2022 Florida gubernatorial election

The 2022 Florida gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Florida, alongside an election to the United States Senate, elections to the United States House of Representatives and other state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Ron DeSantis is running for reelection to a second term.

2022 Florida gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022
 
Party Republican Democratic

Incumbent Governor

Ron DeSantis
Republican



The gubernatorial primary elections will take place on August 23, 2022.[1]

Republican primary

Declared

Declined


Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
U.S. Senators
Organizations

Democratic primary

Declared

Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Potential

Withdrawn

  • Richard Dembinsky, engineer and candidate for state senate in 2016[26]
  • Timothy Mosley, charity founder[27]

Declined

Endorsements

Charlie Crist
U.S. Representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Notable individuals
Nikki Fried
State legislators
Notable individuals
Annette Taddeo
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Charlie
Crist
Nikki
Fried
Annette
Taddeo
Other Undecided
Sachs Media Group April 8–10, 2022 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 35% 20% 4% 41%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 271 (RV) ± 6.0% 27% 19% 4% 8%[lower-alpha 3] 44%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% 44% 27% 3% 26%
Alvarado Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] February 2022 1,007 (LV) ± 3.1% 36% 25% 6% 10% 23%
GBAO (D)[upper-alpha 2] January 26–31, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 28% 7% 11%
Public Policy Polling (D) January 26–27, 2022 582 (LV) ± 4.1% 36% 34% 29%
Public Policy Polling (D) August 10–11, 2021 274 (LV) ± 5.9% 33% 36% 31%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 245 (RV) ± 6.3% 38% 27% 5% 30%
Political Matrix (R) June 9–11, 2021 660 (LV) ± 4.5% 41% 31% 29%
St. Pete Polls May 24–26, 2021 2,752 (RV) ± 1.9% 55% 22% 11% 12%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 232 (RV) ± 7.0% 53% 30% 17%[lower-alpha 4]
SEA Polling (D)[upper-alpha 3] April 15–20, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 28% 26% 13% 34%

Independent and third party candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Gizmo Wexler, IT administrator[88]

Declined

Declared

  • Kyle "KC" Gibson, pastor and candidate for governor in 2018[91]
  • Frank Hughes Jr., education consultant[92]
  • Eugene H. Steele, attorney[93]

Potential

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[97] Likely R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[98] Likely R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[99] Likely R January 26, 2022
Politico[100] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[101] Lean R January 10, 2022

Polling

Ron DeSantis vs. Charlie Crist
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other
[lower-alpha 5]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4, 2021 – February 20, 2022 February 24, 2022 50.4% 41.6% 8.0% DeSantis +8.8
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Charlie
Crist (D)
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 33% 18%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) February 23, 2022 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 56%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 685 (RV) ± 3.7% 55% 34% 11%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 49% 43% 0% 8%
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 45% 5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 37% 5% 9%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 46% 40% 4% 7%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 35% 18%
VCreek/AMG (R)[upper-alpha 4] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 39% 2% 12%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 11–12, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 3–5, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 45% 55%
RMG Research August 21–28, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 38%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 36% 5% 9%
977 (LV) 48% 38% 5% 8%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 57%
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 5] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 6%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 46% 43% 3% 7%
Cherry Communications (R) July 26 – August 4, 2021 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2021 3,952 (LV) ± 1.6% 44% 45% 11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) June 21, 2021 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 55% 45%
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 52% 41% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Nikki Fried
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
Other
[lower-alpha 6]
Margin
Real Clear Politics August 4, 2021 – February 20, 2022 February 24, 2022 52.0% 39.2% 8.2% DeSantis +12.8
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Nikki
Fried (D)
Other Undecided
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 51% 27% 22%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) February 23, 2022 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 50%
University of North Florida February 7–20, 2022 685 (RV) ± 3.7% 55% 32% 12%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 42% 5%
Suffolk University January 26–29, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 40% 0% 9%
St. Pete Polls November 18–19, 2021 2,896 (LV) ± 1.8% 51% 42% 6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 9, 2021 867 (RV) ± 3.3% 46% 35% 4% 8%
842 (LV) ± 3.4% 50% 37% 4% 7%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 46% 33% 21%
VCreek/AMG (R)[upper-alpha 4] September 23–27, 2021 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 48% 36% 5% 11%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) September 3–5, 2021 1,144 (LV) ± 3.1% 52% 48%
RMG Research August 21–28, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 41% 38%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies August 20–24, 2021 1,000 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 36% 4% 11%
977 (LV) 48% 38% 3% 10%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) August 14–18, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 46% 54%
Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 5] August 14–17, 2021 1,585 (LV) ± 2.5% 49% 44% 7%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) August 4–10, 2021 700 (RV) ± 3.7% 50% 40% 2% 7%
Cherry Communications (R) July 26 – August 4, 2021 610 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 42%
St. Pete Polls August 2–3, 2021 3,952 (LV) ± 1.6% 45% 42% 13%
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R) June 21, 2021 716 (LV) ± 3.7% 61% 39%
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 10%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 53% 47%
St. Pete Polls March 22–24, 2021 1,923 (LV) ± 2.2% 45% 45% 10%
Mason-Dixon February 24–28, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 51% 42% 7%
Ron DeSantis vs. Annette Taddeo
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Annette
Taddeo (D)
Undecided
Saint Leo University February 28 – March 12, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.5% 49% 30% 22%
Mason-Dixon February 7–10, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 53% 37% 10%
Saint Leo University October 17–23, 2021 500 (A) ± 4.5% 47% 28% 25%
Hypothetical polling
Ron DeSantis vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 6] September 15–22, 2020 620 (LV) ± 3.9% 42% 44% 14%
Ron DeSantis vs. Val Demings
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Ron
DeSantis (R)
Val
Demings (D)
Undecided
Cherry Communications (R) April 30 – May 8, 2021 602 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 38%
Victory Insights (R) May 4, 2021 600 (RV) ± 4.1% 54% 46%

Notes

  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Freeman with 4%; "Someone Else" with 3%; Lionheart with 1%
  4. 17% for Val Demings
  5. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  6. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by Floridians For Economic Advancement
  2. This poll was sponsored by Crist's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by Taddeo's campaign committee
  4. This poll was sponsored by Americas PAC
  5. This poll was sponsored by Future Majority
  6. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

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Official campaign websites
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