2023 Kebbi State gubernatorial election

The 2023 Kebbi State gubernatorial election will take place on 11 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Kebbi State, concurrent with elections to the Kebbi State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1][2] The election will be held two weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections. Incumbent APC Governor Abubakar Atiku Bagudu is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third term.

2023 Kebbi State gubernatorial election
11 March 2023
 
Party APC PDP
Governor before election

Abubakar Atiku Bagudu
APC

 Elected Governor

TBD
TBD

Electoral system

The Governor of Kebbi State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.

Background

Kebbi State is a diverse, northwestern state with a growing economy but is facing rising insecurity and desertification. Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and Atiku Bagudu won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees.

At the beginning of his term, Atiku Bagudu said his administration would focus on economic diversification, further improving immunization levels, and infrastructure.[3] In terms of his performance, Atiku Bagudu was commended for environmental protection and agricultural development but was criticized for new revelations to his previously-known looting of state funds during the Abacha administration involving his renewed attempts to retake some of the stolen funds that had been seized and his desperate attempts to keep hold of the loot still in his possession.[4][5][6][7]

Primary elections

The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, will take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022.[2] An informal zoning gentlemen's agreement sets the Kebbi South Senatorial District to have the next governor as Kebbi South has never produced a governor. However, another interpretation of zoning based on the traditional emirates in the state would set up the Argungu, Yauri and Zuru emirates to produce the next governor as the largest Gwandu Emirate has held the office for much of the state's history.[8] However, no major party has yet formally zoned their primaries.

All Progressives Congress

Analysts view the APC gubernatorial primary as a likely battle between the preexisting major factions within the Kebbi State APC with one faction led by outgoing Governor Abubakar Atiku Bagudu and the other faction led by Kebbi Central Senator and former Governor Adamu Aliero. Aliero is reportedly backing the candidacy of Kebbi North Senator Yahaya Abubakar Abdullahi while conflicting reports have stated that Atiku Bagudu may be supporting Attorney-General Abubakar Malami or former Finance Commissioner Ibrahim Muhammad Augie; an added element of the party crisis is the supposed ambition of Atiku Bagudu to run against Aliero in the Kebbi Central senatorial primary.[9][8] Tensions between the factions reached a head in late 2021 when Aliero's faction broke away and elected separate leadership to Atiku Bagudu's faction setting up a dispute over which was the legitimate party organization.[10][11][12] As Atiku Bagudu is a serving governor, his faction was recognized by the national party in February 2022 but the internal rift has remained as questions of zoning and godfather support have continued.[8]

On 20 April 2022, the APC National Executive Committee announced the party's schedule for gubernatorial primaries, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦10 million and nomination form price at ₦40 million with a 50% nomination form discount for candidates younger than 40 while women and candidates with disabilities get free nomination forms. Forms are to be sold from 26 April until 6 May; after the submission of nomination forms by 10 May, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 12 May while 14 May is the date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses and LGA congresses are set for between 7 and 9 May to elect delegates for the primary. Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 18 May, in concurrence with other APC gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 20 May.[13][14][15]

Declared

Potential

People's Democratic Party

On 16 March 2022, the national PDP announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦1 million and the nomination form price at ₦20 million with a 50% discount for candidates between 25 and 30. Forms were to be sold until 1 April but the party later extended the deadline four times before reaching a final deadline of 22 April. After the submission of nomination forms by 25 April, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 28 April while 2 May is the rescheduled date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses are set for 29 April and LGA congresses are set for 5 May to elect delegates for the primary.[21] Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 21 May, in concurrence with all other PDP gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 24 May.[22][23]

Declared
  • Ibrahim Abdullahi: PDP Deputy National Publicity Secretary[24]
  • Aminu Bande: former Army Major General[25]

