2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election
The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election is an upcoming special election. The seat became vacant after incumbent Democratic representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[2]
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Texas's 34th congressional district | |||
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A nonpartisan blanket primary will be held and if no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff will be held at a later date.
Candidates
Declared
- Rene Coronado, civil service director[3]
- Dan Sanchez, attorney and former Cameron County commissioner[4]
Declined
- Vicente Gonzalez, U.S. representative for Texas's 15th congressional district and nominee for TX-34 in the 2022 regular election[5][6] (endorsed Sanchez)[3]
Declared
- Juana Cantu-Cabrera, nurse practitioner and candidate for TX-34 in the 2022 regular election[3][7]
- Mayra Flores, respiratory care practitioner, Hidalgo County GOP Hispanic outreach chair, and nominee for TX-34 in the 2022 regular election[8][6]
Endorsements
Mayra Flores (R)
- State officials
- Greg Abbott, Governor of Texas (2015–present)[3]
- Matt Rinaldi, chair of the Republican Party of Texas (2021–present) and former state representative (2015–2019)[3]
- Organizations
Dan Sanchez (D)
- U.S. representatives
- Vicente Gonzalez, U.S. representative from Texas's 15th congressional district (2017–present)[3]
- Filemon Vela Jr., former U.S. representative from Texas's 34th congressional district (2013–2022)[3]
Primary
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[9] | Tossup | April 8, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] | Lean R (flip) | March 30, 2022 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Juana Cantu-Cabrera (R) |
Rene Coronado (D) |
Mayra Flores (R) |
Dan Sanchez (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragnar Research (R)[upper-alpha 1] | April 19–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 7% | 9% | 24% | 19% | 41% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Juana Cantu-Cabrera | |||
| Democratic | Rene Coronado | |||
| Republican | Mayra Flores | |||
| Democratic | Dan Sanchez | |||
| Total votes | 100.0% | |||
By County
| County | Juana Cantu-Cabrera Republican |
Rene Coronado Democratic |
Mayra Flores Republican |
Dan Sanchez Democratic |
Margin | Total votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Bee | |||||||||||
| Cameron | |||||||||||
| DeWitt | |||||||||||
| Goliad | |||||||||||
| Gonzales | |||||||||||
| Hidalgo | |||||||||||
| Jim Wells | |||||||||||
| Kenedy | |||||||||||
| Kleberg | |||||||||||
| San Patricio | |||||||||||
| Willacy | |||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||
Runoff
Polling
Hypothetical polling
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragnar Research (R)[upper-alpha 2] | April 19–21, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 42% | 45% | 13% |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Flores's campaign committee
- Poll sponsored by the National Republican Congressional Committee, which supports Flores
References
- Svitek, Patrick (April 4, 2022). "Abbott calls June 14 special election for South Texas congressional seat that Republicans want to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 5, 2022. Retrieved April 9, 2022.
- Livingston, Abby (March 31, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela steps down, setting up a heated battle for his South Texas district". The Texas Tribune. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
- Svitek, Patrick (April 13, 2022). "Two Democrats, two Republicans will compete in special election for South Texas congressional seat that GOP wants to flip". The Texas Tribune. Archived from the original on April 14, 2022. Retrieved April 15, 2022.
- "Former South Texas judge announces run in special election for open congressional seat". KXAN-TV. April 6, 2022.
- "NEW: Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, the Dem nominee in the 34th, tells me he will *not* run in this special election, even though he'll continue to run for Vela's open seat in the November election. (Gonzalez is running in the 34th after his current district, the 15th, was redistricted.)".
- "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". March 24, 2022.
- "Qualified Candidates Information". Texas Secretary of State.
- Svitek, Patrick (March 24, 2022). "U.S. Rep. Filemon Vela's resignation announcement sparks a sudden special-election scramble in hotly contested South Texas". Texas Tribune. Retrieved March 24, 2022.
- Wasserman, Dave (April 8, 2022). "TX-34 Special Election Gives GOP an Early South Texas Gift". Retrieved April 8, 2022.
- Kondik, Kyle (March 30, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: March 30, 2022". Retrieved March 30, 2022.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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