2023 Katsina State gubernatorial election
The 2023 Katsina State gubernatorial election will take place on 11 March 2023, to elect the Governor of Katsina State, concurrent with elections to the Katsina State House of Assembly as well as twenty-seven other gubernatorial elections and elections to all other state houses of assembly.[1][2] The election will be held two weeks after the presidential election and National Assembly elections. Incumbent APC Governor Aminu Bello Masari is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third term.
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Electoral system
The Governor of Katsina State is elected using a modified two-round system. To be elected in the first round, a candidate must receive the plurality of the vote and over 25% of the vote in at least two-thirds of state local government areas. If no candidate passes this threshold, a second round will be held between the top candidate and the next candidate to have received a plurality of votes in the highest number of local government areas.
Background
Katsina State is a highly populated, northwestern state mainly inhabited by ethnic Hausas and Fulanis. It has a growing economy but is facing rising insecurity, desertification, and low education rates.
Politically, the 2019 elections confirmed the state's status as one of the most staunchly APC states in the nation as both Buhari and Bello Masari won the state by wide margins and every single legislative seat on the senatorial, House of Representatives, and House of Assembly levels were carried by APC nominees. At the beginning of his term, Bello Masari said his administration would focus on security, agriculture, water resource management, and education.[3] In terms of his performance, Bello Masari was praised for increasing his government's diversity but was heavily criticized for his response to rising insecurity.[4][5][6][7][8]
Primary elections
The primaries, along with any potential challenges to primary results, will take place between 4 April and 3 June 2022.[2] According to some activists from the state's northern senatorial district, an informal zoning gentlemen's agreement sets the north to produce the next governor as since the 1999 return of democracy, all Katsina governors have come from either the Central or South senatorial districts.[9]
All Progressives Congress
In early April 2022, articles suggested that the state APC zoned its nomination to the Katsina Central Senatorial District, but this claim was swiftly denied by a Masari media aide who said no decision on zoning had been made by the party.[10]
On 20 April 2022, the APC National Executive Committee announced the party's schedule for gubernatorial primaries, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦10 million and nomination form price at ₦40 million with a 50% nomination form discount for candidates younger than 40 while women and candidates with disabilities get free nomination forms. Forms are to be sold from 26 April until 6 May; after the submission of nomination forms by 10 May, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 12 May while 14 May is the date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses and LGA congresses are set for between 7 and 9 May to elect delegates for the primary. Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 18 May, in concurrence with other APC gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 20 May.[11][12][13]
Announcement pending
- Ahmed Musa Dangiwa: Managing Director/CEO of the Federal Mortgage Bank of Nigeria[16]
- Faruk Lawal Jobe: Commissioner for Budget and Economic Planning[16]
- Dikko Umaru Radda: Director-General of the Small and Medium Enterprise Development Agency (2016–present)[16]
- Mannir Yakubu: Deputy Governor (2019–present) and former Commissioner of Agriculture and Natural Resources (2019–2022)[17]
Expressed interest
- Abubakar Sadiq Yar'adua: former House of Representatives member for Katsina Central[18]
Potential
- Umar Abdullahi Tsauri: 2015 APGA gubernatorial nominee[19]
- Abu Ibrahim: former Senator for Katsina South (2003–2007; 2011–2015)[19]
- Sani Mashi: former Director-General of the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (2017–2021)[20]
- Hadi Sirika: Minister of Aviation (2019–present), Minister of State for Aviation (2015–2019), former Senator for Katsina North (2011–2015), and former House of Representatives member[21][20]
People's Democratic Party
On 16 March 2022, the national PDP announced its gubernatorial primaries' schedule, setting its expression of interest form price at ₦1 million and the nomination form price at ₦20 million with a 50% discount for candidates between 25 and 30. Forms were to be sold until 1 April but the party later extended the deadline four times before reaching a final deadline of 22 April. After the submission of nomination forms by 25 April, candidates are to be screened by a party committee on 28 April while 2 May is the rescheduled date for the screening appeal process. Ward congresses are set for 29 April and LGA congresses are set for 5 May to elect delegates for the primary.[22] Candidates approved by the screening process will advance to a primary set for 21 May, in concurrence with all other PDP gubernatorial primaries; challenges to the result can be made on 24 May.[23][24]
Declared
- Garba Yakubu Lado: 2019 PDP gubernatorial nominee, former Senator for Katsina South, and former House of Representatives member[25]
- Muttaqha Rabe Darma: former Executive Secretary of the Petroleum Technology Development Fund
- Ahmed Aminu Yar’Adua: former Managing Director of the National Inland Waterways Authority and cousin of former President Umaru Musa Yar'Adua[26]
- Salisu Yusuf Majigiri: former state PDP Chairman[27]
Potential
- Ahmad Babba Kaita: Senator for Katsina North (2018–present) and former House of Representatives member for Kankia/Kusada/Ingawa (2011–2018)[28]
References
- Oyekanmi, Rotimi (26 February 2022). "It's Official: 2023 Presidential, National Assembly Elections to Hold Feb 25". INEC News. Retrieved 27 February 2022.
- Jimoh, Abbas (26 February 2022). "INEC Sets New Dates For 2023 General Elections". Daily Trust. Retrieved 26 February 2022.
- "For The Record: Masari's 2019 inauguration speech as Katsina governor". Premium Times. News Agency of Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
- "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, OCTOBER, 2019: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
We also take cognizance of the appointment of an Imo State indigene, Prince Uche Okonkwo by Governor Masari as his Special Assistant on Nigerian Indigenous Christians. This, we believe, will help build and deepen a culture of diversity in the state and engender a more inclusive government.
