Brandon East

Brandon East is a provincial electoral division in the Canadian province of Manitoba. It encompasses half of the City of Brandon, the other half being represented in Brandon West.

Brandon East
Manitoba electoral district
Provincial electoral district
LegislatureLegislative Assembly of Manitoba
MLA
 
 		 
Len Isleifson
Progressive Conservative
District created1968
First contested1969
Last contested2019
Demographics
Census subdivision(s)Brandon

Historical riding

The original riding of Brandon East existed from 1886 to 1888, when the City and riding of Brandon was divided into two electoral districts for the first time. The city was re-established as a single riding in 1888.

Current riding

The modern riding of Brandon East was created in 1968, when the City of Brandon was again divided into two separate ridings. It has formally existed since the provincial election of 1969.

The riding borders on Brandon West to the west, and by Minnedosa in all other directions. Brandon itself is the second-largest city in Manitoba (after Winnipeg), and is in the southwestern region of the province.

Brandon East's population in 1996 was 19,850. In 1999, the average family income was $40,233, and the unemployment rate was 8.60%. The service sector accounts for 19% of the riding's industry, followed by retail trade at 15% and health and social services at 14%. Eleven per cent of the riding's residents are aboriginal.

Brandon East had been a safe seat for the New Democratic Party since its re-creation. This changed at the 2016 election, in which Progressive Conservative candidate Len Isleifson defeated the NDP incumbent Drew Caldwell.

At the 2015 Canadian federal election, according to data from Elections Canada, Brandon East voted heavily Liberal.[1] A provincial riding opinion poll in December 2015 showed Brandon East to be a marginal seat between the Conservative and Liberal parties, with the NDP trailing a poor third.[2]

List of provincial representatives
Assembly Years Member Party
6th 1886–1888 James A. Smart Liberal
Riding abolished, 1888–1969
29th 1969–1973 Len Evans New Democratic
30th 1973–1977
31st 1977–1981
32nd 1981–1986
33rd 1986–1988
34th 1988–1990
35th 1990–1995
36th 1995–1999
37th 1999–2003 Drew Caldwell
38th 2003–2007
39th 2007–2011
40th 2011–2016
41st 2016–2019 Len Isleifson Progressive Conservative
42nd 2019–present

Opinion polls
Polling Firm Last Date of Polling Link NDP PC Liberal Green Other
Probe Research Inc December 19, 2015 PDF 18 41 38 3
Probe Research Inc January, 2015 PDF 28 40 26 6

Election Results
2019 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
Progressive ConservativeLen Isleifson3,27251.3%-0.86$36,318.38
New DemocraticLonnie Patterson2,31136.2%+0.17$18,637.37
LiberalKim Longstreet78812.5%+0.70$3,151.46
Total valid votes/expense limit 6,529100.0–$47,973
Source: Elections Manitoba[3][4][5]
2016 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
Progressive ConservativeLen Isleifson3,66952.16+13.61$36,772.89
New DemocraticDrew Caldwell2,53436.03-18.92$12,132.70
LiberalVanessa Hamilton83011.80+7.82$2,810.27
Total valid votes/expense limit 7,033100.0  $
Eligible voters –
Source: Elections Manitoba[6][7][8]
2011 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticDrew Caldwell3,86454.95$14,503.88
Progressive ConservativeMike Waddell2,71138.55$26,300.48
LiberalShaun Cameron2803.98$1,479.21
GreenVanda Fleury1772.52$0.00
Total valid votes 7,032100.00
Rejected and declined votes 350.50
Turnout 7,06753.12
Electors on the lists 13,305
Source: Elections Manitoba[9]

[10]

2007 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticDrew Caldwell3,76053.95−8.09$19,216.70
Progressive ConservativeMike Waddell2,65538.10+5.46$26,503.06
LiberalCheryl Burke5547.95+3.56$5,462.24
Total valid votes 6,969 100.00
Rejected and declined votes 31
Turnout 7,000 58.72 +6.06
Electors on the lists 11,921
Source: Elections Manitoba[11]

[12]

2003 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticDrew Caldwell3,87062.04+0.76$14,549.00
Progressive ConservativeGreg Dinsdale2,03632.64+6.30$13,316.52
LiberalScott Brigden2744.39−1.35$1,771.36
CommunistLisa Gallagher580.93$436.91
Total valid votes 6,238 100.00
Rejected and declined ballots 26
Turnout 6,264 52.66 −11.69
Electors on the lists 11,895

[13]

1999 Manitoba general election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
New DemocraticDrew Caldwell4,84061.28$18,137.00
Progressive ConservativeMarty Snelling2,08026.34$25,283.41
IndependentDon Jessiman5256.65$1,040.69
LiberalPeter Logan4535.74–$4,017.07
Total valid votes 7,898 100.00
Rejected and declined ballots 57
Turnout 7,955 64.35
Electors on the lists 12,362

[14]

References
  1. CBC "2015 federal election: How did your Manitoba neighbours vote?" 2 March 2016
  2. Probe Research, December 2015
  3. "Election Candidate And Registered Party Election Expense Limits - Final Expense Limit" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.
  4. "Summary of Votes Received: 42nd General Election" (PDF). Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.
  5. "Candidate Election Returns". Elections Manitoba. Elections Manitoba. Retrieved March 2, 2020.
  6. "Candidates: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. March 29, 2016. Retrieved March 31, 2016.
  7. "41ST GENERAL ELECTION, APRIL 19, 2016 - OFFICIAL RESULTS". Elections Manitoba. April 12, 2016. Retrieved November 10, 2016.
  8. "Election Returns: 41st General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2016. Retrieved September 11, 2018.
  9. "Election Returns: 40th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2011. Retrieved September 11, 2018.
  10. "Results of 40th General Election, 2011". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved December 3, 2013.
  11. "Election Returns: 39th General Election". Elections Manitoba. 2007. Retrieved September 11, 2018.
  12. "Results of 39th General Election, 2007". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved December 3, 2013.
  13. "Brandon East — Official Results — 2003 Provincial General Election". Elections Manitoba. June 3, 2003. Archived from the original on March 1, 2012. Retrieved December 3, 2013.
  14. "Results of 37th General Election, 1999". Elections Manitoba. Retrieved December 3, 2013.

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