2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

The 2022 United States Senate election in Georgia will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Georgia.

2022 United States Senate election in Georgia

November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08)
 
Party Democratic Republican

Incumbent U.S. senator

Raphael Warnock
Democratic



Incumbent Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock was elected in a 2021 special election runoff with 51.0% of the vote and is eligible to seek a full term. He defeated Republican Kelly Loeffler, who was appointed to the U.S. Senate by Governor Brian Kemp following the resignation of Johnny Isakson at the end of 2019. Elected to serve the remainder of Isakson's unexpired six-year term, Warnock's term will expire on January 3, 2023.

Primary elections in Georgia are scheduled to be held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote are scheduled for June 21.

Democratic primary

Declared

  • Tamara Johnson-Shealey, DeKalb County advocate and businesswoman[1]
  • Raphael Warnock, pastor and incumbent U.S. Senator (2021–present)[2]
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Tamara
Johnson-Shealey
Raphael
Warnock
Undecided
Emerson College April 1–3, 2022 453 (LV) ± 4.6% 6% 85% 10%

Results

Democratic primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tamara Johnson-Shealey
Democratic Raphael Warnock (incumbent)
Total votes

Republican primary

Declared

Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Declined

Endorsements

Herschel Walker
Executive branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Senators
Individuals
Organizations
  • Black America's Political Action Committee[69]

National Right to Life[70]

Gary Black
Governors
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State Officials

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Gary
Black
Kelvin
King
Latham
Saddler
Herschel
Walker
Other
[lower-alpha 3]
Margin
Real Clear Politics February 11 – April 26, 2022 April 26, 2022 8.0% 3.0% 2.7% 63.8% 22.5% Walker +55.8
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Gary
Black
Josh
Clark
Kelvin
King
Jonathan
McColumn
Latham
Saddler
Herschel
Walker
Other Undecided
ARW Strategies (R) April 30 – May 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 1% 3% 1% 4% 59% 23%
SurveyUSA April 22–27, 2022 559 (LV) ± 4.8% 6% 3% 2% 2% 3% 62% 21%
University of Georgia April 10–22, 2022 886 (LV) ± 3.3% 7% 1% 1% 1% 2% 66% 23%
Landmark Communications (R) April 9–10, 2022 660 (LV) ± 3.8% 9% 3% 4% 0% 5% 64% 14%
Spry Strategies (R) April 6–10, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 7% 2% 4% 2% 64% 21%
University of Georgia March 20 – April 8, 2022 ~329 (LV) ± 5.4% 8% 0% 2% 0% 2% 64% 24%
Emerson College April 1–3, 2022 509 (LV) ± 4.3% 13% 4% 5% 3% 2% 57% 2%[lower-alpha 4] 16%
Fox News March 2–6, 2022 914 (LV) ± 3.0% 8% 1% 3% 2% 66% 1% 16%
InsiderAdvantage (R) February 28 – March 1, 2022 750 (LV) ± 3.6% 6% 3% 4% 3% 63% 2% 20%
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 11–13, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% 2% 3% 70% 19%
Quinnipiac University January 19–24, 2022 666 (LV) ± 3.8% 6% 0% 2% 1% 81% 0%[lower-alpha 5] 9%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[upper-alpha 1] October 11–14, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 6% 1% 1% 74% 2%[lower-alpha 6] 16%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 2–4, 2021 1,078 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% 2% 3% 76% 13%
Fabrizio Lee (R)[upper-alpha 2] August 11–12, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 5% 2% 1% 54% 3%[lower-alpha 7] 35%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins
Marjorie
Taylor Greene
Kelly
Loeffler
Herschel
Walker
Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R) March 14–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 7% 22% 27% 11%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[lower-alpha 8] 33% 24% 33% 11%
Primary runoff polling
Doug Collins vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Doug
Collins
Kelly
Loeffler
Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R) March 14–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 36% 10%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[lower-alpha 8] 52% 32% 16%
Herschel Walker vs. Doug Collins
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Herschel
Walker
Doug
Collins
Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[lower-alpha 8] 50% 36% 14%
Herschel Walker vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Herschel
Walker
Kelly
Loeffler
Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage March 7–9, 2021 – (LV)[lower-alpha 8] 26% 62% 11%

