2022 Arizona gubernatorial election

The 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Arizona. Arizona is one of twenty-seven states that prohibits its governors from serving more than two consecutive terms. Therefore, incumbent Republican Governor Doug Ducey is term-limited and ineligible to run for a third consecutive term.

For related races, see 2022 United States gubernatorial elections.

2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
November 8, 2022
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent Governor

Doug Ducey
Republican


Elections in Arizona
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Arizona's primaries are scheduled to be held on August 2.

Republican primary

Declared
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Did not file
  • Bryan Masche, nurse and Air Force veteran[6]
  • Daniel McCarthy, skincare company executive and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2020[7]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements
Kari Lake
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Individuals
Matt Salmon
Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Governors
U.S. Representatives
Organizations
Individuals
Karrin Taylor Robson
Governors of Arizona
Executive Branch officials

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Gaynor		 Kari
Lake		 Karrin
Taylor Robson		 Matt
Salmon		 Kimberly
Yee		 Other Undecided
April 28, 2022 Gaynor withdraws from the race
The Trafalgar Group (R) April 25–28, 2022 1,064 (LV) ± 3.0% 6% 38% 27% 11% – 4%[lower-alpha 3] 14%
OH Predictive Insights April 4–5, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 3% 29% 22% 11% – – 36%
Data Orbital (R) April 1–3, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.3% 7% 35% 22% 12% – – 24%
HighGround Public Affairs (R) March 26–27, 2022 264 (LV) ± 6.0% 3% 30% 10% 5% – 6% 46%
Alloy Analytics (R)/J.L. Partners (UK Conservative Party) March 9–12, 2022 433 (LV) ± 4.7% 4% 37% 15% 9% – – 34%
Data Orbital (R) March 2022 – (LV) – 4% 43% 13% 15% – – 26%
Data Orbital (R) February 11–13, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 8% 37% 9% 13% – – 34%
January 15, 2022 Yee withdraws from the race
OH Predictive Insights January 11–13, 2022 302 (RV) ± 5.6% 5% 21% 6% 17% 5% 1%[lower-alpha 4] 46%
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 252 (RV) ± 6.2% 2% 28% 1% 11% 6% 1%[lower-alpha 5] 51%
OH Predictive Insights September 7–12, 2021 311 (RV) ± 5.6% 5% 25% 1% 9% 6% 2%[lower-alpha 6] 53%
HighGround Public Affairs (R) May 3–5, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – 10% 0% 8% 4% 9%[lower-alpha 7] 66%
Hypothetical polling
Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Matt Salmon
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Karrin
Taylor Robson		 Matt
Salmon		 Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)[upper-alpha 1] May 12–13, 2021 534 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 42% 48%

Results
Republican primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Kari Lake
Republican Scott Neely
Republican Matt Salmon
Republican Karrin Taylor Robson
Republican Paola Tulliani-Zen
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Declined

Endorsements
Marco López Jr.
State legislators
Organizations

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Katie
Hobbs		 Aaron
Lieberman		 Marco
López Jr.		 Other Undecided
HighGround Public Affairs (R) March 26–27, 2022 234 (LV) ± 6.4% 27% 1% 9% 3% 57%
OH Predictive Insights January 11–13, 2022 274 (RV) ± 5.9% 46% 5% 9% – 39%
– 23% 27% – 50%
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 229 (RV) ± 6.5% 42% 6% 8% – 44%
OH Predictive Insights September 7–12, 2021 283 (RV) ± 5.8% 40% 8% 10% – 42%

Results
Democratic primary results[36]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Katie Hobbs
Democratic Aaron Lieberman
Democratic Marco A. López Jr.
Total votes

Libertarian primary

Did not file

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[49] Tossup March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[50] Tossup March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[51] Tossup January 26, 2022
Politico[52] Tossup April 1, 2022
RCP[53] Tossup January 10, 2022

