2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming
The 2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose three representatives, or electors to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.
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 County Results
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| Elections in Wyoming |
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Wyoming was won by incumbent President George W. Bush by a 39.8% margin of victory. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a safe red state. This was based on pre-election polling, the fact that the last Democrat to win here was Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964, and how Bush carried this state in 2000 with almost 68% of the vote. On election day Bush won every county with over 65% except for Teton County, which Kerry won with 53% and Albany County, which Bush won with 54% of the vote.
With 68.86% of the popular vote, Wyoming would prove to be Bush's second strongest state in the 2004 election after neighboring Utah.[1]
Campaign
Predictions
There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.[2]
- D.C. Political Report: Solid Republican
- Associated Press: Solid Bush
- CNN: Bush
- Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
- Newsweek: Solid Bush
- New York Times: Leans Bush
- Rasmussen Reports: Bush
- Research 2000: Solid Bush
- Washington Post: Bush
- Washington Times: Solid Bush
- Zogby International: Bush
- Washington Dispatch: Bush
Polling
Only one pre-election poll was conducted. It showed Bush leading Kerry 65% to 29%.[3]
Analysis
Wyoming is a Republican bastion. The last Democrat to win a senate election was Gale W. McGee in 1970. The last Democrat to win the at-large seat was Teno Roncalio in 1978. The last time the Democrats controlled the Wyoming House of Representatives was 1966. The last time Democrats controlled the Wyoming Senate was 1938. The state, however, did elect Democratic governors from 1974 to 2010 with only an eight-year interruption of Jim Geringer's tenure from 1995 to 2003.
In presidential elections, Wyoming is probably the most reliable red state in the country. The last Democrat to carry the state, or even crack the 40% mark, was LBJ in 1964, and before that was Harry S. Truman in 1948. Since 1968, every Republican carried this state by a double-digit margin of victory, except in 1992. As far as popular vote percentage, the 2004 results were the third best performance by the Republican party since 1964, behind only Richard Nixon (69.0%) in 1972 and Ronald Reagan (70.5%) in 1984. With regards to the margin of victory, the 2004 election (at 39.8%) was also the third best performance, behind only George W. Bush (40.1%) in 2000 and Ronald Reagan (42.3%) in 1984.
CNN exit polls showed 72% of the state approved of Bush, and 69% approved of his decision to go to war.[8]
Results
| 2004 United States presidential election in Wyoming[9] | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Running mate | Votes | Percentage | Electoral votes | |
| Republican | George W. Bush (Inc.) | Dick Cheney | 167,629 | 68.86% | 3 | |
| Democratic | John Kerry | John Edwards | 70,776 | 29.07% | 0 | |
| Independent | Ralph Nader | Peter Camejo | 2,741 | 1.13% | 0 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Badnarik | Richard Campagna | 1,171 | 0.48% | 0 | |
| Independent | Michael Peroutka | Chuck Baldwin | 631 | 0.26% | 0 | |
| Write Ins | 480 | 0.20% | 0 | |||
| Totals | 243,428 | 100.00% | 3 | |||
| Voter turnout (Voting age population) | 64.1% | |||||
Results breakdown
By county
Bush won all but one county.[10]
| County | John F. Kerry | George W. Bush | Others | Margin | Total Votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Albany | 7,032 | 43.02% | 8,879 | 54.32% | 434 | 2.66% | 1,847 | 11.30% | 16,345 |
| Big Horn | 960 | 18.18% | 4,232 | 80.15% | 88 | 1.67% | 3,272 | 61.97% | 5,280 |
