2023 Turkish parliamentary election
The 2023 Turkish parliamentary election is scheduled to take place on 18 June 2023, as part of the 2023 general election, alongside the presidential election on the same day.[1]
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Voters from 87 electoral districts will elect 600 Members of Parliament to the Grand National Assembly of Turkey for a five year term, forming the country's 28th Parliament.
Electoral system
The 600 members of the Grand National Assembly of Turkey will be elected by party-list proportional representation in 87 electoral districts, by the D'Hondt method. For the purpose of legislative elections, 77 of Turkey's 81 provinces serves as a single district. Due to their large populations, the provinces of Bursa and İzmir are divided into two districts, while the provinces of Ankara and Istanbul are each divided into three.
According to the Constitution of Turkey, any amendment to the election law can only apply a year after it comes into effect.
Electoral threshold
At the initiative of the ruling AKP and its main political ally MHP, the national electoral threshold for a party to enter parliament was lowered from 10 to 7 percent.[2] This was the first lowering of the threshold since it was introduced by the military junta following the 1980 Turkish coup d'état.[3]
There is no threshold for independent candidates.[4] Political parties can also opt to contest the election in a political alliance with other parties, removing the 7% requirement as long as the alliance as a whole wins more than 7% of the vote in total.
Other amendments to the election law includes the distribution of seats. Previously, parliamentary seats were distributed based on the vote share of each election alliance in any given district. Now, the seats are distributed based solely on the vote share of each political party in that district. If applied to the previous elections, the results would have been slightly more in line with the preferences of the voters. For example, one Erzurum seat from IYI (4th largest party in Erzurum) would have gone to HDP (3rd largest party in Erzurum) and one Elâzığ seat from CHP (3rd largest party in Elâzığ) to MHP (2nd largest party in Elâzığ).[5]
Electoral districts
Turkey is split into 87 electoral districts, which elect a certain number of Members to the Grand National Assembly of Turkey. The Assembly has a total of 550 seats, which each electoral district allocated a certain number of MPs in proportion to their population. The Supreme Electoral Council of Turkey conducts population reviews of each district before the election and can increase or decrease a district's number of seats according to their electorate.
In all but four cases, electoral districts share the same name and borders of the 81 Provinces of Turkey, with the exception of Ankara, Bursa, Izmir and Istanbul. Provinces electing between 19 and 36 MPs are split into two electoral districts, while any province electing above 36 MPs are divided into three. As the country's most populous provinces, Bursa and Izmir are divided into two subdistricts while Ankara and Istanbul is divided into three. The distribution of elected MPs per electoral district is shown below.[6]
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Parties
As of January 13, 2022, the amount of parties that had met the requirements of eligibility to contest the upcoming parliamentary election was at 24. This list is not final as uneligible political parties may still qualify to enter elections when they fulfill the requirements set in the Law no. 298 on "Basic Provisions on Elections and Electoral Registers".[7]
Opinion polls
References
- "Turkey's post-2023 future at the heart of debates". SETA. 20 January 2022. Retrieved 19 March 2022.
- Minute, Turkish. "Turkey reduces its election threshold from 10 to 7 percent - Turkish Minute". Retrieved 2 April 2022.
- "Turkey lowers party' election threshold for parliament to 7 pct". www.xinhuanet.com. 1 April 2022. Retrieved 2 April 2022.
- "Crossing the threshold – the Turkish election". www.electoral-reform.org.uk. Retrieved 2020-03-03.
- Sarıkaya, Muharrem (15 March 2022). "İttifakın ayrıcalığı kalmayacak". www.haberturk.com (in Turkish). Retrieved 2 April 2022.
- "Yüksek Seçim Kurulu Kararları" (PDF). Official Gazette of the Republic of Turkey. No. 31800. 5 April 2022. Retrieved 8 April 2022.
- "Turkey's Supreme Election Council finds 24 political parties eligible to enter elections". Bianet. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
- Butler, Daren (20 June 2019). "Turkey's Erdogan's struggles to court Kurds in battle for Istanbul". Reuters. Retrieved 9 April 2022.