2022 São Paulo gubernatorial election

The 2022 São Paulo state election will take place in the state of São Paulo, Brazil on 2 October 2022. Voters will elect a Governor, Vice Governor, one Senator, 70 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 94 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent Governor, Rodrigo Garcia, of the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), is eligible for a second term and will run for re-election.[1]

2022 São Paulo state election

2 October 2022 (2022-10-02) (first round)
30 October 2022 (2022-10-30) (second round, if necessary)
Opinion polls
Gubernatorial election

Incumbent Governor

Rodrigo Garcia
PSDB



Parliamentary election

All 94 seats of the Legislative Assembly
PartyLeader Current seats
Legislative Assembly
PL Ricardo Madalena 17
PSDB Analice Fernandes 13
PT Maria Izabel Noronha 10
Brazil Union Milton Leite Filho 8
Republicans Altair Moraes 8
PODE Márcio Giudicio 7
PP Antonio Olim 5
MDB Jorge Caruso 3
PSD Marta Costa 3
CDN Roberto Morais 3
PSOL Carlos Giannazi 3
Avante Campos Machado 2
PCdoB Leci Brandão 2
NOVO Sergio Victor 2
PDT Marcio Nakashima 2
PSB Caio França 1
PRTB Janaína Paschoal 1
PTC Adriana Borgo 1
REDE Marina Helou 1
SDD Alexandre Pereira 1
PATRI Sargento Neri 1

Gubernatorial candidates

Potential candidates

Candidate name and party Most recent political office Party logo Details Ref.
Rodrigo Garcia
Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB)
Governor of São Paulo
(since 2022)
Born in Tanabi, São Paulo in 1974. Former Vice Governor and Secretary of Government of São Paulo, former Federal and State Deputy of São Paulo. [2]
Márcio França
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)
Governor of São Paulo
(2018)
Born in São Vicente, São Paulo in 1963. Former Governor and Vice Governor of São Paulo and Mayor and City Councillor of São Vicente. Candidate for Governor of São Paulo in 2018 and for Mayor of São Paulo in 2020. [2]
Abraham Weintraub
Party of the Brazilian Woman (PMB)
Minister of Education of Brazil
(2019–2020)
Born in São Paulo in 1971. Incumbent World Bank Group Executive Director, former Minister of Education of Brazil. [3][4]
[5]
Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas
Republicanos
Minister of Infrastructure of Brazil
(2019–2022)
Born in Rio de Janeiro in 1975. Incumbent Minister of Infrastructure of Brazil. Retired Captain of the Brazilian Army. [6][7]
Gabriel Colombo
Brazilian Communist Party (PCB)
No prior public office Born in Piracicaba. Bachelor of Agronomy and former leader of the Postgraduate National Association (ANPG) [8]
Vinicius Poit
New Party (NOVO)
Federal Deputy from São Paulo
(since 2019)
Born in São Paulo. Politician and entrepreneur. [9]
Felício Ramuth
Social Democratic Party (PSD)
Mayor of São José dos Campos
(2017–2022)
Born in São Paulo in 1968. Former Municipal Secretary of Transports and Communication Planning Advisor of São José dos Campos. [10]
Elvis Cezar
Democratic Labour Party (PDT)
No prior public office Lawyer and TV presenter. [11]
Altino Prazeres
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU)
No prior public office Chemical worker. Former president of the Chemical Industries' Workers Union of Pernambuco and the São Paulo Metro Workers Union. Candidate for Mayor of São Paulo in 2016. [11]

Publicly expressed interest

Withdrawn candidates

Senatorial candidates

Potential candidates

Candidate name and party Most recent political office Party logo Details Ref.
Márcio França
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)
Governor of São Paulo
(2018)
Born in São Vicente, São Paulo in 1963. Former Governor and Vice Governor of São Paulo and Mayor and City Councillor of São Vicente. Candidate for Governor of São Paulo in 2018 and for Mayor of São Paulo in 2020. [16]
José Luiz Datena
Social Christian Party (PSC)
No prior public office Born in Ribeirão Preto in 1957. TV presenter and journalist. [16]
Mario Filho
Democratic Labour Party (PDT)
Chief of Staff of Riot Police Command
(since 2020)
Lieutenant-colonel of the Military Police of São Paulo State. Former Commander of Rondas Ostensivas Tobias de Aguiar. [16]
Janaina Paschoal
Brazilian Labour Renewal Party (PRTB)
State Deputy of São Paulo
(since 2019)
Born in São Paulo in 1974. Professor of Criminal Law, Forensic Medicine and Criminology of the Law School, University of São Paulo. [16]
Nise Yamaguchi
Brazilian Labour Party (PTB)
No prior political office Born in Maringá in 1959. Oncologist and immunologist, university professor. [16]
Ricardo Mellão
New Party (NOVO)
State Deputy of São Paulo
(since 2019)
Born in São Paulo in 1985. Lawyer and son of former Labour Minister João Mellão Neto. [16]
Heni Ozi Cukier
Podemos (PODE)
State Deputy of São Paulo
(since 2019)
Born in São Paulo in 1977. Political science, professor, writer and public speaker. [16]
Vivian Mendes
Popular Unity (UP)
No prior political office Bachelor's degree in social communication from Unesp. [17]

