2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect the 26 U.S. representatives from the State of New York, one from each of the state's 26 congressional districts. The elections will coincide with elections for Governor, U.S. Senate, Attorney General, Comptroller, state senate and assembly, and various other state and local elections.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in New York

November 8, 2022

All 26 New York seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 19 8

Following the 2020 census, New York will lose one seat in the U.S. House. Incumbent representatives Lee Zeldin, Thomas Suozzi, Kathleen Rice, John Katko and Tom Reed are retiring.

District 1

The incumbent is Republican Lee Zeldin, who was re-elected with 54.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] He is retiring to run for governor.[2] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. The current map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, shifts this district from R+6 to D+2, as the district absorbs many Democratic parts of the 2nd District.[3]

Declared
  • Anthony Figliola, former deputy supervisor of Brookhaven[4]
  • Nick LaLota, chief of staff to Suffolk County legislator Kevin McCaffrey[5]
  • Edward Francis Moore Jr., businessman[6][7]
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Nick LaLota
Organizations
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Nick LaLota
Republican Robert Cornicelli
Republican Anthony Figliola
Republican Edward Francis Moore Jr.
Total votes
Declared
Filed paperwork
Potential
Withdrawn
  • Nicholas Antonucci, educator and executive director of Sachem Professional Development Inc.[19][20]
  • John Atkinson (Endorsed Hahn)[21]

Endorsements

Kara Hahn
State Officials
Individuals
Bridget Fleming
State officials
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Bridget Fleming
Democratic Kara Hahn
Democratic Jackie Gordon
Democratic Austin Smith
Democratic Alexandre Zajic
Total votes {{{votes}}} '

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Lean D (flip) February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Lean D (flip) February 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Tossup February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Lean D (flip) April 5, 2022

District 2

The incumbent is Republican Andrew Garbarino, who was elected with 52.9% of the vote in 2020.[1] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the district will become significantly more red, shifting from R+5 to R+11 after absorbing many Republican-voting areas in the 1st district.[3]

Declared
  • Robert Cornicelli, veteran of the U.S. Navy and U.S. Army National Guard, Town of Oyster Bay Sanitation Inspector Supervisor[35]
  • Cait Corrigan, pastor[36]
  • Andrew Garbarino, incumbent U.S. representative[37]
  • Mike Rakebrandt, combat veteran and NYPD Detective[38]
Potential

Endorsements

Andrew Garbarino
Potential
  • Liuba Gretchen Shirley, candidate for this district in 2018, founder and CEO of Vote Mama
Withdrew

Endorsements

Jackie Gordon (withdrew)
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid R February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid R February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe R February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Likely R April 5, 2022

District 3

The incumbent is Democrat Thomas Suozzi, who was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2020.[1] Suozzi declined to run for re-election, instead opting to run for governor.[41] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the district will become slightly more blue, shifting from D+3 to D+5 after absorbing Democratic-voting areas in mainland New York.[3]

Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Alessandra Biaggi
Federal officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor Unions
Rob Zimmerman
Federal officials
State officials
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor Unions

Results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Alessandra Biaggi
Democratic Melanie D'Arrigo
Democratic Robert Zimmerman
Democratic Josh Lafazan
Democratic Reema Rasool
Democratic Jon Kaiman
Total votes
Declared
  • George Santos, nominee for this district in 2020[68]
  • Kevin Surdi, nurse[69]
Publicly expressed interest
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican George Santos
Republican Kevin Surdi
Total votes

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Likely D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Likely D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Likely D April 5, 2022

District 4

The incumbent is Democrat Kathleen Rice, who was re-elected with 56.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] On February 15, 2022, Rice announced that she will retire at the end of her term.[71] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators kept this district at D+4.

Declared

Filed paperwork
Potential
Declined

Endorsements

Laura Gillen
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Siela
Bynoe
Keith
Corbett
Laura
Gillen
Carrié
Solages
Undecided
Impact Research (D)[lower-alpha 2] March 28 – April 3, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 9% 4% 40% 11% 36%
Declared
  • Anthony D'Esposito, retired NYPD detective and Hempstead Town Board member[85]
  • Bill Staniford, veteran and CEO of PropertyShark[86]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Likely D April 20, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Likely D February 18, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Likely D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Likely D April 5, 2022

District 5

The incumbent is Democrat Gregory Meeks, who was re-elected with 99.3% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+34 to D+33.

