2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa will be held on November 8, 2022, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the State of Iowa, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections will coincide with the other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. These will be the first congressional elections held in Iowa after the 2020 redistricting cycle.

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa

November 8, 2022

All 4 Iowa seats to the United States House of Representatives
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 3 1

Background

In the 2020 elections, Republicans flipped the 1st and 2nd congressional districts while holding the 4th, while Democrats only managed to hold onto the 3rd. Iowa is considered to be an important state in the 2022 midterm elections, as Republicans only need a net gain of 5 seats to flip the House of Representatives, and the 3rd district had one of the closest House elections won by a Democrat in 2020. At an event in 2021, Ted Cruz, Republican Senator from Texas, claimed that the "road to the majority...comes through Iowa."[1] However, Democrats remained optimistic, with former U.S. Representative Abby Finkenauer saying she "couldn't be more excited" about the roster of Iowa Democrats running for Congress in 2022.[2]

District 1

Before redistricting, the 1st district was based in northeastern Iowa, and included the cities of Dubuque, Cedar Rapids and Waterloo. The incumbent was Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks, who was redistricted from the 2nd Congressional District after flipping the district with 49.9% of the vote in 2020, defeating Democratic nominee Rita Hart by just 6 votes out of more than 394,000 cast, a margin of 0.002%[3]

Declared

Withdrawn

  • Kyle Kuehl, business owner[6]

Endorsements

Mariannette Miller-Meeks
Federal officials
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mariannette Miller-Meeks (incumbent)
Total votes
Declared
Declined

Endorsements

Christina Bohannan

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Christina Bohannan
Democratic Joseph Kerner
Total votes

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Likely R February 22, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Likely R November 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Likely R November 11, 2021
Politico[24] Lean R April 5, 2022

Polling

Mariannette Miller-Meeks vs. Christina Bohannan
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Mariannette
Miller-Meeks (R)
Christina
Bohannan (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 1] April 5–6, 2022 534 (V) ± 3.4% 43% 42% 15%

District 2

Before redistricting, the 2nd district encompassed southeastern Iowa, and was home to the cities of Davenport, Iowa City, Muscatine, Clinton, Burlington, Ottumwa, Fort Madison, Oskaloosa, Bettendorf, Newton and Pella. The incumbent was Republican Ashley Hinson, who was redistricted from the 1st District after flipping the district with 51.2% of the vote in 2020

Incumbent Ashley Hinson from Marion
Declared

Endorsements

Ashley Hinson
Federal officials
Statewide officials
Individuals
Organizations
Declared
State sen. Liz Mathis from Hiawatha
Potential
Filed paperwork
Declined

Endorsements

Liz Mathis
Federal officials
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Organizations
Labor unions

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Likely R February 22, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Likely R November 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Likely R November 11, 2021
Politico[24] Lean R April 5, 2022

Polling

Ashley Hinson vs. Liz Mathis
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Ashley
Hinson (R)
Liz
Mathis (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] February 2–3, 2022 623 (V) ± 3.9% 43% 42% 15%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 2] February 2–3, 2022 623 (V) ± 3.9% 45% 42% 13%

District 3

Before redistricting, the 3rd district encompassed southwestern Iowa, stretching from Des Moines to the state's borders with Nebraska and Missouri. The incumbent is Democrat Cindy Axne, who was re-elected with 48.9% of the vote in 2020.[3]

Declared
Endorsements

Republican primary

State senator
Zach Nunn
from
Bondurant
Declared
Filed paperwork
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Nicole Hasso
U.S. Senators
Zach Nunn
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Mary Ann
Hanusa
Nicole
Hasso
Zach
Nunn
Undecided
Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 3] September 9, 2021 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 13% 3% 24% 60%
Potential
  • Bryan Holder, photographer and perennial candidate[30]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Tossup February 22, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Tossup November 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Tossup November 11, 2021
Politico[24] Tossup April 5, 2022

Polling

Cindy Axne vs. Zach Nunn
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Cindy
Axne (D)
Zach
Nunn (R)
Undecided
Moore Information Group (R)[upper-alpha 3] September 9, 2021 – (LV) 46% 42% 12%

District 4

Before redistricting, the 4th district was based in northwestern Iowa, including Sioux City, Ames, Mason City, Fort Dodge, Boone and Carroll. The incumbent is Republican Randy Feenstra, who was elected with 62.0% of the vote in 2020.[3]