Legislative Assembly

The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly is given below:

Affiliation Members +/–
Elected[18] Current[19]
PL 6 17 11
PSDB 8 13 5
PT 10 10
Brazil Union New 8 8
REP 6 8 2
PODE 4 7 6
PP 4 5 1
MDB 3 3
PSOL 4 3 1
CDN 2 3 1
PSD 2 3 1
Avante 1 2 1
PCdoB 1 2 1
PDT 1 2 1
NOVO 4 2 2
PRTB 0 1 1
PTC 0 1 1
SDD 1 1
PATRI 1 1
REDE 1 1
PSB 8 1 7
PV 1 0 1
PROS 1 0 1
PSL 15 0 15
DEM 7 0 7
PTB 2 0 2
PHS 1 0 1
Total 94

Opinion polls

Governor

2022

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
França
PSB
Tarcísio
Republicans
Garcia
PSDB
Ramuth
PSD
Poit
NOVO
Weintraub
PMB
Abreu
PODE
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Govnet/Opinião Pesquisa 20–25 Apr 800 26,04% 13,20% 9,66% 3,06% 1,59% 1,10% 0,49% 2,32% 0,86%[lower-alpha 1] 41,69% 12,84%
35,45% 10,39% 3,67% 1,71% 1,71% 0,98% 2,44% 0,98%[lower-alpha 2] 42,67% 25,06%
25,67% 10,27% 3,55% 1,59% 1,59% 0,49% 2,69% 1,10%[lower-alpha 3] 53,06% 15,4%
Ipespe 6–9 Apr 1,000 29% 20% 10% 6% 2% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 4] 29% 9%
30% 20% 14% 6% 32% 10%
35% 18% 9% 38% 17%
39% 29% 11% [lower-alpha 5] 21% 10%
Datafolha 5–6 Apr 1,806 29% 20% 10% 6% 2% 2% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 30% 9%
35% 11% 11% 3% 2% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 7] 33% 24%
Mar 2022 The state deputy of São Paulo, Arthur do Val (Mamãe Falei) withdrew his candidature to São Paulo's government on early March 2022 after private audios of him saying that "Ukrainian women are easier because they are poor" became viral in Brazil. [20] Boulos withdrew his candidature on March 21, 2022 in order to run for a seat at the Chamber of Deputies of Brazil.[21]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
França
PSB
Tarcísio
Ind.
Boulos
PSOL
Abreu
PODE
Garcia
PSDB
Weintraub
Ind.
Poit
NOVO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 27–31 Mar 1,820 30,2% 17,1% 12,6% 4,2% 3,5% 0,5% 0,9% 0,8%[lower-alpha 8] 30,1% 13,1%
31,1% 17,6% 12,7% 3,8% 1,4% 1%[lower-alpha 9] 32,3% 13,5%
31,4% 18,4% 12,9% 4% 33,3% 13%
Real Time Big Data 25–27 Mar 1,500 27% 14% 14% 2% 6% 1% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 10] 34% 13%
27% 15% 15% 7% 1% 35% 12%
32% 20% 9% 2% 37% 12%
29% 17% 9% 2% 43% 12%
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 24% 18% 9% 7% 3% 3% 1% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 11] 33% 6%
30% 11% 7% 5% 3% 3%[lower-alpha 12] 42% 19%
31% 12% 6% 4% 3%[lower-alpha 13] 44% 19%
35% 15% 8% 42% 20%
15 Feb 2022 Lula confirms Geraldo Alckmin as his running mate in 2022 Brazilian general election.[22]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
França
PSB
Alckmin
Ind.
Boulos
PSOL
Tarcísio
Ind.
Garcia
PSDB
Weintraub
Ind.
Poit
NOVO
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Ipespe 14–16 Feb 1,000 20% 12% 20% 10% 7% 3% 2% 1% 25% Tie
28% 18% 11% 10% 5% 28% 10%
31% 15% 6% 48% 16%
33% 16% 7% 45% 17%
38% 25% 10% 27% 13%
6% 4% 2% 3% 5% 1% 0% 0% 4%[lower-alpha 14] 77% 2%

