Gerasimov doctrine

The Gerasimov Doctrine, named after the Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov, is a foreign policy doctrine.[1][2][3]

Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces Valery Gerasimov

The doctrine redefines the modern concept of interstate conflict and warfare puts it on a par with political, economic, informational,[4] humanitarian and other non-military activities.[5][6][7][8] The doctrine became known after its publication in February 2013 and the subsequent actions of Russia in relation to Ukraine, which fully coincide with the theses of this doctrine.[1]

According to a number of researchers, the key elements of the Gerasimov Doctrine underlie the concept of New Generation Warfare.[9] However, there are opinions[10] that hybrid warfare is alien to Russian military theory.

History

The appearance of the term Gerasimov Doctrine was preceded by the speech by Gerasimov before the Russian Academy of Military Sciences with a report on hybrid war in February 2013 and publication of the main theses of the report in the Gerasimov article "The value of science in anticipation" in the Military and Industrial Courier.[11] This article was reprinted in the English-language magazine Military Review[12] and subsequently quoted many times in the Western press.[9][13][14][15][16]

Doctrine

The doctrine calls for a 4:1 ratio of non-military to military action.

Military action

Non-military actions

  • Formation of coalitions and alliances.
  • Political and diplomatic pressure.
  • Economic sanctions
  • Economic blockade
  • Breakdown of diplomatic relations.
  • Formation of political opposition.
  • Action of opposition forces.
  • Conversion of the economy of the country confronting Russia to the military rails.[Clarification needed]
  • Finding ways to resolve the conflict.
  • Changing the political leadership of the country confronting Russia.
  • Implementation of a set of measures to reduce tensions in relations after the change of political leadership.

In addition, the doctrine assumes "information confrontation," without specifying whether these activities are military or non-military.[11]

Evaluation of the doctrine by experts

According to some experts,[17] its key elements are based on the historical roots of Russia's previous military doctrine and show a striking similarity to the provisions of China's "Unrestricted Warfare" doctrine, published in 1999. It is believed that this doctrine can be seen as a reinterpretation in the realities of the 21st century of the well-known concept of unconventional warfare, which in modern Russian military terminology are called "nonlinear".[17]

Within this framework, the main goal of "nonlinear warfare" is to achieve the desired strategic and geopolitical results, using a wide toolbox of non-military methods and means: explicit and covert diplomacy, economic pressure, winning the sympathy of the local population, etc.[17]

According to the U.S. military, the "Gerasimov Doctrine" represents the most complete embodiment of the latest achievements of Russian military thought in a new type of warfare, which demonstrates the unprecedented integration of all capabilities of national influence to achieve strategic advantages. Based on the discreteness of the idea of war, which was established in Russian culture by Leo Tolstoy's classic novel War and Peace, the Gerasimov doctrine has blurred the lines between the polarized states of "war" and "peace," introducing a kind of analog to the Western idea of an intermediate continuum or "gray zone". American analysts point out that the Russian military's use of the new developments surprisingly inverts some of the fundamental paradigms of armed confrontation that were laid down in the works of Carl von Clausewitz and have been considered immutable for centuries.[16]

For example, Clausewitz's description of war as a "continuation of politics, but by other means" no longer applies in the "Gerasimov doctrine" because it does not consider war as a continuation of politics, but politics as a continuation of war, emphasizing that the effective conduct of politics may involve a broader arsenal of non-military means and methods. Similarly, the Gerasimov Doctrine forces a reconsideration of several other important tenets, such as Clausewitz's military-theoretical understanding of the "centre of gravity" as a key point of effort.[16]

Western experts were particularly concerned by the apparent focus of the Russian "Gerasimov doctrine" on exploiting the weak links of the Western principle of managerial decision making, which is based on a system of checks and balances that implies exhaustive analysis of the situation, lengthy public discussion and extensive coordination of the efforts of various agencies (the State Department, the Department of Defense, etc.).

In contrast, the Russian model of governance, based on Gerasimov's ideas, seamlessly combines all the authoritative institutions, making coordination between them completely unencumbered. Their functioning is hidden from the outside observer by an impenetrable veil of secrecy, and the available tools use the applied achievements of Reflexive control, which allows the Russian authorities to act rigidly, flexibly and quickly, and not particularly distracted by such conventions as legality, legitimacy, etc..

