2022 Texas gubernatorial election

The 2022 Texas gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott is running for re-election to a third term. Gubernatorial primaries were held on March 1, 2022. Abbott and challengers Allen West and Don Huffines led in Republican primary polls leading up to the primary, while Democrat Beto O'Rourke held the lead in late Democratic primary polls.

2022 Texas gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022
 
Nominee Greg Abbott Beto O'Rourke
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Greg Abbott
Republican



Texas does not have gubernatorial term limits. All statewide elected offices are currently held by Republicans. In his most recent gubernatorial race in 2018, Abbott won with 55.8% of the vote.[1]

Republican primary

On June 4, 2021, Texas Republican Party chairman Allen West announced his resignation as party chair.[2] West criticized Gov. Greg Abbott's handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Texas.[3] The history of conflict between West and Abbott included a lawsuit by West and other Republicans challenging Abbott's extension of the early voting period in 2020, as well as a protest outside the Governor's Mansion over pandemic-related shutdowns as well as mask mandates.[4] On July 4, 2021, West announced that he would challenge Abbott in the 2022 gubernatorial primary.[5] Both West and fellow gubernatorial candidate Don Huffines were considered more conservative than Abbott.[6][7] On March 1, 2022, Abbott won the Republican primary by an overwhelming margin.

Declared

Eliminated in primary

Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Withdrawn

  • Martin Holsome, former Rusk city councillor[18]
  • Kurt Schwab, military veteran[16]

Declined

Endorsements

Greg Abbott
U.S. executive branch officials
U.S. senators
State officials
Organizations
Don Huffines
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Texas state representatives
Out of state representatives
  • Anthony Sabatini, State Representative for Florida's 32nd District, and candidate for Florida's 7th Congressional District in 2022.[34]
Local officials
  • Don McLaughlin, mayor of Uvalde (2014–present)[35]
Individuals
Allen West
Executive branch officials
Texas state representatives
Individuals
Chad Prather

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott
Don
Huffines
Ricky Lynn
Perry
Chad
Prather
Allen
West
Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) February 25–28, 2022 1,040 (LV) ± 3.0% 62% 10% 2% 2% 15% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 3%
Emerson College February 21–22, 2022 522 (LV) ± 4.2% 61% 9% 3% 3% 12% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 9%
UT Tyler February 8–15, 2022 581 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 3% 6% 3% 7% 5%[lower-alpha 5] 15%
YouGov/UT January 28 – February 7, 2022 375 (LV) ± 5.1% 60% 14% 5% 3% 15% 3%[lower-alpha 6]
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 31, 2022 1,542 (LV) ± 2.5% 34% 5% 6% 6% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 7] 4%
UT Tyler January 18–25, 2022 514 (LV) ± 5.1% 59% 4% 4% 2% 6% 4%[lower-alpha 8] 20%
YouGov/UH January 14–24, 2022 490 (LV) ± 3.7% 58% 7% 3% 2% 11% 2%[lower-alpha 9] 17%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] January 9, 2022 1,486 (LV) ± 2.5% 33% 5% 12% 3% 38% 3%[lower-alpha 10] 7%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] December 16, 2021 447 (LV) ± 4.5% 33% 2% 15% 1% 35% 14%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 30, 2021 – (LV) 42% 3% 2% 36% 17%
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 520 (LV) ± 4.7% 65% 3% 6% 6% 3% 18%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] November 11, 2021 – (LV) 43% 3% 2% 33% 19%
YouGov/UT/TT October 22–31, 2021 554 (RV) ± 4.2% 56% 7% 4% 13% 4% 16%
YouGov/TXHPF October 14–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 61% 4% 3% 13% 19%
UT Tyler September 7–14, 2021 427 (LV) ± 6.1% 70% 15% 15%
431 (LV) ± 6.0% 65% 20% 15%
Victory Insights (R) July 22–24, 2021 400 (RV) ± 4.9% 80% 20%
Paradigm Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] June 30, 2021 – (LV) 73% 17% 10%
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 440 (LV) ± 5.4% 77% 12% 11%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott
Don
Huffines
Sid
Miller
Allen
West
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] June 14–17, 2021 446 (LV) ± 4.6% 69% 3% 3% 13%

