2022 United States Senate election in Alaska

The 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska will be held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent three-term Republican U.S. Senator Lisa Murkowski is running for reelection to a fourth term.

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.

2022 United States Senate election in Alaska
November 8, 2022
Incumbent U.S. senator

Lisa Murkowski
Republican


Elections in Alaska
Federal government
Presidential elections
Presidential primaries and caucuses
Democratic
2008
2016
2020
Republican
2008
2012
2016
U.S. Senate elections
U.S. House elections
State government
State-wide elections
Gubernatorial elections
State Senate elections
State House elections
Ballot measures
Anchorage
Mayoral elections
Propositions

Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 elections in Alaska, this will be the first U.S. Senate election in Alaska held under a new election process. All candidates will run in a nonpartisan blanket primary on August 16, 2022,[1] from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election. Voters will then utilize ranked voting during the general election.[2]

Due to Murkowski's opposition to some of his initiatives and her vote for conviction following his second impeachment trial, former U.S. President Donald Trump pledged to campaign against Murkowski in 2022.[3][4] On March 16, 2021, the Alaska Republican Party voted to censure Murkowski and announced that they would recruit a Republican challenger in the 2022 election cycle.[5][6]

Murkowski survived a primary defeat in 2010[7] by winning the general election as a write-in candidate, becoming one of only two U.S. senators in history to have done so.[8][9]

Candidates

Declared
  • Sam Little, musician, truck driver, National Guard veteran and candidate for governor in 2010[10]
  • Lisa Murkowski, incumbent U.S. Senator (2002–present)[11]
  • John Schiess [12]
  • Kendall L. Shorkey [12]
  • Karl Speights, retired USAF officer and Trump campaign advisor[10]
  • Kelly Tshibaka, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Administration[13]

Publicly expressed interest

Declined

Withdrew

Potential

Filed paperwork
  • Sean Thorne, veteran[22]

Declared

Potential

Declared
  • Dave Darden, perennial candidate[23]
  • Sid Hill, political gadfly and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[23]
  • Jeremy Keller, television personality[12]
  • Huhnkie Lee, attorney, army veteran and Republican candidate for Alaska Senate in 2020[10]

Withdrawn


Candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Endorsements
Lisa Murkowski (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Political action committees
  • Senate Leadership Fund[37]
Organizations
Kelly Tshibaka (R)
Executive branch officials
Individuals
Organizations

Primary election

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Edgar
Blatchford
(D)		 Al
Gross
(D/I)		 John
Howe
(AIP)		 Lisa
Murkowski
(R)		 Kelly
Tshibaka
(R)		 Undecided
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] March 29, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 18% 6% 19% 34% 21%

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[47] Solid R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[48] Solid R April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Safe R March 1, 2022
Politico[50] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[51] Likely R February 24, 2022

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 RCV
count		 Elvi
Gray-Jackson
(D)		 Al
Gross
(D/I)		 John
Howe
(AIP)		 Joe
Miller
(L)		 Lisa
Murkowski
(R)		 Sarah
Palin
(R)		 Kelly
Tshibaka
(R)		 Other Undecided
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 1] March 14–16, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.2% 1 – – – – 29% – 45% 26% –
? – – – – 49% – 51% – –
Alaska Survey Research October 22–27, 2021 969 (RV) ± 3.2% 1 22% – 35% 20% 23% –
2 23% 42% – 35%
3 – 60% 40%
Alaska Survey Research July 11–21, 2021 947 (LV) ± 3.2% 1 19% – 18% 36% – 27% –
2 21% – 39% 40%
3 – 55% 45%
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 2] May 22–25, 2021 1,023 (LV) ± 3.1% BA – 25% 4% – 19% – 39% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 12%
3[lower-alpha 4] 46% – – 54% – –

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Would not vote with 1%
  4. Excluding undecided voters
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Kelly Tshibaka's campaign
  2. This poll was sponsored by 314 Action

