2022 Alaska gubernatorial election

The 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Alaska. Incumbent Republican Governor Mike Dunleavy is running for re-election to a second term. As of 2022, no incumbent Republican has been re-elected to a second term since Jay Hammond in 1978 and no incumbent governor, regardless of political affiliation, has been re-elected to a second term since Tony Knowles in 1998.

2022 Alaska gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022

Incumbent Governor

Mike Dunleavy
Republican



Electoral system

Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 elections in Alaska, this will be the first gubernatorial election in the state held under the new election process. All candidates will run in an all-party, open primary, from which the top four candidates will advance to the general election. Voters will then utilize Instant-runoff voting during the general election.[1]

Primary election

Declared

Potential

Declared

  • Les Gara, former state representative (2003–2019)[11]
    • Running mate: Jessica Cook, teacher[10]

Potential

Declined

Declared

  • William S. "Billy" Toien, nominee for governor in 2010 and 2018[13]
    • Running mate: Shirley Rainbolt, activist[13]
  • Roman Shevchuk, Capitalist activist[14]
    • Running mate: Danny Clift, architect and business owner[14]

Declared

Declined

Candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Endorsements

Mike Dunleavy (R)
Executive branch
U.S. senators
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Les Gara (D)
State officials
Christopher Kurka (R)
Individuals
Charlie Pierce (R)
Organizations
Bill Walker (I)
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Declined to endorse
State legislators
Individuals

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[18] Likely R March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[19] Solid R March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[20] Likely R January 26, 2022
Politico[21] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[22] Likely R January 10, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
RCV
count
Mike
Dunleavy
(R)
Les
Gara
(D)
Natasha
von Imhof
(R)
Bill
Walker
(I)
Alaska Survey Research October 22–27, 2021 969 (RV) ± 3.2% 1 43% 22% 8% 28%
2 46% 24% 30%
3 50% 51%

Notes

  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. Media, Andrew Kitchenman, KTOO and Alaska Public (2020-11-18). "Alaska will have a new election system: Voters pass Ballot Measure 2". KTOO. Retrieved 2020-11-18.
  2. Brooks, James. "GOP candidate for governor Charlie Pierce picks parole board chair Edie Grunwald as running mate". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved 2022-04-01.
  3. Brooks, James (August 13, 2021). "Alaska Gov. Mike Dunleavy will run for re-election in 2022". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 14, 2021.
  4. "Alaska Lt. Gov. Kevin Meyer will not run for reelection in 2022". Anchorage Daily News.
  5. Kitchenman, Andrew (November 29, 2021). "Conservative Wasilla Rep. Kurka launches bid for Alaska governor". Alaska Public Media. Archived from the original on November 30, 2021. Retrieved November 30, 2021.
  6. "Republican candidate for Alaska governor Christopher Kurka chooses Homer man as running mate". Anchorage Daily News.
  7. Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Alaska Elections, Candidates & Politics". www.politics1.com.
  8. "Borough mayor files bid for Alaska governor". KDLL Public Radio for the Central Kenai Peninsula. January 21, 2022.
  9. Poux, Sabine; Soldotna, KDLL- (March 9, 2022). "Charlie Pierce picks Edie Grunwald as running mate in Alaska governor's race".
  10. "Democratic governor candidate Les Gara picks teacher from Palmer as his running mate". Anchorage Daily News.
  11. Kitchenman, Andrew. "Former state Rep. Les Gara becomes fourth candidate for Alaska's governor". www.alaskapublic.org. Retrieved 20 August 2021.
  12. "Gara and Walker begin 2022 campaigns for governor to unseat Dunleavy". Anchorage Daily News.
  13. Brooks, James (August 17, 2021). "Former Alaska Gov. Bill Walker will run again for governor in 2022 as an independent". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved August 17, 2021.
  14. "Shevchuk, Clift announce candidacy for Governor, Lt. Governor". Alaska Libertarian Party. 2021-11-01. Retrieved 2021-11-04.
  15. "2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline – Sabato's Crystal Ball".
  16. Mizelle, Shawna (December 28, 2021). "Trump endorses Alaska Gov. Dunleavy for reelection -- as long as he doesn't back Sen. Murkowski in 2022". CNN. Retrieved December 29, 2021.
  17. "Charlie Pierce recieves[sic] Republican endorsement in governor's race". KINY. April 25, 2022. Retrieved April 27, 2022.
  18. "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  19. "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  20. "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  21. "Alaska Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  22. "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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