Results

Results by county:
Abbott
  •   Abbott—80–90%
  •   Abbott—70–80%
  •   Abbott—60–70%
  •   Abbott—50–60%
  •   Abbott—40–50%
Republican primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent) 1,299,059 66.48%
Republican Allen B. West 239,557 12.26%
Republican Don Huffines 234,138 11.98%
Republican Chad Prather 74,173 3.80%
Republican Ricky Lynn Perry 61,424 3.14%
Republican Kandy Kaye Horn 23,605 1.21%
Republican Paul Belew 11,387 0.58%
Republican Danny Harrison 10,829 0.55%
Total votes 1,954,172

Democratic primary

Declared

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified

  • Jack Daniel Foster Jr., teacher[12]
  • R. Star Locke, veteran[12]

Declined

Endorsements

Beto O'Rourke
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
County officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers and other media

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Inocencio
Barrientez
Michael
Cooper
Joy
Diaz
Jack
Foster Jr.
Deirdre
Gilbert
Star
Locke
Beto
O'Rourke
Rich
Wakeland
Other Undecided
Emerson College February 21–22, 2022 388 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 5% 4% 78% 2% 11%
UT Tyler February 8–15, 2022 479 (LV) ± 4.9% 2% 3% 4% 2% 2% 2% 68% 2% 14%
YouGov/UT January 28 – February 7, 2022 348 (LV) ± 5.3% 2% 1% 2% 93% 1% 1%
UT Tyler January 18–25, 2022 459 (LV) ± 5.4% 1% 6% 4% 2% 1% 1% 58% 0% 27%
YouGov/UH January 14–24, 2022 616 (LV) ± 3.3% 3% 4% 3% 73% 1% 16%
YouGov/UT/TT October 22–31, 2021 436 (RV) ± 4.7% 70% 5% 25%

Results

Results by county:
O'Rourke:
  •   O'Rourke—>90%
  •   O'Rourke—80–90%
  •   O'Rourke—70–80%
  •   O'Rourke—60–70%
  •   O'Rourke—50–60%
  •   O'Rourke—40–50%
Wakeland:
  •   Wakeland—40–50%
Barrientez:
  •   Barrientez—50–60%
No vote:
  •   No vote
Democratic primary results[45]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Beto O'Rourke 983,182 91.41%
Democratic Joy Diaz 33,622 3.13%
Democratic Michael Cooper 32,673 3.04%
Democratic Rich Wakeland 13,237 1.23%
Democratic Inocencio Barrientez 12,887 1.20%
Total votes 1,075,601

Green primary

Declared

Libertarian convention

Declared

  • Mark Jay Tippetts, attorney, former Lago Vista city councilman, and nominee for governor in 2018

Withdrew/disqualified

Independents and other parties

Declared

  • Deirdre Dickson-Gilbert, public educator (previously ran for Democratic nomination)[77][12][78]
  • Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla, retired educator and write-in candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[79]

Disqualified

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[84] Likely R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[85] Solid R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[86] Likely R January 26, 2022
Politico[87] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[88] Lean R January 10, 2022

