2022 United States Senate election in Utah

The 2022 United States Senate election in Utah will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah. Incumbent Senator Mike Lee is running for reelection. This will be the first Senate election in Utah’s history where there is no Democratic nominee, as the Utah Democratic Party chose to endorse an independent candidate.

2022 United States Senate election in Utah

November 8, 2022
 
Nominee TBD Evan McMullin
Party Republican Independent
Alliance

Incumbent U.S. senator

Mike Lee
Republican



Republican primary

Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Lee won over 70% of the vote at the Utah Republican Party state convention on April 23, 2022. Two other candidates gathered enough signatures to qualify for the primary on June 28, 2022.[1]

Declared

Eliminated at convention

Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Did not file

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Lee
Executive Branch Officials
Organizations
Individuals

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Evan
Barlow
Loy
Brunson
Becky
Edwards
Jeremy
Friedbaum
Laird
Hamblin
Ally
Isom
Tyrone
Jensen
Mike
Lee
Brendan
Wright
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates March 9–21, 2022 484 (LV) ± 4.5% 6% 1% 19% 2% 1% 4% 67%
OH Predictive Insights February 7–14, 2022 366 (RV) ± 5.1% 5% 2% 2% 51% 2% 37%
Dan Jones & Associates October 14–21, 2021 469 (LV) ± 4.5% 7% 2% 53% 6% 32%
OH Predictive Insights August 2–8, 2021 337 (RV) ± 5.3% 3% 2% 45% 3% 48%
RMG Research June 24–25, 2021 587 (LV) ± 4.0% 11% 47% 8% 33%

Convention

State Republican Convention results, 2022
Candidate First ballot Pct.
Mike Lee 2,621 70.74%
Becky Edwards 436 11.77%
Ally Isom 358 9.66%
Jeremy Friedbaum 132 3.56%
Evan Barlow 75 2.02%
Loy Brunson 71 1.92%
Laird Hamblin 12 0.32%
Total 3,705 100.00%

Primary

Republican primary results[20]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Becky Edwards
Republican Ally Isom
Republican Mike Lee (incumbent)
Total votes

Democratic convention

The Utah Democratic Party state convention took place on April 23, 2022.[21] Kael Weston was the only Democrat still running; however, the party endorsed Evan McMullin's independent bid in lieu of nominating a candidate,[22] following encouragement from many prominent Democrats in the state, including former Rep. Ben McAdams and Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson, to back McMullin's campaign.

Eliminated at convention

Did not file

  • Austin Searle, musician[24]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Kael Weston
Statewide officials

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Allen
Glines
Nicholas
Mitchell
Steve
Schmidt
Austin
Searle
Kael
Weston
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights February 7–14, 2022 110 (RV) ± 9.3% 2% 5% 16% 2% 14% 60%

Convention vote

The Utah Democratic Party held a state convention on April 23, 2022, to endorse candidates for state offices.[31][32][33] Supporters of independent candidate Evan McMullin, led by Salt Lake County mayor Jenny Wilson, introduced a motion for the state party to forgo nominating a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate and to instead "join Evan McMullin’s independent coalition to beat Mike Lee",[32] contending that not doing so would split the anti-Lee vote in the general election.[32][33] The motion was opposed by supporters of Kael Weston, the lone Democratic candidate for the seat who thus would have received the nomination had the motion failed.[33] The delegates passed the motion by a 57%–43% margin.[32][33]

Motion to endorse independent candidate Evan McMullin[33]
Option Votes  %
Yes 782 56.83%
No 594 43.17%
Total 1,376 100.00%

Libertarian convention

Nominee

Eliminated at convention

Independent American primary

Declared

  • Tommy Williams, perennial candidate[36]

Independents

Declared

Withdrawn

Endorsements

Evan McMullin
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[55] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[56] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[57] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[58] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[59] Safe R January 10, 2022

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Mike Lee vs. Kael Weston vs. Evan McMullin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mike
Lee (R)
Kael
Weston (D)
Evan
McMullin (I)
Other Undecided
Dan Jones & Associates March 9–21, 2022 804 (RV) ± 3.5% 43% 11% 19% 3% 24%
OH Predictive Insights February 7–14, 2022 739 (RV) ± 3.6% 34% 12% 24% 30%
Mike Lee vs. Steve Schmidt vs. Evan McMullin
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mike
Lee (R)
Steve
Schmidt (D)
Evan
McMullin (I)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights February 7–14, 2022 739 (RV) ± 3.6% 36% 11% 23% 30%
Mike Lee vs. Steve Schmidt
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mike
Lee (R)
Steve
Schmidt (D)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights February 7–14, 2022 739 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 25% 30%
Mike Lee vs. Kael Weston
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Mike
Lee (R)
Kael
Weston (D)
Undecided
OH Predictive Insights February 7–14, 2022 739 (RV) ± 3.6% 45% 25% 30%