References
  1. "Alaska Division of Elections, Primary Election Info".
  2. Media, Andrew Kitchenman, KTOO and Alaska Public (November 18, 2020). "Alaska will have a new election system: Voters pass Ballot Measure 2". KTOO. Retrieved November 18, 2020.
  3. Desiderio, Andrew (June 4, 2020). "Trump vows to campaign against Murkowski after she backs Mattis". Politico. Retrieved June 4, 2020.
  4. Acosta, Jim; Pellish, Aaron (March 6, 2021). "Trump says he'll campaign against Murkowski in Alaska next year". CNN. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  5. Steinhauser, Paul (March 16, 2021). "Alaska GOP censures Murkowski, says it will recruit primary challenger". Fox News. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
  6. "Lisa Murkowski censured by Alaska Republicans for voting to convict Trump". the Guardian. Associated Press. March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 17, 2021.
  7. Bolstad, Erika (January 5, 2011). "After primary loss, write-in win, legal battle, Murkowski sworn in". McClatchy. Archived from the original on March 1, 2020.
  8. Khan, Huma (November 16, 2010). "Lisa Murkowski Makes History, Wins Alaska Senate Race But Joe Miller Not Conceding". ABC News. Retrieved September 24, 2021.
  9. "Miller Concedes Loss to Murkowski". www.cbsnews.com. December 31, 2010. Retrieved September 24, 2021.
  10. Thiessen, Mark (April 27, 2021). "Alaska candidate shadowed by anti-gay article, election post". Associated Press. Anchorage. Archived from the original on June 12, 2021. Retrieved June 12, 2021. The state elections office says others who have registered for Senate include Dustin Darden with the Alaskan Independence Party, Huhnkie Lee, who is undeclared, and Republicans Samuel Little and Karl Speights.
  11. "Alaska Sen. Lisa Murkowski to run in 2022; Trump backs rival". Associated Press. November 12, 2021. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  12. "Alaska Division of Elections Candidate List". April 25, 2022. Retrieved April 25, 2021.
  13. Becky Bohrer (March 29, 2021). "Republican announces run for Murkowski's Alaska Senate seat". Associated Press. Retrieved March 29, 2021.
  14. Kerry Picket (April 6, 2021). "Lisa Murkowski trails GOP challenger: Poll". Washington Examiner.
  15. Lottsfeldt, Jim (August 12, 2020). "It sure looks like Dunleavy is running for U.S. Senate in 2022". The Midnight Sun.
  16. Brooks, James (August 13, 2021). "Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy will run for re-election in 2022". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 14, 2021.
  17. "Sarah Palin Is Considering Running For Senate 'If God Wants Me To'—And Here We Go Again". Comic Sands. August 2, 2021. Retrieved August 2, 2021.
  18. Landfield, Jeff (July 27, 2021). "Democratic State Senator Elvi Gray-Jackson considering run for U.S. Senate". The Alaska Landmine. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  19. "Anchorage state Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson is 1st Democrat to enter race for U.S. Senate".
  20. Democratic State Sen. Elvi Gray-Jackson makes it official: She is withdrawing from the Alaska U.S. Senate race in order to run for re-election to the Alaska Legislature. James Brooks on Twitter
  21. "ALASKA STATEWIDE – SURVEY MEMORANDUM". www.politico.com. March 29, 2021. Retrieved May 4, 2021.
  22. "Sean Thorne FEC Statement of Candidacy". Retrieved December 23, 2021.
  23. "Statewide campaign coffers are filling up". Juneau Empire. November 3, 2021. Retrieved March 5, 2022.
  24. Jacob Rubashkin (April 12, 2021). "Alaska Senate: Al Gross, 2020 Nominee, Considering Another Run". Inside Elections. Retrieved April 12, 2021.
  25. Greenwood, Max (February 1, 2022). "Ex-President Bush backs two high-profile Republicans slammed by Trump". TheHill.
  26. Jeff Flake [@JeffFlake] (March 7, 2021). "Alaska, and the country, is fortunate to have lisamurkowski in the Senate. Alaska voters know that, and she'll be just fine" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
  27. Niedzwiadek, Nick (March 7, 2021). "Sen. Barrasso backs Murkowski after Trump targets her". Politico.
  28. Suzanne Downing (April 16, 2021). "Murkowski raises $380,687 in first quarter, as Tshibaka raises $214,844 in three days". Must Read Alaska.
  29. Suzanne Downing (April 16, 2021). "Murkowski raises $380,687 in first quarter, as Tshibaka raises $214,844 in three days". Must Read Alaska.
  30. "GOP senator accuses Trump allies of embracing 'cancel culture'". The American Independent. Associated Press. February 19, 2021.
  31. Schnell, Mychael (February 6, 2022). "Manchin crosses party lines in officially endorsing Murkowski". The Hill.
  32. Alex Rogers (March 30, 2021). "Republican Kelly Tshibaka launches Senate campaign against Lisa Murkowski". CNN.
  33. Wang, Amy B. "Defying Trump, Rick Scott backs McConnell and Murkowski, tiptoes around false claims about election fraud". The Washington Post. ISSN 0190-8286. Archived from the original on November 8, 2021. Retrieved November 8, 2021.
  34. Ardrey, Taylor (March 28, 2021). "Alaska Sen. Dan Sullivan said he'll 'support' Sen. Lisa Murkowski's reelection". Business Insider.
  35. Suzanne Downing (January 11, 2022). "Reps. Zack Fields, Bryce Edgmon, Dan Ortiz, and Sen. Gary Stevens endorse Murkowski". Retrieved January 25, 2022.
  36. Downing, Suzanne (February 8, 2022). "Lisa gets support from State Sen. von Imhof; Tshibaka brings in Alaska Outdoor Council endorsement for Senate". Must Read Alaska. Archived from the original on February 8, 2022. Retrieved February 11, 2022.
  37. Paul Steinhauser (April 9, 2021). "Top pro-Senate GOP PAC endorses Murkowski's 2022 reelection bid". Fox News. Retrieved April 11, 2021.
  38. "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover". The Hill. October 14, 2021.
  39. "Endorsed Candidates". proisraelamerica.org.
  40. Axelrod, Tal (June 18, 2021). "Trump endorses Murkowski challenger". TheHill. Retrieved June 18, 2021.
  41. Alex Isenstadt (March 29, 2021). "Trump alums sign up with new Murkowski opponent". Politico.
  42. Surreal ValeCity (April 5, 2021). "Former Republican Chairmen dndorse Kelly Tshibaka". www.surrealvalecity.com.
  43. Downing, Suzanne (August 6, 2021). "Donald Trump Jr. jumps in, supports Kelly Tshibaka for Senate". Must Read Alaska. Archived from the original on August 10, 2021. Retrieved August 10, 2021.
  44. Celine Castronuovo (July 10, 2021). "Alaska GOP endorses Murkowski primary challenger". The Hill. Retrieved July 10, 2021.
  45. Manchester, Julia (December 22, 2021). "Conservative women's group backing Murkowski challenger". The Hill. Archived from the original on December 22, 2021. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  46. Downing, Suzanne (March 9, 2022). "Oil and Gas Workers Association endorses Tshibaka". Mustreadalaska.com. Retrieved March 18, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  47. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  48. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  49. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  50. "Alaska Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  51. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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