Endorsements

Greg Abbott (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
State officials
Organizations
Beto O'Rourke (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
County officials
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Greg
Abbott (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Other
[lower-alpha 11]
Margin
Real Clear Politics December 2, 2021 – March 20, 2022 April 4, 2022 47.7% 40.0% 12.2% Abbott +7.7
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov/TXHPF March 18–28, 2022 1,139 (LV) ± 2.9% 50% 42% 3%[lower-alpha 12] 5%
Texas Lyceum March 11–20, 2022 926 (RV) ± 3.2% 42% 40% 7% 11%
Emerson College February 21–22, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% 3%
UT Tyler February 8–15, 2022 1,188 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38% 16% 1%
Climate Nexus February 1–9, 2022 806 (LV) ± 3.6% 45% 40% 7% 8%
YouGov/UT January 28 – February 7, 2022 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 37% 6% 11%
UT Tyler January 18–25, 2022 1,072 (RV) ± 3.5% 47% 36% 16% 1%
YouGov/UH January 14–24, 2022 – (LV)[lower-alpha 13] [lower-alpha 13] 48% 43% 3%[lower-alpha 14] 6%
Quinnipiac University December 2–6, 2021 1,224 (RV) ± 2.8% 52% 37% 4% 6%
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 45% 39% 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 884 (RV) ± 3.3% 40% 39% 5% 7%
854 (LV) ± 3.4% 43% 44% 5% 6%
YouGov/UT/TT October 22–31, 2021 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 37% 7% 10%
YouGov/TXHPF October 14–27, 2021 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 42% 3%[lower-alpha 15] 12%
UT Tyler September 7–14, 2021 1,148 (RV) ± 3.7% 42% 37% 21%
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 33% 22%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 3] June 14–17, 2021 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 52% 42% 6%
Hypothetical polling
Greg Abbott vs. Julián Castro
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Julián
Castro (D)
Other Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 884 (RV) ± 3.3% 43% 35% 4% 9%
854 (LV) ± 3.4% 45% 39% 4% 8%
Greg Abbott vs. Beto O'Rourke with Matthew McConaughey as an independent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Matthew
McConaughey (I)
Other Undecided
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 37% 26% 27% 10%
YouGov/TXHPF October 14–27, 2021 1,402 (RV) ± 3.1% 40% 37% 9% 2%[lower-alpha 16] 12%
Greg Abbott vs. Don Huffines
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Don
Huffines
Other
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 22% 32%
Greg Abbott vs. Matthew McConaughey
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Matthew
McConaughey
Other
UT Tyler November 9–16, 2021 1,106 (RV) ± 3.2% 35% 43% 22%
UT Tyler September 7–14, 2021 1,148 (RV) ± 3.7% 35% 44% 21%
UT Tyler June 22–29, 2021 1,090 (RV) ± 3.0% 39% 38% 23%
UT Tyler April 6–13, 2021 1,124 (RV) ± 2.9% 33% 45% 22%
Greg Abbott vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 4] September 15–22, 2020 726 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 34% 20%
Greg Abbott vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Greg
Abbott (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
Quinnipiac University September 24–27, 2021 863 (RV) ± 3.3% 42% 51% 7%
Quinnipiac University June 15–21, 2021 1,099 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 48% 6%

Results

2022 Texas gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Abbott (incumbent)
Democratic Beto O'Rourke
Libertarian Mark Tippetts
Green Delilah Barrios
Independent Jorge Alberto Franco
Independent Deirdre Gilbert
Total votes 100.0% N/A

Notes

  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Harrison with 3%; Belew and Horn with 1%
  4. Harrison with 3%; Belew and Horn with 0%
  5. Horn with 2%; Belew and Harrison with 1%
  6. Someone else with 2%, Horn with 1%
  7. Belew, Harrison, and Horn with 1%
  8. Horn with 2%; Belew and Harrison with 1%
  9. Harrison and Horn with 1%; Belew with 0%
  10. Belew, Harrison, and Horn with 1%
  11. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  12. Tippetts with 2%, Barrios with 1%
  13. Subsample of likely general election voters from a survey of 1,400 registered voters (overall margin of error ± 2.2% including design effect
  14. Tippetts with 2%; Barrios with 1%
  15. Behrman/Jewell with 2%, Barrios with 1%
  16. Behrman/Jewell and Barrios with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll conducted for West's campaign
  2. Poll conducted for Abbott's campaign
  3. Poll conducted for Abbott's campaign
  4. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References

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Official campaign websites
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