Results

Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gary Black
Republican Josh Clark
Republican Kelvin King
Republican Jonathan McColumn
Republican Latham Saddler
Republican Herschel Walker
Total votes

Libertarian primary

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[76] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[77] Tossup April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[78] Tossup March 1, 2022
Politico[79] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[80] Tossup February 24, 2022

Polling

Raphael Warnock vs. Gary Black
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Gary
Black (R)
Other
[lower-alpha 9]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4, 2021 – January 24, 2022 January 27, 2022 46.0% 39.5% 14.5% Warnock +6.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Gary
Black (R)
Other Undecided
University of Georgia January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 41% 1% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 46% 38% 16%
Raphael Warnock vs. Herschel Walker
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Herschel
Walker (R)
Other
[lower-alpha 10]
Margin
Real Clear Politics March 7, 2021 – April 27, 2022 April 28, 2022 46.8% 47.3% 5.9% Walker +0.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Herschel
Walker (R)
Other Undecided
SurveyUSA April 22–27, 2022 1,278 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 45% 5%
Grassroots Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 1] April 3–16, 2022 2,500 (RV) ± 2.0% 41% 51% 8%
Emerson College April 1–3, 2022 1,013 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 49% 6%
Blueprint Polling (D) March 2–8, 2022 662 (LV) ± 3.9% 45% 49% 6%
Wick February 2–6, 2022 1,290 (LV) ± 2.7% 46% 47% 8%
Quinnipiac University January 19–24, 2022 1,702 (RV) ± 2.4% 48% 49% 0% 3%
University of Georgia January 13–24, 2022 872 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 47% 1% 8%
NRSC (R)[upper-alpha 3] December 4–8, 2021 831 (LV) ± 3.4% 48% 49% 3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 39% 2% 8%
733 (LV) 48% 42% 2% 6%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 48% 46% 6%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 48% 3% 4%
Hypothetical polling
Raphael Warnock vs. Kelly Loeffler
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Kelly
Loeffler (R)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D) August 4–5, 2021 622 (V) ± 3.9% 47% 44% 9%
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 41% 8% 5%
Raphael Warnock vs. Doug Collins
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Raphael
Warnock (D)
Doug
Collins (R)
Other Undecided
Trafalgar Group/InsiderAdvantage (R) March 7–9, 2021 1,093 (LV) ± 2.9% 46% 45% 5% 5%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Grassroots Targeting (R)[upper-alpha 1] April 3–16, 2022 2,500 (RV) ± 2.0% 40% 52% 8%

See also

Notes

  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  4. Nestor with 2%
  5. Craig and Nestor with 0%
  6. Craig and Nestor with 1%
  7. Carter with 3%
  8. Likely Republican primary voter subsample of 1,093 likely general election voters
  9. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  10. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by 34N22 Leadership, which supports Walker
  2. This poll was sponsored by Save America PAC
  3. This poll was sponsored by the National Republican Senatorial Committee