Notes

  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. "Utah GOP overwhelmingly chooses Sen. Mike Lee as nominee, but he still faces primary". Deseret News. April 23, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
  2. "Edwards to challenge Lee for U.S. Senate seat". Fox 13 News. May 27, 2021. Archived from the original on May 27, 2021. Retrieved May 27, 2021.
  3. "Meet Ally Isom, the latest Republican seeking to defeat Utah Sen. Mike Lee in 2022". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on July 15, 2021. Retrieved July 15, 2021.
  4. Schott, Bryan (February 9, 2021). "In fundraising appeal, Sen. Mike Lee claims the anti-Trump Lincoln Project is gunning for him next year". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on March 9, 2021. Retrieved March 14, 2021.
  5. "Archived copy" (PDF). Archived (PDF) from the original on July 15, 2021. Retrieved February 24, 2021.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  6. Vandenack, Tim (February 10, 2022). "WSU prof vying for US Senate switches to GOP, cites McMullin entry". Standard-Examiner.
  7. "A stampede of candidates running for office as Utah's filing period ends". The Salt Lake Tribune. Retrieved March 9, 2022.
  8. Vandenack, Tim (March 1, 2022). "US Senate hopeful Kael Weston says his candidacy gives voters a choice". Standard-Examiner.
  9. "US Senate candidate Becky Edwards visits Southern Utah during campaign to unseat Mike Lee". St George News. November 24, 2021.
  10. "Ty Jensen Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". U.S. Term Limits. November 10, 2021. Retrieved January 18, 2022.
  11. Richards, Connor (March 8, 2021). "Utah County Republican announces 2022 U.S. Senate run". Daily Herald. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved May 16, 2021. Brendan Wright, of Lehi, announced on Saturday, March 6 that he is running in 2022 for the U.S. Senate seat currently filled by Sen. Mike Lee, R-Utah.
  12. Schott, Bryan (April 5, 2021). "A way too early look at the 2022 U.S. Senate race in Utah and Sen. Mike Lee's possible challengers". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on April 19, 2021. Retrieved May 16, 2021.
  13. Epstein, Harrison (January 31, 2022). "Edwards campaign gathering signatures across state for Senate run". Standard-Examiner. Daily Herald. Archived from the original on January 31, 2022. Retrieved February 9, 2022.
  14. Webb, LaVarr (March 8, 2021). "Analysis: GOP hopefuls are testing the water against Mike Lee in 2022". Utah Policy. Archived from the original on March 8, 2021. Retrieved March 8, 2021.
  15. Webb, LaVarr (March 12, 2021). "Opinion briefs: Senate race attracts a crowd . . . National monuments battle . . . federalism & minimum wage". Utah Policy. Archived from the original on March 14, 2021. Retrieved March 15, 2021.
  16. Romboy, Dennis (April 1, 2022). "Donald Trump endorses Mike Lee, goes after Evan 'McMuffin' and Mitt Romney at the same time". Deseret News. Archived from the original on April 2, 2022. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
  17. "Club for Growth - PAC Endorsed Candidates". Club for Growth - PAC Endorsed Candidates. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  18. "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Mike Lee in the Utah U.S. Senate Race". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. August 17, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  19. "Turning Point Action". Turning Point Action - Endorsements. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  20. "2022 Candidate Filings". Office of the Lieutenant Governor of Utah. Retrieved February 28, 2022.
  21. "County Conventions". Utah Democratic Party. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
  22. McKellar, Katie [@KatieMcKellar1] (April 24, 2022). "BREAKING: | Option 1, to nominate @KaelWeston got 595 votes. | Option 2, to join @EvanMcMullin got over 700 votes. | @UtahDemocrats delegates have voted to NOT put forth own candidate #utpol" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  23. "Kael Weston: Utah's people and land deserve better protections". The Salt Lake Tribune. January 27, 2022.
  24. "Austin Searle isn't challenging Sen. Mike Lee and says viral tweet wasn't 'grifting'". The Salt Lake Tribune. March 10, 2022.
  25. "He's Black. He's a returned missionary. He's LGBTQ. And he's challenging Utah Sen. Mike Lee". Desert News. October 6, 2021. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 7, 2021.
  26. https://twitter.com/AllenBGlines/status/1501305985545039872?t=UxcWUzEoI5AyT5vftGAZbg&s=19
  27. "Utah Rep. Ben McAdams warns Democrats not to move too far to the left". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on January 21, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
  28. "Opinion: Why we support Evan McMullin for the U.S. Senate". Deseret News. November 7, 2021.