2021

15 Dec 2021 Geraldo Alckmin decides to leave the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB) after being affiliated by 33 years on the political party.[23]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
França
PSB
Alckmin
PSDB
Boulos
PSOL
Tarcísio
Ind.
Val
PATRI
Garcia
PSDB
Weintraub
Ind.
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 13–17 Dec 1,818 16% 30.2% 12.5% 6.3% 4.6% 5.4% 0.8%[lower-alpha 15] 24.3% 14.2%
24.3% 18.6% 6.7% 5.2% 7.9% 1%[lower-alpha 16] 36.3% 5.7%
Datafolha 13–16 Dec 2,034 19% 13% 28% 10% 5% 2% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 17] 20% 9%
28% 19% 11% 7% 3% 6% 1% 1%[lower-alpha 18] 25% 9%
28% 18% 9% 4% 8% 2% 1%[lower-alpha 19] 30% 10%
Ipespe/Valor 29 Nov–1 Dec 1,000 19% 23% 11% 8% 3% 36% 4%
19% 23% 10% 5% 43% 4%
27% 13% 13% 6% 41% 14%

March–September 2021

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
França
PSB
Alckmin
PSDB
Doria
PSDB
Boulos
PSOL
Val
PATRI
Garcia
DEM/PSDB
Weintraub
Ind.
Skaf
MDB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Datafolha 13–15 Sep 2,034 17% 15% 26% 11% 4% 4% 5%[lower-alpha 20] 20% 9%
23% 19% 13% 5% 5% 2% 7%[lower-alpha 21] 26% 4%
EXAME/IDEIA 23–26 Aug 2,000 16% 15% 19% 14% 4% 5% 7% 4%[lower-alpha 22] 16% 3%
Paraná Pesquisas 7–10 June 1,818 8.5% 11.0% 17.6% 12.3% 5.2% 0.4% 8.1% 19.8%[lower-alpha 23] 17.0% 1.5%
12.0% 19.6% 15.2% 5.3% 8.5% 20.9%[lower-alpha 24] 18.4% 0.6%
14.3% 16.2% 5.6% 1.8% 10.7% 15.5%[lower-alpha 25] 25.2% 9.2%
13.3% 23.7% 16.6% 8.1% 1.3% 9.2% 5.0%[lower-alpha 26] 24.8% 7.1%
15.6% 13.5% 17.0% 6.2% 10.3% 9.5%[lower-alpha 27] 28.1% 1.4%
Atlas/El País 7–11 May 1,050 14.6% 12.5% 17.0% 6.9% 2.5% 16.4% 30.1% 0.6%
11.5% 13.3% 26.3% 7.5% 17.9% 23.5% 8.4%
25.3% 10.4% 12.2% 6.6% 14.9% 13.5% 17.1% 10.4%
Ipespe/Valor 5–7 Apr 1,000 20% 18% 17% 5% 1% 4% 36% 2%
17% 17% 8% 16% 5% 36% Tie
GovNet/Opinião Pesquisa 17–23 Mar 812 21.06% 13.92% 10.59% 9.85% 3.82% 1.48% 5.67% 0.86%[lower-alpha 28] 32.76% 7.14%
23.89% 16.38% 11.95% 4.56% 2.71% 7.88% 1.35%[lower-alpha 29] 31.28% 7.51%
23.52% 15.15% 14.90% 4.56% 2.59% 7.02% 1.23%[lower-alpha 30] 31.03% 8.37%

Second round

2022

Haddad vs. Garcia

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
Garcia
PSDB
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Ipespe 6–9 Apr 1,000 39% 23% 38% 16%
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 41% 25% 34% 16%

Haddad vs. Tarcísio de Freitas

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
Tarcísio
Republicans
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Ipespe 6–9 Apr 1,000 40% 27% 33% 13%
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 42% 27% 28% 15%

Haddad vs. França

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Haddad
PT
França
PSB
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 38% 33% 28% 5%

França vs. Tarcísio de Freitas

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
França
PSB
Tarcísio
Republicans
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Ipespe 6–9 Apr 1,000 39% 25% 36% 14%

