Next Portuguese legislative election
The Next Portuguese legislative election will take place on or before 11 October 2026 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic to the 16th Legislature of Portugal. All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic will be at stake.
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Background
Politics of Portugal
The President of Portugal has the power to dissolve the Assembly of the Republic by their own will. Unlike in other countries, the President can refuse to dissolve the parliament at the request of the Prime Minister or the Assembly of the Republic and all the parties represented in Parliament. If the Prime Minister resigns, the President must appoint a new Prime Minister after listening to all the parties represented in Parliament and then the government programme must be subject to discussion by the Assembly of the Republic, whose members of parliament may present a motion to reject the upcoming government.
Date
According to the Portuguese Constitution, an election must be called between 14 September and 14 October of the year that the legislature ends. The election is called by the President of Portugal but is not called at the request of the Prime Minister; however, the President must listen to all of the parties represented in Parliament and the election day must be announced at least 60 days before the election.[1] If an election is called during an ongoing legislature (dissolution of parliament) it must be held at least after 55 days. Election day is the same in all multi-seats constituencies, and should fall on a Sunday or national holiday. The next legislative election must, therefore, take place no later than 11 October 2026.[2]
CDS – People's Party
In the 2022 elections, the CDS–People's Party was wiped out from Parliament for the first time in 47 years of democracy.[3] CDS leader Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos resigned on election night and announced that a leadership ballot would be held.[4] On 11 February, it was announced that a new leader would be elected in a party congress on 2 and 3 April 2022 held in Guimarães.[5] MEP Nuno Melo, former MP Nuno Correia da Silva, 2016 leadership candidate Miguel Mattos Chaves and Bruno Filipe Costa announced they would contest the ballot.[6][7][8][9] During the congress, Bruno Filipe Costa and Nuno Correia da Silva dropped out from the race.[10] Nuno Melo was easily elected as leader with more than 73% of the votes. The results were the following:
Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|
Nuno Melo | 854 | 77.5 | |
Miguel Mattos Chaves | 104 | 9.4 | |
Others[lower-alpha 4] | 144 | 13.1 | |
Turnout | 1,102 | ||
Source: Results |
Social Democratic Party
After the Social Democratic Party's (PSD) defeat in the 2022 legislative election, Rui Rio announced he would not run again for the PSD leadership and would call a snap leadership ballot in order to elect a new leader.[11] The ballot is set to be held on 28 May 2022.[12] Luís Montenegro and Jorge Moreira da Silva have already announced their bids for the leadership.[13][14]
Electoral system
The Assembly of the Republic has 230 members elected to four-year terms. Governments do not require absolute majority support of the Assembly to hold office, as even if the number of opposers of government is larger than that of the supporters, the number of opposers still needs to be equal or greater than 116 (absolute majority) for both the Government's Programme to be rejected or for a motion of no confidence to be approved.[15]
The number of seats assigned to each district depends on the district magnitude.[16] The use of the d'Hondt method makes for a higher effective threshold than certain other allocation methods such as the Hare quota or Sainte-Laguë method, which are more generous to small parties.[17]
The distribution of MPs by electoral district in the 2022 general election was the following:[18]
District | Number of MPs | Map |
---|---|---|
Lisbon | 48 | ![]() |
Porto | 40 | |
Braga | 19 | |
Setúbal | 18 | |
Aveiro | 16 | |
Leiria | 10 | |
Coimbra, Faro and Santarém | 9 | |
Viseu | 8 | |
Madeira and Viana do Castelo | 6 | |
Azores and Vila Real | 5 | |
Castelo Branco | 4 | |
Beja, Bragança, Évora and Guarda | 3 | |
Portalegre, Europe and Outside Europe | 2 |
Parties
The table below lists parties currently represented in the Assembly of the Republic.
Opinion polling
Notes
- The Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) and the Ecologist Party "The Greens" (PEV) contested the 2022 election in a coalition called Unitary Democratic Coalition (CDU) and won a combined 4.3% of the vote and elected 6 MPs to parliament.
- Rui Tavares (pictured), running for Lisbon, was the party's main candidate in the 2022 campaign.
- LIVRE has no formal single leader; Rui Tavares, first candidate for Lisbon and the party's only elected MP, pictured.
- CDS members that presented party motions, but that were not running for the party's leadership.
References
- "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 22 October 2014. Retrieved 7 October 2015.
{{cite web}}
: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) - Electoral law to the Assembly of the Republic
- "Histórico: CDS fora do Parlamento", CNN Portugal, 31 January 2022. Retrieved 12 February 2022.
- "Francisco Rodrigues dos Santos demite-se de presidente do CDS-PP", Diário de Notícias, 31 January 2022. Retrieved February 2022.
- "Conselho Nacional do CDS-PP aprova antecipação do congresso para 2 e 3 de abril", CNN Portugal, 11 February 2022. Retrieved 12 February 2022.
- "“O CDS faz falta a Portugal”, Nuno Melo oficializa candidatura à presidência do partidol", CNN Portugal, 19 February 2022. Retrieved 20 February 2022.
- "Nuno Correia da Silva é candidato à liderança do CDS-PP". www.jn.pt (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2022-03-26.
- "CDS-PP. Miguel Mattos Chaves anuncia candidatura à liderança", CNN Portugal, 19 February 2022. Retrieved 20 February 2022.
- "Candidato ao CDS Bruno Filipe Costa inspira-se nos conservadores britânicos ", Público, 1 April 2022. Retrieved 2 April 2022.
- "Congresso CDS-PP. Miguel Mattos Chaves é o único adversário de Nuno Melo ", RTP, 3 April 2022. Retrieved 3 April 2022.
- "Rui Rio confirma que não se vai recandidatar à liderança do PSD", Diário de Notícias, 3 February 2022. Retrieved 12 February 2022.
- "Sucessor de Rio escolhido a 28 de maio. Ribau Esteves e Pedro Rodrigues marcam posição". Expresso (in European Portuguese). 2022-03-15. Retrieved 2022-03-14.
- "Luís Montenegro vai ser candidato à liderança do PSD". Público. 29 March 2022. Retrieved 29 March 2022.
- Eco (1 April 2022). "Jorge Moreira da Silva candidata-se à liderança do PSD". Retrieved 1 April 2022.
- "Constitution of the Portuguese Republic" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 3 March 2016. Retrieved 29 October 2019.
- "Effective threshold in electoral systems". Trinity College, Dublin. Archived from the original on 2008-05-14. Retrieved 2015-10-21.
- Gallaher, Michael (1992). "Comparing Proportional Representation Electoral Systems: Quotas, Thresholds, Paradoxes and Majorities"
- "Mapa Oficial n.º 1-C/2021" (PDF). CNE - Comissão Nacional de Eleições - Diário da República n.º 235/2021, 1.º Suplemento, Série I de 6 de Dezembro de 2021. Archived (PDF) from the original on 2022-02-13. Retrieved 6 December 2021.