- "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, AUGUST, 2019: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
For many, the deteriorating security situation in Katsina is nothing but a failure of leadership on the part of Governor Masari. In our view, he failed to show capacity and provide needed leadership for the security agencies in the state
- "RANKING NIGERIAN GOVERNORS, SEPTEMBER, 2019: Top 5, Bottom 5". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
Though we note Masari’s latest efforts at dealing with the challenge, by interfacing with some bandits, he takes the ultimate blame for allowing the issue to fester, allowing it to grow into a monster before responding.
- "NIGERIAN GOVERNORS: Fumbling, wobbling dominate June 2020 performance". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
Governor Aminu Masari of Katsina looks to be gradually losing his hold on the state, as bandits relentlessly attack communities and displace citizens, so much so that the governor within the month confessed that attacks by bandits, and not COVID-19, is the problem the state is facing. We are concerned that Masari’s peace moves have not only come to nought but emboldened the bandits, leaving the governor helpless and seemingly without new ideas on what to do.
- "TOP 5, BOTTOM 5: How Nigerian governors ranked in July, 2020". Ripples Nigeria. Retrieved 9 April 2022.
The near free reign of bandits and Governor Aminu Masari’s lack of grip of the challenge earns him several minuses.
- Ajaja, Tunde; Ede, Raphael; Odogwu, Ted; Odey, Patrick; Tyopuusu, Justin; Oyelude, Olaide; Ochei, Matthew; Naku, Dennis; Wakaso, Aisha; Nwakanma, Sunday; Nnachi, Edward; Abraham, James (23 April 2022). "2023: Ganduje, Okowa, Ikpeazu, Ortom, Wike others in succession crisis". The Punch. Retrieved 23 April 2022.
In Katsina State, there is agitation from Katsina North that the zone has not produced the governor before and should be allowed this time. The incumbent, Aminu Masari, has, however, not shown preference for any aspirant. A Daura-based lawyer, Ado Lalu, said despite having the highest number of local governments at 12, the zone should be allowed to produce Masari’s successor.
- Olaniyan, Segun. "Katsina Dismisses Alleged Report, Saying At No Time Was Such Decision Taken". Independent Nigeria. Retrieved 23 April 2022.
- Majeed, Bakare (20 April 2022). "UPDATED: 2023: APC fixes presidential forms for N100 million, adopts indirect primaries". Premium Times. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
- Angbulu, Stephen; Ayeni, Victor; Dada, Peter; Naku, Dennis; Ede, Raphael (21 April 2022). "Presidential primary: APC silent on zoning, Nigerians condemn N100m nomination fee". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- APC Nigeria [@OfficialAPCNg] (April 25, 2022). "OFFICIAL" (Tweet). Retrieved 26 April 2022 – via Twitter.
- Oyelude, Olaide. "Katsina SSG visits APC secretariat, unveils governorship bid". The Punch. Retrieved 16 March 2022.
- Oyelude, Olaide. "2023: Katsina SSG resigns, to join gov race". The Punch. Retrieved 22 April 2022.
- Odufowokan, 'Dare. "2023: The battle to succeed Masari in Katsina". The Nation. Retrieved 23 April 2022.
The four APC guber aspirants and the Local Government Areas they hail from are: Mustapha Mohammed Inuwa, currently the Secretary to the State Government (SSG) in the State, who is from Dan Musa LGA; Ahmed Musa Dangiwa from Kankia LGA; Alhaji Diko Radda from Charanchi LGA and Farouk Lawal Jobe from Kankara LGA.
- Garba, Ibrahim. "Katsina State Deputy governor resigns as Agric Commissioner". Primetime News. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- Ibrahim, Tijjani. "Katsina Gov'ship: I'm Still Consulting — Yar'adua". Daily Trust. Retrieved 21 January 2022.
- Enna, Godwin. "'Katsina SSG, Inuwa, Favoured To Succeed Masari'". Leadership. Retrieved 13 April 2022.
- Koiki, Olusegun. "Sirika Sacks DG NiMET". Independent Nigeria. Retrieved 10 July 2021.
- Aminu, Habib Umar. "Nigeria: Katsina 2023 - Gov'ship Aspirants Compete With COVID-19 Palliatives". Daily Trust. AllAfrica. Retrieved 10 July 2021.
- Angbulu, Stephen (21 April 2022). "2023: PDP extends sale of forms for fourth time". The Punch. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
- Yakubu, Dirisu (16 March 2022). "[BREAKING] 2023: PDP Presidential primary holds in May". Vanguard. Abuja. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
- Akpan, Samuel (17 March 2022). "2023: PDP releases pre-election schedule, fixes presidential primary poll for May 28". TheCable. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
- Sardauna, Francis. "Katsina 2023: PDP Secretariat Agog as Lado Picks Guber Form". ThisDay. Retrieved 13 April 2022.
- Martins, Baba. "Yar'Adua's Cousin, Shehu Sani, Pick Katsina, Kaduna Gov'ship Forms". Daily Trust. Retrieved 7 April 2022.
- Sardauna, Francis. "2023: Katsina PDP Guber Aspirant Vows to Rescue State from APC Misrule". ThisDay. Retrieved 13 April 2022.
- Aborisade, Sunday; Sardauna, Francis. "Buhari's Senator Moves to Dump APC, Holds Meeting with Katsina PDP Leaders". ThisDay. Retrieved 21 April 2022.
There were unconfirmed information that Babba-Kaita was also planning to contest the governorship election in the state, next year.