2022 Oregon gubernatorial election

The 2022 Oregon gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022,[1] to elect the governor of Oregon. Incumbent Democratic Governor Kate Brown took office on February 18, 2015, upon the resignation of John Kitzhaber.[2] She was subsequently elected in the gubernatorial special election in 2016[3] and was re-elected to a full term in 2018.[4] Due to term limits, she cannot seek re-election in 2022.[5]

See also: 2022 United States gubernatorial elections

2022 Oregon gubernatorial election
November 8, 2022
 
Party Democratic Republican
Incumbent Governor

Kate Brown
Democratic


Elections in Oregon
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The Oregonian has anticipated the election to have "the first competitive Democratic primary in more than a decade and potentially the closest such race since 2002".[6] Willamette Week anticipated a "wide open field of Democrats" noting the lack of an incumbent.[7] Almost 20 Republicans are running for the office, including two previous nominees for governor in 1998 and 2016,[8][9] as well as 15 Democrats and some non-affiliates/third-party members. Both the former House majority leader and former minority leader have announced their candidacies.[10][11]

Oregon is a solid Democratic state at the presidential level,[12] and hasn't elected a Republican governor since 1982.[13] However, recent gubernatorial elections have been within single digits, and Republicans are predicted to do well nationally in the 2022 elections.[14]

Democratic primary

Declared
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Disqualified

Withdrawn

Declined

Debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
George Carillo Tina Kotek Tobias Read Patrick Starnes
1[48] Mar. 18, 2022 Oregon AFL–CIO Michelle Damis N P P N
2[49] Apr. 22, 2022 City Club of Portland Laural Porter

David Molko

 Video N P P N
3[50] May 3, 2022 KOIN 6 NewsPamplin Media Group Ken Boddie Videos P P P P

Endorsements
Tina Kotek
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Newspapers
Organizations
Nicholas Kristof (disqualified)
Labor unions
Individuals
Tobias Read
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Patrick Starnes
Political parties

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Tina
Kotek		 Tobias
Read		 Undecided
FM3 Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] April 7–11, 2022 653 (LV) ± 3.8% 25% 20% 56%

Results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic David Beem
Democratic Julian Bell
Democratic Wilson Bright
Democratic George Carrillo
Democratic Michael Cross
Democratic Ifeanyichukwu Diru
Democratic Peter Hall
Democratic Tina Kotek
Democratic Keisha Merchant
Democratic Tobias Read
Democratic Patrick Starnes
Democratic David Stauffer
Democratic John Sweeney
Democratic Michael Trimble
Democratic Genevive Wilson
Total votes

Republican primary

Declared
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Withdrawn
  • Angelique Bouvier, psychologist and business owner[90]
  • Reed Christensen, former electrical engineer[91][92]
  • Mark Duncan, fight instructor[93]
  • John L. Fosdick III, customer service representative, Army veteran[90][94]
  • Darin Harbick, businessman (running for U.S. Senate)[95]
  • Jim Huggins, film producer, businessman and Air Force veteran (endorsed Kerry McQuisten)[96][97]
  • Alexander Males, polyurethane manufacturing worker[98]
  • Monte Sauer Jr., CEO of AmericaProud[99]

Declined

Debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Participants
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Bridget Barton Court Boice David Burch Reed Christensen Christine Drazan Jessica Gomez Nick Hess Tim McCloud Kerry McQuisten Brandon Merritt Bud Pierce Stan Pulliam Amber RIchardson Bill Sizemore Stefan Strek Marc Thielman Bob Tiernan
1[104] Apr. 7, 2022 Timber Unity Denise Quinn

Hunter Newton

 P P N A P P A P A P P P N P P P P
2[105] Apr. 21, 2022 Central Oregon DailyThe Bulletin Allen Schauffler

Jerry O'Brien

 Video N N N N P N N N N N P P N N N N P
3[106] Apr. 22, 2022 Linn County Republican Party Adam Keaton Video P N P N A N P P P P N N P P N P A
4[107] Apr. 28, 2022 KOIN 6 NewsPamplin Media Group Lisa Balick

Peter Wong

Videos N N N N P N N N N N P P N N N N P
5[108] May 3, 2022 City Club of Portland Laural Porter

David Molko

 Video P N N N A P N N N N P P N N N N N

Endorsements
Bridget Barton
Individuals
Christine Drazan
State legislators
Local officials
Newspapers
Bud Pierce
Organizations
Individuals

Polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Bridget
Barton		 Court
Boice		 Reed
Christensen		 Christine
Drazan		 Jessica
Gomez		 Nick
Hess		 Tim
McCloud		 Kerry
McQuisten		 Brandon
Merritt		 Bud
Pierce		 Stan
Pulliam		 Amber
Richardson		 Bill
Sizemore		 Marc
Thielman		 Bob
Tiernan		 Other Undecided
Nelson Research (R) April 29 – May 2, 2022 514 (LV) ± 4.3% 3% 1% 0% 19% 2% 1% 0% 6% 1% 10% 7% – 4% 6% 14% – 27%
Nelson Research (R) April 11–13, 2022 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 2% – – 8% 4% 0% – 3% 2% 11% 5% 1% 5% 4% 5% 1%[lower-alpha 3] 48%
Fallon Research & Communications (R)[upper-alpha 2] Early November 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% – – – 2% 2% – – – – 14% – – – – – 15%[lower-alpha 4] 67%

Results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Raymond Baldwin
Republican Bridget Barton
Republican Court Boice
Republican David Burch
Republican Reed Christensen
Republican Christine Drazan
Republican Jessica Gomez
Republican Nick Hess
Republican Tim McCloud
Republican Kerry McQuisten
Republican Brandon Merritt
Republican Bud Pierce
Republican John Presco
Republican Stan Pulliam
Republican Amber Richardson
Republican Bill Sizemore
Republican Stefan Galen Strek
Republican Marc Thielman
Republican Bob Tiernan
Total votes

Independents and other parties

Declared
Independents and minor party candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Endorsements
Betsy Johnson
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[122] Likely D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[123] Likely D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[124] Lean D January 26, 2022
Politico[125] Likely D April 1, 2022
RCP[126] Lean D January 10, 2022

Polling
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. Betsy Johnson
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Betsy
Johnson (I)		 Undecided
DHM Research January 18–22, 2022 400 (A) ± 4.9% 31% 22% 11% 36%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
DHM Research February 17–23, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 29% 47% 23%
DHM Research January 18–22, 2022 400 (A) ± 4.9% 40% 31% 29%
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican vs. generic independent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Democrat		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Independent		 Undecided
DHM Research February 17–23, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 16% 26% 21% 37%

Results
2022 Oregon gubernatorial election
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic TBD
Republican TBD
Constitution Paul Romero
Independent Betsy Johnson
Independent Dustin Watkins
Independent Tim Harold
Total votes

See also

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Romero with 1%
  4. Other with 12%, Heard with 3%
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Read's campaign
  2. This poll was sponsored by John von Schlegell while considering a Republican primary run for governor

References
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Official campaign websites
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