Declared
Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Gregory Meeks
Organizations
Declared
  • Paul King, businessman[89]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 6

The incumbent is Democrat Grace Meng, who was re-elected with 67.9% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+13 to D+12.

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 7

The incumbent is Democrat Nydia Velázquez, who was re-elected with 84.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+34 to D+33.

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 8

The incumbent is Democrat Hakeem Jeffries, who was re-elected with 84.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+33 to D+28.

Declared
  • Queen Johnson, activist and nonprofit co-founder[96]
Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Declared
  • Brian Mannix, social studies teacher[101]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 9

The incumbent is Democrat Yvette Clarke, who was re-elected with 83% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+32 to D+28.

Declared
  • Isiah James, veteran, community organizer, and candidate for this seat in 2020[102]
Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Yvette Clarke

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 10

The incumbent is Democrat Jerry Nadler, who was re-elected with 74.5% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+27 to D+26.

Candidates

Endorsements

Potential
  • Benine Hamdan, risk analyst[106]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 11

The incumbent is Republican Nicole Malliotakis, who was elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2020 over incumbent Max Rose, who is running again in 2022 for his old seat.[1][107] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the district will shift from a Republican-leaning swing district to a Democratic-leaning swing district, as the 11th district absorbs parts of deeply blue Brooklyn.[3] The district shifted from R+7 to D+3.

Declared
Potential

Endorsements

Nicole Malliotakis
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Federal officials
Organizations
Declared
  • Komi Agoda-Koussema, educator[115]
  • Brittany Ramos DeBarros, activist[116]
  • Max Rose, former U.S. Representative for this district (2019–2021)[107]
Potential
Withdrawn
Declined

Endorsements

Max Rose
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Labor Unions
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Lean D (flip) February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Tossup February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Tossup February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Lean D (flip) April 5, 2022

District 12

The incumbent is Democrat Carolyn Maloney, who was re-elected with 82.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] She is running for re-election. Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators kept this district at D+34.

Declared

Endorsements

Rana Abdelhamid
State legislators
Municipal officials
Individuals
Organizations
Carolyn Maloney
Federal officials
State legislators
Municipal officials
Individuals
Labor Unions
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 13

The incumbent is Democrat Adriano Espaillat, who was re-elected with 90.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators kept this district at a rating of D+40.

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Adriano Espaillat

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 14

The incumbent is Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who was re-elected with 71.6% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+25 to D+26.

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Declared
  • Desi Cuellar, former bartender[174]
  • Tina Forte, social media influencer[175]
Declared
  • Jonathan Howe, public defender[176]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 15

The incumbent is Democrat Ritchie Torres, who was elected with 88.7% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+39 to D+37.

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 16

The incumbent is Democrat Jamaal Bowman, who was elected with 84% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+25 to D+18.

Declared
Withdrew
  • Manuel Casanova, former political strategist[179] (endorsed Gashi)[180]
  • Michael Gerald, pastor[179][180]
Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 17

The incumbent is Mondaire Jones, who was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+9 to D+5.

Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Mondaire Jones

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Likely D April 5, 2022

District 18

The incumbent is Democrat Sean Patrick Maloney, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from R+1 to D+1.

Filed paperwork
Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Lean D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Likely D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Lean D April 5, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Sean Patrick
Maloney (D)
Colin
Schmitt (R)
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[lower-alpha 3] March 10–13, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 37% 14%
BK Strategies (R)[lower-alpha 4] February 5–7, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 37% 38% 25%

District 19

The incumbent is Democrat Antonio Delgado, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020.[1] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the district will shift from a Republican-leaning swing district to a Democratic-leaning swing district, now containing parts of Albany, New York.[3] The district shifted from R+3 to D+1. On May 3, 2022, Governor Kathy Hochul announced her intent to appoint Delgado to the vacant Lieutenant Governor position, thus leaving the seat open.[186]

Withdrawn
Declared
Filed paperwork
Withdrew
  • Kyle Van De Water, Republican nominee for this district in 2020[190]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Lean D April 20, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Likely D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Lean D April 19, 2022
Politico[34] Lean D April 5, 2022

District 20

The incumbent is Democrat Paul Tonko, who was re-elected with 61.2% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+7 to D+5.