Polling
Kari Lake vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Kari
Lake (R)		 Katie
Hobbs (D)		 Other Undecided
Data Orbital (R) February 11–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 43% 41% – 16%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 10, 2021 624 (RV) ± 3.9% 34% 39% 2% 19%
592 (LV) ± 4.0% 37% 41% 2% 18%
Matt Salmon vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Matt
Salmon (R)		 Katie
Hobbs (D)		 Other Undecided
Data Orbital (R) February 11–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 39% 41% – 20%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies November 10, 2021 624 (RV) ± 3.9% 31% 40% 4% 17%
592 (LV) ± 4.0% 35% 43% 4% 16%
Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Karrin
Taylor Robson (R)		 Katie
Hobbs (D)		 Undecided
Data Orbital (R) February 11–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 37% 42% 21%
Hypothetical polling
Steve Gaynor vs. Katie Hobbs
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Gaynor (R)		 Katie
Hobbs (D)		 Undecided
Data Orbital (R) February 11–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% 39% 41% 20%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Generic
Republican		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
OH Predictive Insights March 7–15, 2022 753 (RV) ± 3.6% 39% 37% 25%
OH Predictive Insights January 11–13, 2022 855 (RV) ± 3.4% 39% 35% 26%
OH Predictive Insights November 1–8, 2021 713 (RV) ± 3.7% 39% 37% 24%
OH Predictive Insights September 7–12, 2021 882 (RV) ± 3.3% 39% 36% 25%
Data for Progress (D)[upper-alpha 2] September 15–22, 2020 481 (LV) ± 4.4% 42% 39% 19%

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Neely and Tulliani-Zen with 2%
  4. Rivas with 1%
  5. Rivas with 1%
  6. Rivas with 2%
  7. McCarthy with 5%, "Other" with 4%
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Club for Growth Action
  2. Poll sponsored by the Defend Students Action Fund

