2022 Vermont gubernatorial election
The 2022 Vermont gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Vermont. Incumbent Republican Governor Phil Scott will be eligible to seek a fourth 2-year term.
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| Elections in Vermont |
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Republican primary
Potential
- H. Brooke Paige, historian and perennial candidate[1][lower-alpha 1]
- Bernard Peters, retired state employee and perennial candidate[1]
- Emily Peyton, artist and perennial candidate[1][lower-alpha 2]
- Phil Scott, incumbent Governor of Vermont (2017–present)[2]
Democratic primary
Publicly expressed interest
- Doug Racine, former Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (1997–2003) and candidate for governor in 2002 and 2010[3][4]
- Brenda Siegel, nonprofit executive, candidate for Governor of Vermont in 2018, and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020[4]
Potential
- T. J. Donovan, Vermont Attorney General (2017–present)[1]
- Jill Krowinski, Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives (2021–present)[1]
Declined
- Becca Balint, President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate (2021–present)[1] (running for U.S. House)[5]
- Molly Gray, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (2021–present)[1] (running for U.S. House)[6]
Progressive primary
Potential
- Boots Wardinski, farmer and perennial candidate[1]
Write-In and Other Candidates
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[10] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[11] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[12] | Likely R | January 26, 2022 |
| Politico[13] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[14] | Likely R | January 10, 2022 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Phil Scott vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 3] |
Margin of error |
Phil Scott (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 583 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 50% | 25% | 24% |
Notes
- Republican candidate for US Senate in 2012 and 2018; Democratic candidate for Attorney General in 2014 and 2016; Republican nominee for Attorney General in 2018 and 2020; Democratic candidate for Governor in 2014 and 2016; Republican nominee for Secretary of State in 2018 and 2020; Republican candidate for the US House in 2018; Republican candidate for Auditor of Accounts in 2018.
- Independent candidate for Governor in 2012 and 2014; Liberty Union nominee for Governor in 2018; Republican candidate for Governor in 2014 and 2020.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Vermont Politics". www.politics1.com. Retrieved June 6, 2021.
- Davis, Eric (November 18, 2021). "Sizing up the races for governor". Addison County Independent. Retrieved December 8, 2021.
- "Racine Mulls Run for Governor". The Vermont Political Observer. February 21, 2022. Retrieved February 24, 2022.
- Cutler, Calvin (March 4, 2022). "Vt. Democrats testing the waters for Gov. Scott challenge". WCAX.com.
- "Senate President Pro Tem Becca Balint to run for Congress | Vermont Business Magazine". December 13, 2021.
- "Lt. Gov. Molly Gray announces run for Vermont's sole US House seat". myNBC5.com. December 6, 2021. Retrieved December 6, 2021.
- "14 year old runs for Vermont Governor".
- "My friend is running for governor... of Vermont".
- Ayden Perkins for Governor [@AydenPerkins9] (April 14, 2022). "Hi. I'm Ayden and I'm running for Governor of Vermont 2022. I'm from Henderson, Nevada, and yea! Write me in to push for better infrastructure and public transport in the green mountain state. Perkins '22" (Tweet) – via Twitter.
- "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "Vermont Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
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