 5.8
114 Vietnam63.3 0.6 2.8 5.1 6.9
115 Suriname61.5 1.4 0.4 2.5 4.4
116 Kazakhstan61.2 1.4 0.4 2.2 4.7
 Jamaica61.2 1.2 1.9 4.0
118 Cuba59.5 0.3 1.3 3.4 5.1
119 Albania59.0 0.2 0.1 1.1 1.5
120 Montenegro58.5 3.0 3.2 3.2 2.8
121 Cyprus57.4 1.3 0.4 2.9 5.2
122 Botswana57.0 0.1 2.5 5.0 6.8
123 Malaysia56.9 0.7 3.6 6.7 8.5
124 Seychelles56.3 1.6 1.1 0.5 3.1
 Brunei56.3 0.3 1.2 3.5 5.3
126 Grenada56.1 0.9 1.5 3.8 5.4
127 Antigua and Barbuda54.9 2.8 0.5 0.7 0.1
128 Greece54.5 2.4 0.6 0.8 3.0
129 Kuwait52.9 2.0 0.3 3.0 5.6
 Trinidad and Tobago52.9 1.0 0.1 1.7 3.8
131 Bahamas52.4 2.5 3.6 2.4
132 Mongolia52.3 0.4 1.8 2.6 4.4
133 Bulgaria51.6 2.4 1.0 0.1 2.1
134 Hungary51.1 3.5 1.5 0.9 0.9
135 Romania51.0 4.3 3.2 1.6 0.1
136 Oman50.4 2.4 0.4 2.2 2.1
137 Argentina50.1 4.0 4.1 4.0 1.9
138 Croatia49.8 3.7 2.3 1.1 0.8
139 Panama48.7 2.7 1.7 0.8 2.0
140 Barbados47.0 0.6 1.0 1.2 2.6
141 Italy45.2 2.8 1.4 1.4
142 Spain44.8 4.4 4.1 3.4 6.9
143 United States44.6 6.3 6.6 6.9 9.0
144 Qatar44.1 0.4 1.3 4.0 0.1
 Chile44.1 1.6 5.2 3.4 3.0
146 Latvia44.0 1.7 0.1 0.9 2.4
147 Poland43.1 2.1 0.3 1.6 2.3
148 Israel[lower-alpha 1]43.0n/an/an/an/a
149 Costa Rica42.5 2.3 0.5 0.7 1.6
150 United Kingdom41.5 3.2 4.8 7.2 8.3
151 United Arab Emirates40.3 2.2 0.2 2.5 3.4
152 Estonia39.5 1.0 1.3 3.5 5.2
153 Czechia39.3 3.6 1.7 0.3 0.8
154 Slovakia39.0 0.8 1.5 3.5 5.3
155 Lithuania38.7 2.2 0.6 0.7 3.0
156 Mauritius38.1 0.9 0.8 2.4 3.6
157 Malta36.2 2.6 1.7 2.4
158 Uruguay35.9 2.5 1.9 0.5 0.9
159 South Korea32.5 0.5 1.2 3.2 5.6
 France32.5 2.0 0.5 0.3 1.0
161 Japan32.2 0.1 2.1 2.3 5.2
162 Belgium31.0 3.9 2.4 1.3 0.2
163 Slovenia28.2 2.4 0.2 2.1 4.2
164 Portugal26.8 3.3 1.5 0.5 2.2
165 Singapore26.6 0.3 1.5 3.8 5.9
166 Austria26.1 2.0 1.1 0.1 1.6
167 Germany24.8 1.6 0.1 1.0 3.3
168 Netherlands24.1 1.2 0.7 2.1 3.3
169 Ireland22.2 2.3 1.6 1.5 0.1
170 Australia21.8 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.5
171 Canada21.7 3.0 1.7 0.2 0.9
172 Sweden21.4 3.2 1.1 0.6 0.7
173 Luxembourg21.1 2.3 0.7 0.3 2.3
174  Switzerland19.9 2.8 1.2 0.7 1.2
175 Denmark18.8 1.6 0.7 1.0 2.7
176 New Zealand18.4 0.5 1.7 2.5 4.2
177 Iceland18.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 4.5
178 Norway16.6 0.4 1.4 1.7 3.9
179 Finland16.2 1.6 0.7 1.7 2.5
  1. Prior to the 2021 index, Israel and Palestine (West Bank) were scored as a single state.

References

  1. "What Does State Fragility Mean?". Fund for Peace.
  2. "Failing States: SOS". The Economist. June 19, 2007. Retrieved 1 December 2012.
  3. Bloom, David E. (May 5, 2011). "Africa's Daunting Challenges". New York Times. Retrieved 1 December 2012.
  4. "Fragile States Index and CAST Framework Methodology". Fund for Peace.
  5. "Fragile States Index 2021". Fund for Peace. 20 May 2021.
  6. "Country Dashboard". Fund for Peace.
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