Potential

See also

References
  1. Oyekanmi, Rotimi (26 February 2022). "It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25". INEC News. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
  2. Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
  3. "Gov. Bagudu sworn-in for 2nd term in office". Vanguard. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
  4. "U.S. AMBASSADOR JOINS KEBBI GOVERNOR TO LAUNCH NEW PARTNERSHIP WITH WACOT RICE TO IMPROVE FOOD SECURITY". USAID. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
  5. Ibekwe, Nicholas. "How Buhari administration planned to transfer $110 million Abacha loot to Bagudu". Premium Times. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
  6. "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, FEBRUARY, 2020: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022. The Governor of Kebbi State, Abubakar Atiku Bagudu, makes the February 2020 bottom five on account of his involvement in the now infamous Abacha loot scandal...Bagudu, in saner climes, would have been made to face the law for his fiendish roles in helping the former military dictator loot the nation’s resources.
  7. Adebayo, Taiwo-Hassan. "PANDORA PAPERS: How Governor Bagudu amassed dirty billions and how he is hiding it". Premium Times. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
  8. Sobechi, Leo; Idris, Ahmadu Baba (18 April 2022). "APC's challenge of retaining Kebbi deepens amid intraparty intrigues". The Guardian. Abuja and Birnin Kebbi. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
  9. "EXCLUSIVE: Nigerian Governor Stops Construction Project Over Rift With Senator, Puts Residents At Risk Of Floods". Sahara Reporters. Retrieved 28 January 2022.
  10. Sabiu, Muhammad (31 December 2021). "New Faction Of APC Emerges In Kebbi State". Nigerian Tribune. Kaduna. Retrieved 28 January 2022.
  11. Maishanu, Abubakar Ahmadu. "ANALYSIS: 2023: Alleged plot to impose Malami as governorship candidate fueling Kebbi APC crisis". Premium Times. Retrieved 27 January 2022.
  12. "2023: Bagudu Battles Aliero Over Malami, Senate Leader As APC Crises Get Messier". Daily Trust. Retrieved 28 January 2022.
  13. Majeed, Bakare (20 April 2022). "UPDATED: 2023: APC fixes presidential forms for N100 million, adopts indirect primaries". Premium Times. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
  14. Angbulu, Stephen; Ayeni, Victor; Dada, Peter; Naku, Dennis; Ede, Raphael (21 April 2022). "Presidential primary: APC silent on zoning, Nigerians condemn N100m nomination fee". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  15. APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (April 25, 2022). "OFFICIAL" (Tweet). Retrieved 26 April 2022 – via Twitter.
  16. Maishanu, Abubakar Ahmadu. "Senate majority leader joins Kebbi governorship race". Premium Times. Retrieved 5 May 2022.
  17. Aliyu, Haruna. "Amid resignation ultimatum, Malami declares for Kebbi Governorship". Vanguard. Retrieved 28 April 2022.
  18. Abdulrauf, Abdulrahman A. "Kebbi 2023: Between imaginary and real contenders". Blueprint Newspaper. Retrieved 21 March 2022.
  19. Idris, Ahmadu Baba. "Malami aloof as Bagudu's supporters tip Gwandu for Kebbi 2023 guber". The Guardian. Retrieved 21 June 2021.
  20. Dogon Daji, Kabiru. "Kebbi in quest for a new helmsman". Blueprint Newspaper. Retrieved 24 January 2022.
  21. Angbulu, Stephen (21 April 2022). "2023: PDP extends sale of forms for fourth time". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
  22. Yakubu, Dirisu (16 March 2022). "[BREAKING] 2023: PDP Presidential primary holds in May". Vanguard. Abuja. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
  23. Akpan, Samuel (17 March 2022). "2023: PDP releases pre-election schedule, fixes presidential primary poll for May 28". TheCable. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
  24. Oyetunji, Olawale. "2023: PDP Deputy Publicity scribe joins Kebbi guber race, promise to prioritize youths". Daily Post. Retrieved 22 March 2022.
  25. Odunsi, Wale. "2023 elections: PDP can defeat APC – Bande joins Kebbi guber race". Daily Post. Retrieved 7 February 2022.
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