References

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  2. Warnock, Raphael [@ReverendWarnock] (January 27, 2021). "Thanks to your support, we made history and flipped Georgia blue. But I'm already up for re-election, and Republicans are making plans right now to turn GA red again. Will you chip in $5 right now to jumpstart our re-election campaign? t.co/ptjYC3owPy" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 27, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021 via Twitter.
  3. Booker, Cory [@CoryBooker] (January 5, 2022). "From lifting children out of poverty to protecting the right to vote, @ReverendWarnock has become an incredible partner and friend in the Senate. One year ago today, Georgia sent him to the Senate, please join me in supporting him to win again in November" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 5, 2022. Retrieved February 13, 2022 via Twitter.
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  5. Murphy, Chris [@ChrisMurphyCT] (September 25, 2021). "🚨Trump is in Georgia today holding a rally against the Senate's voting rights champion @ReverendWarnock. Let's raise a bunch of $$ for Warnock tonight to show Trump we're going defend our gains in GA. Click below to donate. cc @brianschatz @CoryBooker" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  49. Hagerty, Bill [@BillHagertyTN] (March 30, 2022). "Pleased to endorse @HerschelWalker for U.S. Senate! I may be from the great state of Tennessee, but I know that we can't get America back on track without a patriot & friend in the Senate from Georgia. Join me in supporting @teamherschel!" (Tweet). Retrieved March 30, 2022 via Twitter.
  50. Walker, Herschel [@HerschelWalker] (October 27, 2021). "On the road in the great state of Georgia, but wanted to thank my good friend Senator Barrasso, the Chairman of the Senate Republican Conference, for your endorsement today. 🇺🇸 t.co/Yg7p9XZFqi" (Tweet). Archived from the original on October 31, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 via Twitter.
  51. Walker, Herschel [@HerschelWalker] (January 10, 2022). "Thank you for your support, @VoteMarsha! Even our great Senator from Tennessee knows that we can't take back the Senate without GEORGIA! We look forward to working together in Washington to get things done! t.co/FTugacZMri" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 19, 2022 via Twitter.
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  53. Walker, Herschel [@HerschelWalker] (January 19, 2022). "Thank you for your endorsement, @joniernst! It's an honor to have the support of an American PATRIOT, and I look forward to seeing what we will accomplish together for ALL Americans. She's an invaluable addition to @TeamHerschel, and one of my favorites! t.co/milWxMcLNa" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 21, 2022. Retrieved January 21, 2022 via Twitter.
  54. Lummis, Cynthia [@CynthiaMLummis] (November 30, 2021). "Happy news to share! Proud to endorse Georgia great @herschelwalker for U.S. Senate. All roads to taking back the Senate run through the Peach State 🍑. Herschel is the right man for the job! I look forward to working with him in Washington.🇺🇸" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 2, 2021. Retrieved January 19, 2022 via Twitter.
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  58. Carter, Buddy [@Buddy_Carter] (August 25, 2021). "I'm proud to join President Trump and endorse my friend, @HerschelWalker, for U.S. Senate. We need a fighter who will take on the liberal mob's socialist agenda and put America FIRST. I urge you to join me in supporting Herschel for Senate" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 5, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 via Twitter.
  59. Jason Lemon (July 24, 2021). "Marjorie Taylor Greene Claims Mitch McConnell 'Dirty Politics' at Work Against Herschel Walker". Newsweek.
  60. Greene, Marjorie [@mtgreenee] (August 25, 2021). "This made me proud to be a Georgian! This is everything we know we are and everything we are fighting to protect, not only for Georgia but also for every single American. Faith, Family, and Freedoms. I'm thrilled to endorse @HerschelWalker for United States Senate! t.co/BHIFDHN56w" (Tweet). Archived from the original on September 10, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021 via Twitter.
  61. Beth Van Duyne [@Bethvanduyne] (December 16, 2021). "Run Herschel Run! #TeamHerschel t.co/pDeDGXZxCx" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  62. Herschel Walker [@HerschelWalker] (November 10, 2021). "Thank you former Speaker of the U.S. House @NewtGingrich for your kind endorsement! We are fighting for smaller government, less spending, stronger borders, safer communities, more jobs, and LOWER PRICES ...that's America worth fight for!🇺🇸 t.co/nTT6DNIahz" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  64. Herschel Walker [@HerschelWalker] (November 1, 2021). "You never know who you might run into in South Georgia! I was honored to meet Georgia State Senator @SheilaSenator who gave me her endorsement. It is great to have you with Team Herschel! t.co/6P02VUZ5mP" (Tweet) via Twitter.
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  74. Black, Gary [@GaryBlackForGA] (July 19, 2021). "Public Service Commissioner @TPridemore has been a great friend for many years, and I'm proud to share with you that she is on Team '22 and fully supports our campaign. I'm grateful for Tricia's support and for all that she does for our state. #gapol #gasen t.co/P8jJSQZfRD" (Tweet). Archived from the original on July 20, 2021. Retrieved August 22, 2021 via Twitter.
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Official campaign websites
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