Incumbent Randy Feenstra from Hull
Declared

Endorsements

Randy Feenstra
Declined
Declared
  • Ryan O’Leary, businessman[60]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[21] Solid R February 22, 2022
Inside Elections[22] Solid R November 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] Safe R November 11, 2021
Politico[24] Solid R April 5, 2022

See also

  • 2022 Iowa elections

Notes

  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Bohannan
  2. Poll sponsored by Mathis's campaign
  3. Poll sponsored by Nunn's campaign

References

  1. "Iowa GOP sets sight on 2022 election to flip house and senate majority". August 28, 2021.
  2. "Democratic State Senator Liz Mathis running for U.S. Congress".
  3. "General Election - 2020 Canvass Summary" (PDF). Iowa Secretary of State.
  4. Shillcock, George. "Mariannete Miller-Meeks announces re-election bid, blasts Joe Biden". www.press-citizen.com. Iowa City Press-Citizen. Retrieved September 19, 2021.
  5. "Will Axne and Miller-Meeks face off in new 3rd district?". www.kcci.com. kcci.com. Retrieved October 29, 2021.
  6. Doster, Meg. "Kyle Kuehl, Republican candidate for Iowa's 1st Congressional District, drops out of race as petition is rejected by state panel". www.dailyiowan.com. Student Publications. Retrieved March 31, 2022.
  7. Dunlap, Natalie (November 19, 2021). "Miller-Meeks endorsed by other Republican members of Iowa's congressional delegation". The Daily Iowan. Retrieved November 19, 2021.
  8. Ackley, Kate (November 16, 2021). "Sen. Tim Scott endorses in 9 House races". Roll Call. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
  9. Dunlap, Natalie (November 15, 2021). "Gov. Reynolds endorses Rep. Miller-Meeks' reelection campaign". www.dailyiowan.com. The Daily Iowan. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
  10. "Miller-Meeks, Nunn Endorsed By Americans for Prosperity Action". The Iowa Torch. December 14, 2021. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  11. "2022 Candidates". www.maggieslist.org. Retrieved January 2, 2021.
  12. "UPDATED: She beat a 20-year incumbent in 2020, now this Iowa lawmaker has her sights on Congress".
  13. Akin, Katie (February 8, 2022). "Iowa election 2022: Who's running for governor and for Congress?". 3 News Now Omaha. Retrieved February 12, 2022.
  14. Murphy, Erin (September 22, 2021). "Campaign Almanac for Wednesday, September 22, 2021". Quad-City Times. Archived from the original on September 22, 2021. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  15. Dunlap, Natalie. "Former U.S. Rep. Dave Loebsack endorses Congressional candidate and state Rep. Christina Bohannan". www.dailyiowan.com. The Daily Iowan. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
  16. "314 ACTION FUND ENDORSES STATE REP. CHRISTINA BOHANNAN IN IA-02 RACE". 314 Action. September 9, 2021. Retrieved November 20, 2021.
  17. "EMILY'S LIST ENDORSES CHRISTINA BOHANNAN AND LIZ MATHIS FOR CONGRESS". www.emilyslist.com. December 16, 2021. Retrieved December 29, 2021.
  18. "LCV ACTION FUND ENDORSES LIZ MATHIS AND CHRISTINA BOHANNAN FOR CONGRESS". www.lcv.org. February 3, 2022. Retrieved February 3, 2022.
  19. "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Future Leaders for Reproductive Freedom in Key U.S. House Races in Iowa, Illinois, and New York". www.prochoiceamerica.org. NARAL Pro-Choice America. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  20. McIntire, Mary; Akin, Stephanie; Ackley, Kate (March 24, 2022). "At the Races: KBJ OK TBD". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  21. "2022 House Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 23, 2022.
  22. "House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  23. "2022 House Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 11, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2021.
  24. "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
  25. Dunlap, Natalie. "Rep. Ashley Hinson announces reelection campaign, with support of Iowa Republicans, Sen. Ted Cruz". www.dailyiowan.com. The Daily Iowan. Retrieved August 29, 2021.
  26. "Ashley Hinson announces run for re-election of Iowa's new 2nd Congressional District". www.ktvo.com. ktvo.com. Retrieved October 29, 2021.
  27. Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Possible 2024 presidential contender Ted Cruz says 'the road to revival' comes through Iowa". Des Moines Register.
