2022 Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election

The 2022 Rio Grande do Sul state election will take place in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on 2 October 2022. Voters will elect a Governor, Vice Governor, one Senator, 31 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies and 55 Legislative Assembly members. Former governor Eduardo Leite, is eligible for a second term but he didn't confirm whether he is running for reelection or not.[1]

2022 Rio Grande do Sul state election
2 October 2022 (2022-10-02) (first round)
30 October 2022 (2022-10-30) (second round, if necessary)
Opinion polls
Gubernatorial election
Incumbent Governor

Ranolfo Vieira Júnior
PSDB


Parliamentary election
All 55 seats of the Legislative Assembly
PartyLeader Current seats
Legislative Assembly
PT Pepe Vargas 8
MDB Vilmar Zanchin 8
PP Frederico Antunes 6
PTB Aloísio Classmann 5
PSL Tenente Coronel Zucco 4
PDT Juliana Brizola 4
PSDB Mateus Wesp 4
PSB Dalciso Oliveira 3
Republicans Sergio Peres 2
NOVO Giuseppe Riesgo 2
PL Paparico Bacchi 2
DEM Eric Lins 2
PSOL Luciana Genro 1
SDD Neri o Carteiro 1
PSD Gaúcho da Geral 1
CDN Any Ortiz 1

Gubernatorial candidates

Potential candidates
Candidate name and party Most recent political office Party logo Details Ref.
Onyx Lorenzoni
Liberal Party (PL)		 Ministry of Labour and Social Security
(2021-2022)		 Born in Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul in 1954. Former Secretary-General of the Presidency, Minister of Citizenship and Federal and State Deputy of Rio Grande do Sul. [2]
Edegar Pretto
Worker's Party (PT)		 State Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul
(since 2011)		 Born in Miraguaí, Rio Grande do Sul in 1971. Former president of the Legislative Assembly of Rio Grande do Sul. [3]
Beto Albuquerque
Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB)		 Federal Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul
(1999-2015)		 Born in Passo Fundo, Rio Grande do Sul in 1963. Former State Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul (1991-1999) and running mate of Marina Silva in 2014 Brazilian presidential election. [4]
Ranolfo Vieira Júnior
Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB)		 Governor of Rio Grande do Sul
(since 2022)		 Born in Esteio, Rio Grande do Sul in 1966. Former Vice Governor of Rio Grande do Sul. [5]
Alceu Moreira
Brazilian Democratic Movement (MDB)		 Federal Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul
(since 2011)		 Born in Osório, Rio Grande do Sul in 1954. State president of Brazilian Democratic Movement in Rio Grande do Sul. [6]
Pedro Ruas
Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL)		 City Councillor of Porto Alegre
(since 2021)		 Born in Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul in 1956. Former State Deputy of Rio Grande do Sul (2015-2019). [7]
Manuela d'Ávila
Communist Party of Brazil (PCdoB)		 State Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul
(2015-2019)		 Born in Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul in 1981. Running mate of Fernando Haddad in 2018 Brazilian presidential election and Federal Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul (2007-2015). [8]
Marcel van Hattem
New Party (NOVO)		 Federal Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul
(since 2019)		 Born in the city of Dois Irmãos, Rio Grande do Sul in 1985. Former State Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul (2015-2018) and City councillor of Dois Irmãos (2005-2009). [9]
Luis Carlos Heinze
Progressistas (PP)		 Senator from Rio Grande do Sul
(since 2019)		 Born in Candelária, Rio Grande do Sul in 1950. Former Federal Deputy from Rio Grande do Sul (1999-2019). [10]

Opinion polls

First round

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Lorenzoni
PL		 Pretto
PT		 Ruas
PSOL		 Heinze
PP		 Albuquerque
PSB		 Ranolfo
PSDB		 Souza
MDB		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 15–16 Apr 2022 1,200 20% 5% – 5% 7% 6% 2% 9%[lower-alpha 1] 46% 11%
19% 5% – 5% 5% – 1% 21%[lower-alpha 2] 44% 2%
25% 16% – – – – 11% 11%[lower-alpha 3] 37% 9%
– – – 23% 15% – 11% 10%[lower-alpha 4] 41% 8%
– – – 21% 16% 11% – 10%[lower-alpha 5] 42% 5%
– 16% – 22% – – 12% 10%[lower-alpha 6] 40% 6%
22% – – – 16% – 12% 10%[lower-alpha 7] 40% 6%
21% – – – 14% 13% – 10%[lower-alpha 8] 42% 7%
22% 15% – – – 12% – 10%[lower-alpha 9] 41% 7%
21% 15% – – – 13% – 10%[lower-alpha 10] 41% 6%
Instituto Amostra
(FARSUL)		 29 Mar–2 Apr 2022 1,500 18,5% 12,9% – 6,2% 14,3% 4,4% 3,1% 8,4%[lower-alpha 11] 32,3% 4,2%
14,5% 8,8% – 5% 9,8% – 2,7% 38,7%[lower-alpha 12] 20,6% 24,2%
24 Mar 2022 Onyx Lorenzoni leaves Democrats and decides to join the Liberal Party.[11]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Lorenzoni
DEM		 Pretto
PT		 Ruas
PSOL		 Heinze
PP		 Albuquerque
PSB		 Ranolfo
PSDB		 Sartori
MDB		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 13–14 Jan 2022 1,000 13% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 16% 28%[lower-alpha 13] 31% 12%
18% 4% 5% 2% 3% 2% 20% 4%[lower-alpha 14] 41% 2%
16% – 6% – 4% 4% 23% 4%[lower-alpha 15] 43% 7%
20% 4% 6% – 5% 3% – 2%[lower-alpha 16] 55% 14%
20% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% – – 57% 15%
22% 4% 6% 5% 6% – – 2%[lower-alpha 17] 55% 16%
Instituto Atlas 17–23 Dec 2021 1,001 17.8% 18.6% – 9.2% 7.8% 4.5% – – 38.6% 0.8%