Declared
  • Jack Fallon-Underwood, musician[191]
  • Slava Rar[192]
Filed paperwork
Declared
  • Liz Joy, Republican nominee for this district in 2020[197]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Likely D April 5, 2022

District 21

The incumbent is Republican Elise Stefanik, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the district will shift from a Republican-leaning district to a heavily Republican-leaning district.[3] The district shifted from R+8 to R+13.

Declared
  • Lonny William Koons, former paratrooper and truck driver[198]
Filed paperwork

Endorsements

Elise Stefanik
Federal officials
Organizations
Declared
Withdrew

Endorsements

Matt Castelli
U.S. Representatives

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid R February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid R February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe R February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid R April 5, 2022

District 22

The incumbent is Republican Claudia Tenney, who was elected with 48.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] Tenney declined to run for re-election in the 22nd district, instead opting to run in the 23rd district.[207] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the new 22nd district comprises most of the old 24th district, which was represented by retiring Republican John Katko, and it is significantly bluer.[3] The district shifted from D+2 to D+8.

Declared
Declined
Declared

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Francis
Conole
Steven
Holden
Sarah
Klee Hood
Chol
Majok
Josh
Riley
Sam
Roberts
Vanessa
Fajans-Turner
Undecided
Global Strategy Group (D)[lower-alpha 5] March 10–13, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 13% 3% 1% 3% 6% 7% 2% 65%

Endorsements

Francis Conole
Individuals
  • Al Stirpe, New York State Assemblymen [219]
  • Marty Masterpole, Onondaga County Comptroler [219]
  • Linda Ervin, Onondaga County Legislative Minority Leader [219]
  • Kalheid Bay, Former Democratic nominee for mayor of Syracuse [219]
Organizations
  • Onondaga County Democratic Committe [219]
  • Cayuga County Democratic Committe[220]
  • Ironworkers Local 60
  • Votevets.org[221]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Likely D (flip) February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Likely D (flip) February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Likely D (flip) February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D (flip) April 5, 2022

District 23

The incumbent is Republican Tom Reed, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020.[1] He is not seeking re-election[222] after reaching a self-imposed 12-year term limit.[223] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the 23rd district becomes slightly redder (R+9 to R+15).[3]

Declared
Potential

Endorsements

Claudia Tenney
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Individuals
Organizations
Joe Sempolinski
U.S. Representatives
Declined
Declined

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid R February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid R February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe R February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid R April 5, 2022

District 24

The incumbent is Republican John Katko, who was re-elected with 53.1% of the vote in 2020.[1] The boundaries of the district will be determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle. Katko is retiring. Under the proposed map approved by the supermajority Democratic state legislature, which is likely to become law pending legal challenges, the new 24th district takes on various pieces of upstate districts, and will sport a significant partisan lean of R+14.[3]

Declared
Withdrawn
  • Todd Aldinger, attorney (endorsed McCarthy)[239][240]
  • Andrew McCarthy, intelligence analyst[238][241]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid R February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid R February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe R February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid R April 5, 2022

District 25

The incumbent is Democrat Joseph Morelle, who was re-elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+8 to D+7.

Filed paperwork
Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 26

The incumbent is Democrat Brian Higgins, who was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2020.[1] Following the 2020 redistricting cycle, a map drawn and approved by Democratic legislators shifted this district from D+10 to D+9.

Filed paperwork
Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[31] Solid D February 7, 2022
Inside Elections[32] Solid D February 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] Safe D February 8, 2022
Politico[34] Solid D April 5, 2022

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. This poll was sponsored by Gillen's campaign
  3. This poll was sponsored by Maloney's campaign
  4. This poll was sponsored by Schmitt's campaign
  5. This poll was sponsored by Conole's campaign

References

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  3. "What Redistricting Looks Like in Every State". FiveThirtyEight. February 3, 2022. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
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  8. StructureCMS; cornicelliforcongress.com. "Retired Army Captain enters race to unseat Garbarino". Cornicelli For Congress. Retrieved March 12, 2022.
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  12. O'Reilly, Brendan (May 3, 2021). "Bridget Fleming Announces Candidacy For Congress". www.27east.com. Retrieved November 24, 2021.
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  34. "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  35. StructureCMS; cornicelliforcongress.com. "Meet the Captain". Cornicelli For Congress. Retrieved April 22, 2022.
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