  29. "Founder of anti-Trump Lincoln Project registers as a Utah Democrat". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on January 22, 2021. Retrieved January 25, 2021.
  30. "Paul Van Dam & Lisa Rutherford: Democrats should stand by their own U.S. Senate candidate". The Salt Lake Tribune. March 31, 2021.
  31. Whitehurst, Lindsay (April 23, 2022). "Utah Democrats back independent as US Senate candidate". Associated Press. Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
  32. Bojórquez, Kim (April 23, 2022). "Utah Democrats back independent Evan McMullin for U.S. Senate in a historic vote". The Salt Lake Tribune. Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
  33. McKellar, Katie (April 23, 2022). "How bad do Utah Democrats want Mike Lee out? Bad enough to ditch their own nominee and back Evan McMullin instead". Deseret News. Archived from the original on April 24, 2022. Retrieved April 24, 2022.
  34. "https://twitter.com/jamesarthansen/status/1512923950916939776". Twitter. Retrieved April 26, 2022. {{cite web}}: External link in |title= (help)
  35. "Our Campaigns - UT US Senate - LBT Convention Race - Apr 09, 2022". www.ourcampaigns.com. Retrieved April 26, 2022.
  36. "2022 Candidate Filings - Lieutenant Governor's Office: Elections". elections.utah.gov. Retrieved March 17, 2022.
  37. Forgey, Quint (October 5, 2021). "Evan McMullin announces Utah Senate bid". POLITICO. Archived from the original on October 5, 2021. Retrieved October 5, 2021.
  38. Vandenack, Tim (August 23, 2021). "Weber State professor launches U.S. Senate bid to unseat Lee". Standard-Examiner. Archived from the original on August 26, 2021. Retrieved September 15, 2021.
  39. "'The Rundown': Ken Ivory wants to return to the Utah Legislature". The Salt Lake Tribune. November 1, 2021.
  40. Walsh, Joe. "I know Mike Lee. We became friends when he was in the Senate and I was in the House. I never thought Mike Lee would put defending Trump ahead of defending the Constitution. But he did. Repeatedly. @EvanMcMullin will always put country first. Support Evan McMullin in Utah". Twitter. Retrieved March 3, 2022.
  41. "How do polls rank Mike Lee against Evan McMullin for Senate?". Deseret News. March 30, 2022.
  42. Steele, Michael. "Run, Evan run! Compassionate, independent leadership anchored by service to others. #Democracy #RenewAmericaMovement". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
  43. McMullin, Team (April 15, 2022). "Thank you to @VoteSuz for joining our cross-partisan coalition! #EvanStronger". Twitter. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022.
  44. McMullin, Team (April 15, 2022). "@RepAStoddard is joining the #EvanStronger coalition because he knows that Evan will be a compassionate leader, ready to fight for every Utahn". Twitter. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022.
  45. McMullin, Team (April 15, 2022). "Thank you, @RepEWeight, for joining Evan McMullin's cross-partisan coalition. You make us #EvanStronger with your endorsement!". Twitter. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022.
  46. "Why another high-profile Utah Democrat is backing an independent in U.S. Senate race". Deseret News. March 7, 2022.
  47. Painter, Richard. "Tired of all the partisanship in Washington? @EvanMcMullin is an independent running for U.S. Senate in Utah. He could make a big difference in Washington". Twitter. Archived from the original on October 7, 2021. Retrieved October 6, 2021.
  48. Yang, Andrew. "If you want to defeat Mike Lee the candidate to support is Evan McMullin running as an Independent in Utah". Twitter. Archived from the original on April 15, 2022. Retrieved April 16, 2022.
  49. "Anti-Trump Republicans endorsing vulnerable Democrats to prevent GOP takeover". The Hill. October 14, 2021.
  50. "United Utah Party endorses Evan McMullin for US Senate". KSL. April 16, 2022.
  51. "How bad do Utah Democrats want Mike Lee out? Bad enough to ditch their own nominee and back Evan McMullin instead". Deseret News. April 23, 2022.
  52. "Utah Solidarity Party Endorses Evan McMullin for U.S. Senate". April 19, 2022.
  53. "For US Senate, the youth choice is @EvanMcMullin!". Twitter. April 21, 2022. Archived from the original on April 21, 2022.
  54. McMullin, Team (April 23, 2022). "Evan is honored to have earned the endorsement of the Morgan County Democrats. We will go together — and we will be stronger". Twitter. Archived from the original on April 22, 2022.
  55. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  56. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  57. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  58. "Utah Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  59. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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