Second round

Lorenzoni vs. Leite

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Lorenzoni
DEM		 Leite
PSDB		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 13–14 Jan 2022 1,000 29% 35% 36% 6%

Albuquerque vs. Vieira Júnior

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Albuquerque
PSB		 Júnior
PSDB		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 13–14 Jan 2022 1,000 24% 6% 70% 18%

Lorenzoni vs. Vieira Júnior

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 Lorenzoni
DEM		 Júnior
PSDB		 Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 13–14 Jan 2022 1,000 34% 11% 55% 23%

Senator

Pollster/client(s) Date(s)
conducted		 Sample
size		 D'Ávila
PCdoB		 Mourão
Republicans		 Lemos
PSD		 Sartori
MDB		 Martins
PODE		 Marchezan Jr
PSDB		 Bolzan Jr
PDT		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 15–16 Apr 2022 1,200 20% 16% 12% 10% 4% 4% 4% – 30% 4%
16 Mar 2022 Hamilton Mourão, Vice President of Brazil, leaves the Brazilian Labour Renewal Party and decides to join Republicans.[12]
Pollster/client(s) Date(s)

conducted

 Sample

size

 D'Ávila
PCdoB		 Mourão
PRTB		 Lemos
PP		 Sartori
MDB		 Martins
PODE		 Pimenta
PT		 Moreira
MDB		 Others Abst.
Undec.		 Lead
RealTime Big Data 13–14 Jan 2022 1,000 17% 14% 13% 11% 10% 4% 1% – 30% 3%
17% 17% 14% – 12% 6% 2% – 32% Tie

Notes
  1. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 7% and Roberto Argenta (PSC) with 2%
  2. Eduardo Leite (PSDB) with 13%; Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 6% and Roberto Argenta (PSC) with 2%
  3. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 11% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  4. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  5. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  6. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  7. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  8. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  9. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  10. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 10% - if Ciro Gomes supports his candidacy
  11. Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 6,4%
  12. Eduardo Leite (PSDB) with 32,3% and Romildo Bolzan Júnior (PDT) with 6,4%
  13. Eduardo Leite (PSDB) with 25%, Gabriel Souza (MDB) with 2% and Roberto Argenta (ind.) with 1%
  14. Gabriel Souza (MDB) with 2% and Roberto Argenta (ind.) with 2%
  15. Roberto Argenta (ind.) with 4%
  16. Gabriel Souza (MDB) with 2%
  17. Gabriel Souza (MDB) with 2%

References
  1. Oliveira, Mayara (1 January 2022). "Em 2022, 16 dos 27 governadores buscam reeleição; 7 estão indecisos". Metrópoles (in Brazilian Portuguese). Retrieved 19 January 2022.
  2. Aguiar, Plínio (18 January 2022). "De olho nas eleições, Bolsonaro prepara reforma ministerial". R7 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 January 2022.
  3. Brasil de Fato, Redação (20 December 2021). "PT confirma Edegar Pretto como pré-candidato ao governo do RS". Brasil de Fato (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 January 2022.
  4. Fernandes, Danielly (6 April 2022). "Conheça os possíveis candidatos a governador do Rio Grande do Sul em 2022". JOTA.info (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 April 2022.
  5. Fernandes, Danielly (6 April 2022). "Conheça os possíveis candidatos a governador do Rio Grande do Sul em 2022". JOTA.info (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 April 2022.
  6. Azevedo, Mônica (27 December 2021). "Candidatos a Governador do Rio Grande do Sul 2022: Eleições RS 2022". Diário do Rio (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 January 2022.
  7. Fernandes, Danielly (6 April 2022). "Conheça os possíveis candidatos a governador do Rio Grande do Sul em 2022". JOTA.info (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 April 2022.
  8. Abrão, Camila (24 January 2021). "Eleições 2022 para governador: como está o cenário nos 10 estados mais populosos". Gazeta do Povo (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 January 2022.
  9. de Oliveira, Rosane (1 November 2021). "Novo deve anunciar candidato a governador do RS em três semanas". Gaúcha ZH (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 January 2022.
  10. Azevedo, Mônica (27 December 2021). "Candidatos a Governador do Rio Grande do Sul 2022: Eleições RS 2022". Eleições 2022 (in Portuguese). Retrieved 18 January 2022.
  11. "PL formaliza filiação de Onyx Lorenzoni para concorrer ao Piratini". Jornal do Comércio. 24 March 2022. Retrieved 12 April 2022.
  12. "Vice President Mourão confirms Senate run". The Brazilian Report. 17 March 2022. Retrieved 18 April 2022.
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