  28. "'Fringe' politics of the past define Democrats, Rubio says in Iowa visit".
  29. "Democratic state Sen. Liz Mathis launches campaign for Congress in Iowa's 1st District".
  30. Gunzburger, Ron. "Politics1 - Online Guide to Iowa Politics". politics1.com. Retrieved August 30, 2021.
  31. Barton, Tom. "The Week in Iowa". Retrieved September 27, 2021.
  32. "Former Rep. Abby Finkenauer announces run for GOP Sen. Chuck Grassley's Iowa seat". ABC News. Archived from the original on July 22, 2021. Retrieved July 22, 2021.
  33. Lynch, James. "More than 100 Iowa Democratic leaders endorse Mathis". Retrieved September 29, 2021.
  34. "Campaign Almanac for Wednesday, August 25, 2021".
  35. McIntire, Mary; Akin, Stephanie; Ackley, Kate (March 24, 2022). "At the Races: KBJ OK TBD". rollcall.com. Roll Call. Retrieved March 30, 2022.
  36. "AFSCME council endorses Liz Mathis for U.S. House".
  37. Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Cindy Axne will run for reelection in Congress, closing the door on Iowa gubernatorial bid". Des Moines Register. Retrieved November 12, 2021.
  38. "EMILY's List Endorses 17 Congresswomen for Reelection". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List. March 26, 2021. Archived from the original on April 24, 2021.
  39. "2022 Feminist Majority PAC Endorsements". feministmajoritypac.org. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
  40. "Giffords Endorses Slate of Gun Safety Champions". www.giffords.org. Giffords. March 23, 2022.
  41. Society, Humane. "2022 Endorsements". Humane Society Legislative Fund.
  42. "N2022 Endorsements". Jewish Democratic Council of America.
  43. "LCV Action Fund Announces First Round of Incumbent House Endorsements". www.lcv.org. February 10, 2022.
  44. "We're proud to endorse these reproductive freedom champions and leaders!". NARAL Pro-Choice America. August 30, 2021.
  45. "NWPC 2022 Endorsed Candidates". National Women's Political Caucus.
  46. Turrentine, Jeff (March 8, 2022). "NRDC Action Fund Endorses These Candidates in the 2022 Elections". Natural Resources Defense Council. Retrieved March 15, 2022.
  47. "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorsed Candidates". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org. Retrieved December 22, 2021.
  48. "Sierra Club Endorsements".
  49. "Our Recommended Candidates". educationvotes.nea.org. National Education Association.
  50. Pfannenstiel, Brianne (July 7, 2021). "Johnston Republican Nicole Hasso announces her candidacy for Iowa's 3rd District congressional race". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
  51. Pfannenstiel, Brianne (July 13, 2021). "Republican state Sen. Zach Nunn announces congressional campaign in Iowa's 3rd District". The Des Moines Register. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
  52. "Gary Leffler FEC Statement of Candidacy" (PDF). Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  53. Brownlee, Brownlee (May 27, 2021). "Hanusa officially launches run for Congress". The Daily Nonpareil. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
  54. Pfannenstiel, Brianne (January 5, 2022). "Retired GOP state Rep. Mary Ann Hanusa to run for state auditor against Democrat Rob Sand". www.desmoinesregister.com. The Des Moines Register. Retrieved January 5, 2022.
  55. Isenstadt, Alex (August 12, 2021). "Ted Cruz endorses Iowa House challenger". Politico. Retrieved August 12, 2021.
  56. Vander Hart, Shane (March 25, 2022). "Pompeo endorses Zach Nunn in Iowa's 3rd Congressional District race". The Iowa Torch. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
  57. Gehr, Danielle. "Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley endorses U.S. Rep. Randy Feenstra's 2022 bid for reelection". Ames Tribune. Retrieved September 29, 2021.
  58. Pfannenstiel, Brianne. "Iowa election 2022: An early look at candidates for U.S. Senate, House races". Des Moines Register.
  59. Richardson, Ian (March 16, 2022). "Democrat J.D. Scholten, former Congressional candidate, is running for Iowa House". Des Moines Register. Retrieved March 16, 2022.
  60. Burns, Douglas (November 16, 2021). "'Sick' of tribal politics, O'Leary running as independent for Congress". Carroll Daily Times Herald. Retrieved November 16, 2021.
Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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