2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Mississippi, one from each of the state's two congressional districts. The elections will coincide with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Mississippi

November 8, 2022

All 4 Mississippi seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1

District 1

The 1st district takes in the northeastern area of the state, including Columbus, Oxford, Southaven, and Tupelo. The incumbent is Republican Trent Kelly, who was re-elected with 68.7% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Declared
Declared
  • Hunter Kyle Avery, manufacturing worker[3][4]

Filed paperwork

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[7] Solid R March 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[9] Solid R April 5, 2022

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses the Mississippi Delta, taking in most of Jackson, the riverfront cities of Greenville and Vicksburg, and the interior market cities of Clarksdale, Greenwood and Clinton. The incumbent is Democrat Bennie Thompson, who was re-elected with 66.0% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Filed paperwork
Potential

Endorsements

Bennie Thompson
Declared
Filed paperwork
  • Brian Flowers, nuclear plant technician, U.S. Navy veteran, and nominee for this district in 2020[13][4]
  • Jeffrey Keuneke, surveying crew member[14][4]

Endorsements

Ron Eller
Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Solid D January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[7] Solid D March 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe D January 26, 2022
Politico[9] Solid D April 5, 2022

District 3

The 3rd district is located in eastern and southwestern Mississippi, taking in Meridian, Starkville, Pearl, Natchez, and most of the wealthier portions of Jackson, including the portion of the city located in Rankin County. The incumbent is Republican Michael Guest, who was elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2020.[1]

Potential
Declared
  • Rahim Talley, businessman, Iraq war veteran and progressive activist[17]
  • Shuwaski Young, political organizer[3]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[7] Solid R March 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[9] Solid R April 5, 2022

District 4

The 4th district encompasses the Mississippi Gulf Coast, including Gulfport, Biloxi, Hattiesburg, Bay St. Louis, Laurel, and Pascagoula. The incumbent is Republican Steven Palazzo, who was re-elected unopposed in 2020.[1]

Declared

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Carl
Boyanton
Raymond
Brooks
Mike
Ezell
Steven
Palazzo
Clay
Wagner
Brice
Wiggins
Undecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 1] December 11–14, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 1% 8% 65% 2% 4% 19%
Declared
Declared
  • Alden Patrick Johnson, firefighter[3][4]
Declared

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[6] Solid R January 24, 2022
Inside Elections[7] Solid R March 21, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[8] Safe R January 26, 2022
Politico[9] Solid R April 5, 2022

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. Poll sponsored by Palazzo's campaign

References

  1. Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
  2. Vance, Taylor (January 3, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Trent Kelly qualifies for reelection to U.S. House seat". www.djournal.com. Retrieved January 6, 2022.
  3. Corder, Frank (July 15, 2021). "Mississippi Congressional Campaign Reporting Points to 2022 Mid-Term Challenges". Y'all Politics. Retrieved July 28, 2021.
  4. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Mississippi Elections, Candidates & Politics".
  5. "James McCay FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  6. "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 24, 2022.
  7. "House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
  8. "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. January 26, 2022. Retrieved January 26, 2022.
  9. "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  10. "Gerald Kerner FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  11. Corder, Frank (December 27, 2021). "MS02: Thompson draws Democratic opponent critical of own party". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved December 28, 2021.
  12. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  13. "Brian Flowers FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  14. "Jeffrey Keuneke FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  15. Corder, Frank (April 4, 2022). "Trump's former advisor Lt. Gen. Flynn endorses Mississippi Republican 2nd Congressional District candidate Eller". Y'all Politics. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  16. "Accomplished Veterans Endorsed by SEAL PAC". SEAL PAC. Retrieved March 6, 2022.
  17. Corder, Frank (September 15, 2021). "Mississippi Democrats field candidates in all 4 Congressional Districts ahead of 2022 midterms". Y'all Politics. Retrieved September 18, 2021.
  18. "Candidate who triggered ethics investigation says Palazzo should resign from Congress". March 5, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  19. Coder, Frank (June 17, 2021). "Palazzo draws third Republican mid-term opponent". www.yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved August 22, 2021.
  20. "'I've got a serving heart': Mike Ezell announces bid for Congress". gulflive. April 6, 2021. Retrieved April 7, 2021.
  21. Corder, Frank (October 18, 2021). "Wallets amptying into Mississippi's 4th Congressional District as midterms approach". yallpolitics.com. Y'all Politics. Retrieved October 18, 2021.
  22. "After 10 years in state senate, Brice Wiggins ready to take on Palazzo, others for congressional seat". October 26, 2021.
  23. Corder, Frank (September 10, 2021). "MS04: Wagner files to run for Congress, increasing the field to 4 Republicans challenging Palazzo". Y'all Politics. Retrieved September 12, 2021.
  24. Burns, Haskel (September 29, 2021). "Former Mayor Dupree qualifies to run for Palazzo's 4th Congressional District seat". www.hubcityspokes.com. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  25. "Graham Hudson Pledges to Support Term Limits on Congress". www.termlimits.com. U.S. Term Limits. Retrieved August 5, 2021.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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