França vs. Garcia

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
França
PSB
Garcia
PSDB
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Ipespe 6–9 Apr 1,000 42% 20% 38% 22%
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 44% 15% 41% 29%

Tarcísio de Freitas vs. Garcia

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Tarcísio
Ind.
Garcia
PSDB
Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 29% 18% 53% 11%

Senator

April 2022

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Datena
PSC
França
PSB
Paschoal
PRTB
Skaf
Republicans
Cukier
PODE
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 27–31 Mar 1,820 32% 15,4% 11,2% 10,2% 0,4% 1,4%[lower-alpha 31] 29,4% 16,6%
34,6% 19,3% 12,3% 33,7% 15,3%

March 2022

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
Datena
UNIÃO
França
PSB
Skaf
MDB
Paschoal
PRTB
Cukier
PODE
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Real Time Big Data 25–27 Mar 1,500 32% 19% 11% 6% 1% 3%[lower-alpha 32] 28% 13%
33% 12% 7% 20%[lower-alpha 33] 28% 13%
27% 18% 11% 5%[lower-alpha 34] 39% 9%
Quaest/Genial 11–14 Mar 1,640 39% 15% 13% 6% 1% 2%[lower-alpha 35] 24% 24%
42% 21% 8% 3%[lower-alpha 36] 26% 21%

June–December 2021

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted
Sample
size
França
PSB
Boulos
PSOL
Datena
PSL
Moro
PODE
Haddad
PT
Suplicy
PT
Skaf
MDB
Paschoal
PSL
Serra
PSDB
Others Abst.
Undec.
Lead
Paraná Pesquisas 13–17 Dec 1,818 25.7% 19.8% 17.7% 7.4% 7.7% 0.8%[lower-alpha 37] 21% 5.9%
EXAME/IDEIA 23–26 Aug 2,000 19% 17% 15% 11% 8% 4% 7%[lower-alpha 38] 19% 2%
Paraná Pesquisas 7–10 June 1,818 29.1% 19.0% 10.1% 8.3% 11.2%[lower-alpha 39] 22.3% 10.1%
23.5% 12.2% 10.9% 21.5%[lower-alpha 40] 31.9% 11.3%

Notes

  1. Elvis Cezar (PDT) with 0,86%
  2. Elvis Cezar (PDT) with 0,98%
  3. Elvis Cezar (PDT) with 1,10%
  4. Altino Junior (PSTU) with 1% and Elvis Cezar (PDT) with 1%
  5. Possible electoral scenario in which the presidential candidate Lula (PT) and vice-presidential candidate Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) supports Fernando Haddad (PT) for the government of São Paulo, Bolsonaro (PL) supports Tarcísio Freitas (PL) and João Doria (PSDB) supports Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB)
  6. Altino Junior (PSTU) with 1%
  7. Altino Junior (PSTU) with 2%
  8. Felicio Ramuth (PSD) with 0,8%
  9. Felicio Ramuth (PSD) with 1%
  10. Felicio Ramuth (PSD) with 1%
  11. Felicio Ramuth (PSD) with 1%
  12. Felicio Ramuth (PSD) with 3%
  13. Felicio Ramuth (PSD) with 3%
  14. João Doria (PSDB) with 4%
  15. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 0.8%
  16. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  17. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  18. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  19. Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  20. Tarcísio Freitas with 4%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  21. Tarcísio Freitas with 6%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 1%
  22. Tarcísio Freitas with 2%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 2%
  23. José Luiz Datena (PSL) with 19.1%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 0.7%
  24. José Luiz Datena (PSL) with 20.2%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) 0.7%
  25. José Luiz Datena (PSL) with 25.4%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) 0.8%
  26. Janaína Paschoal (PSL) 4.3%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) with 0.7%
  27. Janaína Paschoal (PSL) with 5.0%; Tarcísio Gomes de Freitas with 3.7%; Vinicius Poit (NOVO) 0.8%
  28. Elvis Cezar (PSDB) with 0.86%
  29. Elvis Cezar (PSDB) with 1.35%
  30. Elvis Cezar (PSDB)) with 1.35%
  31. Ricardo Mellão (NOVO) with 1,4%
  32. Nise Yamaguchi (PTB) with 2%; Ricardo Mellão (NOVO) with 1%
  33. Fernando Haddad (PT) with 20%
  34. José Aníbal (PSDB) with 5%
  35. Ricardo Mellão (NOVO) with 2%
  36. Ricardo Mellão (NOVO) with 3%
  37. José Aníbal (PSDB) with 0.8%
  38. Mario Covas Neto (PODE) with 2%; Maurren Maggi (PSB) with 2%; Marta Suplicy with 2%; Janaína Lima with 1%; Luiz Felipe D'Ávila with 1%
  39. Mario Covas Neto (PODE) with 4.9%; Marta Suplicy with 4.2%; Maurren Maggi (PSB) with 2.1%
  40. Mario Covas Neto (PODE) with 8.9%; Marta Suplicy with 5.4%; Baleia Rossi (MDB) with 3.8%; Maurren Maggi (PSB) with 3.4%