Application of the doctrine

Given the release date of the Gerasimov report and Russia's subsequent actions, many experts are inclined to link these events and directly point to Russia's use of the doctrine against Ukraine[1] and the US.[3]

Criticism

Some experts believe that Gerasimov did not present anything new, and doubt the existence of such a doctrine.[18][19] For example, Roger McDermott, an expert on the armed forces of the former Soviet Union, points out in the specialized journal Parameters that Gerasimov deliberately ignores the factors that conceptually unite the various wars and armed conflicts, emphasizing that each has its own history and unique path of development.. As R. McDermott writes, the denial in the context of Gerasimov's ideas of a generalizing model that could be perceived as a holistic doctrine is more than compensated for by the meanings attributed to his statements by Western specialists.[10] According to R. McDermott, myths about the emergence of Russia's latest and deadliest hybrid warfare doctrine are one of the most dangerous aspects of the confrontation between Russia and NATO.[10]

Political scientist Mark Galeotti stated in an article for Foreign Policy that the famous "Gerasimov doctrine," which is understood in the West as an "expanded theory of modern warfare" or even "a vision of total war," does not exist in reality, and that he himself is the inventor of this term.[20] In an article for Critical Studies on Security, Galeotti stated, "This is no 'new way of war'. It is not Gerasimov's, and it is not a doctrine."[21]

See also

Notes

  1. Murphy, Martin. "Understanding Russia's Concept for Total War in Europe". The Heritage Foundation. Retrieved 2022-02-27.
  2. Fisher, Max (2016-07-25). "In D.N.C. Hack, Echoes of Russia's New Approach to Power". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 2022-02-27.
  3. "The Gerasimov Doctrine". Politico.
  4. Donald M. Bishop Tony Selhorst on the role of information in the Gerasimov doctrine Archived 2016-10-21 at the Wayback Machine / The Public Diplomacy Council, 25.06.2016
  5. Jones, Sam (28 August 2014). Ukraine: Russia’s new art of war Financial Times,
  6. Can Kasapoglu. Rissia’s Renewed Military Thinking: Non-Linear Warfare and Reflexife Control // Research Division — NATO Defence College, Rome. № 121, P. 3, November 2015.
  7. Yuri Drazdow Modern hybrid war, by Russia’s rules / The Minsk Herald, 03.11.2014.
  8. Tony Selhorst Russia’s Perception Warfare / Militaire Spectator 22.04.2016
  9. Chambers J. (2016-10-18). "Countering Gray-Zone Hybrid Threats. An Analysis of Russia's 'New Generation Warfare' and implications for the US Army" (PDF). Modern War Institute at West Point. Retrieved 2017-03-16.
  10. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-02-09. Retrieved 2022-02-28.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  11. "Ценность науки в предвидении | Еженедельник "Военно-промышленный курьер"". vpk-news.ru. Retrieved 2022-02-27.
  12. Gerasimov V. The Value of Science Is in the Foresight (англ.) // Military Review : журнал. — 2016. — January–February. — P. 23—29.
  13. "Архивированная копия". Archived from the original on 2018-10-18. Retrieved 2017-03-30.
  14. Balasevicius, Tony (2015-11-10). "Russia's "New Generation War" and Its Implications for the Arctic". The Mackenzie Institute. Archived from the original on 2017-03-20. Retrieved 2017-03-15.
  15. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR1500/RR1577/RAND_RR1577.pdf
  16. Narr S. J. "Expanding Tolstoy and Shrinking Dostoyevsky" Military Review 2017 September–October (vol. 97, no. 5). p.39.
  17. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2015-12-17. Retrieved 2022-02-28.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  18. Кофман Майкл. Гибридная война, которой нет Ведомости, 20.04.2016.
  19. Плеханов И. «Доктрина Герасимова» и пугало «гибридной войны» России РИА Новости, 28.06.2017.
  20. Galeotti, Mark (5 March 2018). "I'm Sorry for Creating the 'Gerasimov Doctrine'". Foreign Policy. Slate Group. Retrieved 19 March 2022.
  21. Galeotti, Mark (2018). "The mythical 'Gerasimov Doctrine' and the language of threat". Critical Studies on Security. Informa UK Limited. 7 (2): 157–161. doi:10.1080/21624887.2018.1441623. ISSN 2162-4887. OCLC 8319522816. S2CID 159811828.

References

  • Chivvis C. "Understanding Russian "Hybrid Warfare". And What Can Be Done About it" RAND Corporation. 2017. — 1 марта.
  • Henry Foy. "Valery Gerasimov, the general with a doctrine for Russia" Файненшл Таймс. — 2017. — 1 сентября.
  • Bartles, Charles K. (2016), "Getting Gerasimov Right" (PDF), Military Review, 96 (1): 30–37
  • Hoffman, Frank G; Mattis, James N. "Future Warfare: The Rise of Hybrid Wars Proceedings" United States Naval Institute, 2005. pp 18–19.
  • Monaghan, Andrew (1 December 2015), "The 'War' in Russian's 'Hybrid Warfare'", Parameters, US Army War College, 45 (4): 65–74
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