References
  1. Valencia, Peter. "Kari Lake announces run for Arizona governor". AZFamily. Retrieved June 1, 2021.
  2. "Regent to seek governor's office". Arizona Capitol Times. May 17, 2021. Retrieved May 18, 2021.
  3. "Former Rep. Matt Salmon launches gubernatorial bid in Arizona". The Hill. June 16, 2021. Retrieved June 16, 2021.
  4. "Republican Arizona governor candidate Steve Gaynor talks border security in Yuma". KAWC-FM. January 19, 2022. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  5. "Today an Authentic but Unknown Conservative Paola Tulliani Z Has Launched Her Campaign for Governor of Arizona". September 2, 2021. Retrieved April 8, 2022.
  6. "Former Havasu resident throws his name in crowded GOP field of gubernatorial candidates". The Kingman Daily Miner. Associated Press. August 26, 2021. Archived from the original on August 27, 2021. Retrieved August 26, 2021.
  7. Daniel McCarthy for Arizona [@DemandDanielAZ] (December 8, 2020). "@gatewaypundit Jim, thank you! I am not a state Rep. State Reps have signed it, but I am setting up a run for Governor of Arizona. The source you republished got it wrong. I'll be on the War Room with Owen Shroyer around 4:30 ET to give the latest" (Tweet). Archived from the original on November 26, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2022 – via Twitter.
  8. "GOP candidate Steve Gaynor ends bid for Arizona governor". Arizona Republic. April 28, 2022. Retrieved April 28, 2022.{{cite news}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  9. "Arizona State Treasurer Kimberly Yee pulls out of governor race, to run for re-election". KNXV. January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 15, 2022.
  10. CATargetBot [@CATargetBot] (April 24, 2021). "NEW DNS REGISTRATIONS - 2021-04-24 t.co/fxSLCWWTuX" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  11. Biggs, Andy [@andybiggs4az] (June 16, 2021). "Today is a big day for AZ. My good friend and co-founder of the House Freedom Caucus, @MattSalmonAZ, got in the race for governor. If there's one thing I know about Matt it's that he will stand up for AZ conservatives. Join me in showing your support at t.co/DwBW6Fa6WV" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  12. Greenwood, Max (June 10, 2021). "Arizona AG Mark Brnovich launches Senate challenge to Mark Kelly". The Hill. Archived from the original on June 12, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
  13. Gosar, Paul [@DrPaulGosar] (March 8, 2021). "Find out if the people demand I be governor or senator. I'm not saying I'd run. Just saying we need to find out. t.co/0ENIkmeeVo" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 17, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  14. Gosar, Paul [@DrPaulGosar] (June 1, 2021). "1/2 Once again I am asking for your support....and I do thank you. t.co/czWXG8ZJ6X" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 7, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  15. Lesko, Debbie [@DebbieLesko] (May 19, 2021). "Excited to endorse my friend @KimberlyYeeAZ for Governor! She is just what Arizona needs to lead our great state! t.co/MJJdHubTCg" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 16, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  16. "U.S. Rep. David Schweikert floats run for Arizona governor in 2022". KTAR. October 26, 2017. Retrieved October 25, 2020.
  17. "Three-quarters of states will elect governors in the next 2 years. Here's a field guide". POLITICO. Retrieved December 16, 2020.
  18. "Former Nogales mayor announces bid for governor". Azcapitaltimes.com. March 16, 2021. Retrieved April 19, 2021.
  19. Shapiro, Danny (September 28, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Kari Lake for Arizona governor". KTAR-FM. Archived from the original on September 29, 2021. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
  20. Lake, Kari [@KariLake] (September 29, 2021). "I am so honored to receive the endorsement of General Michael Flynn. He is a true patriot who loves this country. With men like General Flynn and President Trump by my side, we can't lose. 1/8 #KariLakeForAZGovernor t.co/9UVcLtRSkD" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 30, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  21. Gosar, Paul [@DrPaulGosar] (October 6, 2021). "1/3 I am proud to endorse Kari Lake to be our next Governor. Arizona is at a cross-roads and the state needs a governor who will work with the people, and for the people, and not just special interests. Kari is America First all day, 24-7. t.co/sk26VloGxY" (Tweet). Archived from the original on December 28, 2021. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  22. Smith, Allan (November 14, 2021). "Wendy Rogers embraced Trump's stolen election lie and watched her star rise". NBC News.
  23. Hamilton, Heather (December 30, 2021). "WATCH: Comedian Rob Schneider endorses Arizona gubernatorial candidate in comedy show". Washington Examiner.
  24. Dale, Daniel (October 16, 2021). "Fact-checking Kari Lake, serial promoter of election lies and early frontrunner in GOP primary for Arizona governor". CNN. Archived from the original on November 8, 2021. Retrieved November 28, 2021.
  25. Salmon, Matt [@MattSalmonAZ] (January 10, 2022). "New Endorsement! ✅ I am proud to announce that @SamuelBrownback is endorsing my campaign for Governor of AZ. His invaluable service as President Trump's U.S. Ambassador-at-Large helped secure religious freedom abroad for generations to come. t.co/IfLMzZoKah" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 11, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  26. "Endorsements - Matt Salmon for Governor". Matt Salmon for Governor. Retrieved February 14, 2022.
  27. Graham, Lindsey [@LindseyGrahamSC] (July 14, 2021). "Matt will work every day to secure Arizona's border and advance policies that protect Arizona families. He also understands threats come in many forms, including from international adversaries who want to steal Arizona's trade secrets. t.co/krOG3OjTZI" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 18, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  28. Lummis, Cynthia [@CynthiaMLummis] (June 16, 2021). "Pleased as punch to learn that my friend Matt Salmon is running for Governor in Arizona. Got to visit with Matt about this BIG decision and thrilled he decided to jump in with both feet. t.co/tIFoavK93g" (Tweet). Archived from the original on January 15, 2022. Retrieved January 24, 2022 – via Twitter.
  29. Evie Fordham (June 30, 2021). "Ted Cruz endorses Matt Salmon for Arizona governor". Fox News.
  30. "Salmon For Arizona Governor Announces Oklahoma Governor Kevin Stitt's Endorsement". Retrieved April 5, 2022.
  31. Murray, Stephanie. "Election bill gets a vote this week". POLITICO. Retrieved June 21, 2021.
  32. Cailtin McFall (June 16, 2021). "Former Rep. Matt Salmon enters Arizona gubernatorial race with Club for Growth endorsement". Fox News.
  33. "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Matt Salmon for Arizona Governor". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. July 6, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  34. ktar.com (September 13, 2021). "Brewer, Symington join Taylor Robson campaign for Arizona governor". KTAR.
  35. "News- Karrin Taylor Robson". Karrin Taylor Robson for Governor.
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  46. "Former lawmaker Art Hamilton endorses Lopez for governor in latest snub of Hobbs". The Arizona Republic. November 22, 2021.
  47. "Latino Victory endorses Hispanic Democrat for Arizona governor". The Hill. February 2, 2022.
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Official campaign websites
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