References

  1. "Rodrigo Garcia toma posse como governador de SP". G1 (in Portuguese). 1 April 2022. Retrieved 1 April 2022.
  2. Linhares, Carolina; Tavares, Joelmir (3 December 2020). "Acordo entre Doria e seu vice embaralha disputa pelo Governo de SP em 2022". Folha de S. Paulo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  3. Pereira, Filipe (9 April 2021). "Haddad lidera pesquisa para o Governo de SP com 20%, seguido de França e Alckmin". O Povo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 9 April 2021.
  4. "Weintraub dá início a pré-campanha em SP e consolida racha no bolsonarismo". Veja (in Portuguese). 14 January 2022. Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  5. "Abraham Weintraub anuncia filiação ao Brasil 35". 2022-02-11. Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  6. "Bolsonaro sugere que ministro Tarcísio pode disputar eleição em SP em 2022". UOL Notícias (in Portuguese). 26 April 2021. Retrieved 27 April 2021.
  7. Costa, Mariana (13 January 2022). "Bolsonaro confirma Tarcísio Freitas na disputa pelo governo de SP". Metrópoles (in Portuguese). Retrieved 16 January 2022.
  8. "PCB lança pré-candidatura de Gabriel Colombo para o governo paulista". Partido Comunista Brasileiro (in Portuguese). 24 January 2022. Retrieved 24 January 2022.
  9. "Partido Novo oficializa deputado Vinicius Poit como pré-candidato ao governo de SP em 2022" (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2021-11-27. Retrieved 2022-01-27.
  10. "Prefeito de São José dos Campos lança pré-candidatura ao governo de SP". UOL Notícias (in Portuguese). 28 March 2022. Retrieved 29 March 2022.
  11. "Quem são os pré-candidatos ao governo de São Paulo nas Eleições 2022". 2022-03-29. Retrieved 2022-03-30.
  12. Venceslau, Pedro (13 March 2021). "Doria já admite disputar reeleição em SP, em vez do Planalto". Terra (in Portuguese). Retrieved 13 March 2021.
  13. Gielow, Igor (13 March 2021). "Doria admite disputar reeleição em aceno para rivais do centro". Folha de S. Paulo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 13 March 2021.
  14. Tuon, Ligia (5 March 2022). "Arthur do Val retira pré-candidatura ao governo de SP após áudios vazados". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). Retrieved 5 March 2022.
  15. "Boulos desiste de disputar governo de São Paulo e será candidato a deputado federal". 2022-03-21. Retrieved 2022-03-21.
  16. Valêncio, Brayan; Galvani, Giovanna (14 March 2022). "São Paulo: veja quem são os pré-candidatos ao governo do estado e ao Senado". CNN Brasil (in Portuguese). Retrieved 28 March 2022.
  17. "Unidade Popular on Instagram". 2022-04-08. Retrieved 2022-04-08.
  18. "Apuração de votos e resultado das Eleições 2018 SP: Governador eleito" (in Portuguese). UOL. Retrieved 30 December 2020.
  19. "Lista de Deputados". www.al.sp.gov.br (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 1 May 2022.
  20. "Brazilian Deputy Travels to A War Zone and States that Women in Ukraine Are Easy because They Are Poor". Folha de S.Paulo. 2022-03-04. Retrieved 2022-03-25.
  21. Giorgobiani, Natia (2022-03-21). "Boulos gives up running for governor of São Paulo and will be a candidate for federal deputy". Perild. Retrieved 2022-03-25.
  22. "Lula confirma Alckmin como seu vice". O Cafezinho (in Brazilian Portuguese). 2022-02-15. Retrieved 2022-05-01.
  23. "Geraldo Alckmin deixa PSDB após 33 anos no partido". CNN Brasil (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-05-01.
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