| Campbell | 2,464 | 16.33% | 12,407 | 82.25% | 214 | 1.42% | 9,943 | 65.91% | 15,085 |
| Carbon | 2,157 | 30.55% | 4,758 | 67.39% | 145 | 2.05% | 2,601 | 36.84% | 7,060 |
| Converse | 1,183 | 20.69% | 4,446 | 77.74% | 90 | 1.57% | 3,263 | 57.06% | 5,719 |
| Crook | 500 | 14.74% | 2,836 | 83.63% | 55 | 1.62% | 2,336 | 68.89% | 3,391 |
| Fremont | 5,337 | 31.27% | 11,428 | 66.95% | 305 | 1.79% | 6,091 | 35.68% | 17,070 |
| Goshen | 1,566 | 27.00% | 4,114 | 70.94% | 119 | 2.05% | 2,548 | 43.94% | 5,799 |
| Hot Springs | 623 | 25.12% | 1,811 | 73.02% | 46 | 1.85% | 1,188 | 47.90% | 2,480 |
| Johnson | 736 | 18.20% | 3,231 | 79.88% | 78 | 1.93% | 2,495 | 61.68% | 4,045 |
| Laramie | 13,170 | 33.09% | 25,947 | 65.19% | 684 | 1.72% | 12,777 | 32.10% | 39,801 |
| Lincoln | 1,363 | 17.24% | 6,424 | 81.28% | 117 | 1.48% | 5,061 | 64.03% | 7,904 |
| Natrona | 9,852 | 30.85% | 21,503 | 67.34% | 578 | 1.81% | 11,651 | 36.49% | 31,933 |
| Niobrara | 230 | 17.52% | 1,064 | 81.04% | 19 | 1.45% | 834 | 63.52% | 1,313 |
| Park | 2,939 | 21.19% | 10,660 | 76.85% | 273 | 1.97% | 7,721 | 55.66% | 13,872 |
| Platte | 1,318 | 29.06% | 3,128 | 68.97% | 89 | 1.96% | 1,810 | 39.91% | 4,535 |
| Sheridan | 4,041 | 29.02% | 9,635 | 69.19% | 249 | 1.79% | 5,594 | 40.17% | 13,925 |
| Sublette | 730 | 20.01% | 2,846 | 77.99% | 73 | 2.00% | 2,116 | 57.99% | 3,649 |
| Sweetwater | 5,201 | 32.10% | 10,638 | 65.65% | 364 | 2.25% | 5,437 | 33.56% | 16,203 |
| Teton | 5,971 | 52.68% | 5,124 | 45.21% | 239 | 2.11% | -847 | -7.47% | 11,334 |
| Uinta | 1,812 | 22.46% | 6,080 | 75.38% | 174 | 2.16% | 4,268 | 52.91% | 8,066 |
| Washakie | 855 | 20.78% | 3,200 | 77.76% | 60 | 1.46% | 2,345 | 56.99% | 4,115 |
| Weston | 580 | 17.13% | 2,739 | 80.89% | 67 | 1.98% | 2,159 | 63.76% | 3,386 |
| Total | 70,620 | 29.14% | 167,130 | 68.97% | 4,560 | 1.88% | 96,510 | 39.83% | 242,310 |
By congressional district
Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, called the At-Large district, because it covers the entire state, and thus is equivalent to the statewide election results.
| District | Bush | Kerry | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| At-large | 68.9% | 29.1% | Barbara Cubin |
Electors
Technically the voters of Wyoming cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Wyoming is allocated three electors because it has one congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of three electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and his or her running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all three electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than his or her candidate is known as a faithless elector.
The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.
The following were the members of the Electoral College from the state. All three were pledged for Bush/Cheney.[11]
- Linda Barker
- Jack Van Mark
- Mike Baker
References
- "2004 Presidential Election Statistics". Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections. Retrieved 2018-03-05.
- "Archived copy". dcpoliticalreport.com. Archived from the original on 21 November 2010. Retrieved 17 January 2022.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - "Election 2004 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections". Archived from the original on 2008-11-28. Retrieved 2009-10-23.
- "George W Bush - $374,659,453 raised, '04 election cycle, Republican Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com.
- "John F Kerry - $345,826,176 raised, '04 election cycle, Democratic Party, President". www.campaignmoney.com.
- "CNN.com Specials". www.cnn.com.
- "CNN.com Specials". www.cnn.com.
- "CNN.com Election 2004". www.cnn.com.
- "CNN.com Election 2004". www.cnn.com.
- "CNN.com Election 2004". www.cnn.com.
- "Wyoming Secretary of State". Archived from the original on 2008-11-30. Retrieved 2009-10-23.
