2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky

The 2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky will be held on November 8, 2022 to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Kentucky.

For related races, see 2022 United States Senate elections.

2022 United States Senate election in Kentucky
November 8, 2022 (2022-11-08)
 
Party Republican Democratic
Incumbent U.S. senator

Rand Paul
Republican


Elections in Kentucky
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Incumbent Republican Rand Paul was first elected in 2010 with 56% of the vote, filling the seat of retiring Jim Bunning, then re-elected in 2016 with 57% of the vote. Paul has stated that he will run for a third term.[1]

Background

Although Rand Paul supports a Constitutional amendment limiting Senators to two terms, he said, "I'm not in favor of term limits for some and not others. So I'm not in favor of people self-imposing term limits. I’m a co-sponsor of the constitutional amendment, but I will run again in 2022."[1]

Republican primary

Declared
  • Arnold Blankenship, retiree[2]
  • Valerie Frederick[2]
  • Paul V. Hamilton, economics professor[3]
  • John Scheiss, perennial candidate[2]
  • Tami Stanfield, former sales executive[2]
  • Rand Paul, incumbent U.S. Senator[1][4]
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Endorsements
Rand Paul
U.S. Executive Branch Officials
Organizations

Results
Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Arnold Blankeship
Republican Valerie Frederick
Republican Paul V. Hamilton
Republican Rand Paul (incumbent)
Republican John Schiess
Republican Tami Stanfield
Total votes

Democratic primary

Declared
Democratic candidates[lower-alpha 1]

Declined

Endorsements
Charles Booker
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Labor unions
Organizations
Individuals

Results
Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Charles Booker
Democratic Joshua Blanton Sr.
Democratic Ruth Gao
Democratic John Merrill
Total votes

General election

Predictions
Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[28] Solid R November 19, 2021
Inside Elections[29] Solid R January 7, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30] Safe R November 3, 2021
Politico[31] Likely R April 1, 2022
RCP[32] Safe R January 10, 2022

Polling
Rand Paul vs. Charles Booker
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Rand
Paul (R)		 Charles
Booker (D)		 Undecided
Mason-Dixon January 19–22, 2022 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% 6%
Hypothetical polling
Rand Paul vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Rand
Paul (R)		 Generic
Democrat		 Undecided
Mason-Dixon February 1–4, 2021 625 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 41% 12%

Notes
  1. The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
  2. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References
  1. Dean, Kelly (February 25, 2021). "Sen. Rand Paul discusses upcoming plans for re-election 2022". WBKO. Archived from the original on February 27, 2021. Retrieved March 6, 2021.
  2. "Election Candidate Filings". Kentucky Secretary of State. Retrieved January 7, 2022.
  3. "Kentucky Secretary of State - Candidate Filings". Kentucky Secretary of State - Candidate Filings. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  4. "Sen. Rand Paul announces he has filed for re-election". WBKO. January 5, 2022.
  5. Kobin, Bill (April 9, 2021). "Donald Trump endorses Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul for 2022 reelection". The Courier-Journal. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
  6. "FreedomWorks for America Endorses Rand Paul in the Kentucky U.S. Senate Race". www.freedomworksforamerica.org. August 25, 2021. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  7. "Club for Growth PAC Endorsed Candidates". Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  8. "Turning Point Action". Turning Point Action - Endorsements. Retrieved January 28, 2022.
  9. "It's official: Charles Booker will run for Senate again, this time against Rand Paul". WLKY. July 1, 2021. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
  10. "Ruth Gao announces U.S. Senate run in Kentucky, aims to become 'first millennial woman Senator'". WLEX-TV. June 30, 2021. Retrieved July 1, 2021.
  11. Smith, Lawrence. "Democrats begin lining up for right to challenge Sen. Rand Paul". WDRB. Retrieved July 31, 2021.
  12. "Political Notebook: Could Rocky Adkins be Kentucky's Joe Manchin in 2022 Senate race?". Lexington Herald-Leader. April 15, 2021. Retrieved April 21, 2021.
  13. "Room for a Moderate Democrat in 2022 U.S. Senate Primary". Kentucky Fried Politics. July 9, 2021. Retrieved September 23, 2021.
  14. Breon Martin (May 2, 2021). "US Sen. Bernie Sanders holds rally with Charles Booker in Louisville". WDRB.
  15. Morgan Watkins (July 26, 2021). "Sen. Elizabeth Warren endorses Charles Booker in bid for Rand Paul's Senate seat". Courier Journal.
  16. "Rep. John Yarmuth backs Charles Booker in his bid to unseat Sen. Rand Paul". The Courier-Journal. November 11, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  17. Craig, Berry (March 4, 2022). "State AFL-CIO backs Booker, McGarvey". Forward Kentucky. Retrieved March 8, 2022.
  18. "Charles Booker picks up major union endorsement in run for U.S. Senate". WLKY. July 21, 2021. Retrieved March 25, 2022.
  19. "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association.
  20. "BNC Endorses Charles Booker!". Brand New Congress. Archived from the original on August 4, 2021. Retrieved August 4, 2021.
  21. Simpson, Yvette (July 1, 2021). "Democracy for America : DFA backs Charles Booker for 2022 Senate rematch in Kentucky". democracyforamerica.com. Democracy for America.
  22. "LCV ACTION FUND ANNOUNCES FIRST ROUND OF NON-INCUMBENT SENATE ENDORSEMENTS". www.lcv.org. February 2, 2022. Retrieved February 2, 2022.
  23. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  24. "Our Candidates". Working Families Party.
  25. "Endorsements". March On.
  26. "Sunrise Movement endorses progressive Democrats Summer Lee, Nida Allam and Erica Smith for Congress". March 24, 2022.
  27. Scott Recker (October 15, 2021). "Civil Rights Attorney Ben Crump Endorses Charles Booker For Senate". LEO Weekly.
  28. "2022 Senate Race ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
  29. "Senate ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved January 18, 2021.
  30. "2022 Senate". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved January 28, 2021.
  31. "Kentucky Senate Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  32. "Battle for the Senate 2022". RCP. January 10, 2022.
Official campaign websites
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