2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election
The 2022 New Hampshire gubernatorial election will take place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of New Hampshire. As New Hampshire does not have gubernatorial term limits, incumbent Republican Governor Chris Sununu is eligible to run for re-election to a fourth 2-year term in office. Sununu had 'expressed interest' in running for the U.S. Senate in 2022 against incumbent Democrat (and former governor) Maggie Hassan. However, on November 9, 2021, he announced that he would instead run for a fourth term as governor.[1]
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Elections in New Hampshire |
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Republican primary
Declared
- Thad Riley, entrepreneur, former Brentwood school board member, and community advocate[2]
- Chris Sununu, Governor of New Hampshire (2017–present)[1]
- Karen Testerman, former Franklin city councilor and candidate for governor in 2020[3]
Republican candidates[lower-alpha 1]
Publicly expressed interest
- Corey Lewandowski, former advisor to President Donald Trump[4]
Potential
- Frank Edelblut, commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Education, former state representative, and candidate for governor in 2016[5][6]
- Ted Gatsas, member of the New Hampshire Executive Council, former mayor of Manchester, and former state senator[7]
- John Stephen, attorney, former Commissioner of the New Hampshire Department of Health, and perennial candidate[7]
Declined
- Kelly Ayotte, former U.S. Senator (2011–2017)[8]
- Scott Brown, former U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (2010–2013) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014[9]
Hypothetical polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Kelly Ayotte |
Scott Brown |
Frank Edelbut |
Chuck Morse |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
New Hampshire Journal | August 13–20, 2021 | 792 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 29% |
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- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
Democratic primary
Declared
- Tom Sherman, state senator (2018–present)[10]
Potential
- Shannon Chandley, former state senator (2018–2020)[7]
- Joyce Craig, mayor of Manchester (2018–present)[11]
- Molly Kelly, former state senator (2006–2016) and nominee for governor in 2018[7]
- Melanie Levesque, former state senator (2018–2020)[7]
- Donna Soucy, Minority Leader of the New Hampshire Senate (2020–present) and former President of the New Hampshire Senate (2018–2020)[7]
- Cinde Warmington, member of the Executive Council of New Hampshire (2021–present)[6]
Declined
- Dan Feltes, former Majority leader of the New Hampshire Senate and nominee for governor in 2020[5]
- John Lynch, businessman and former Governor of New Hampshire (2005–2013)[12]
- Jodi Picoult, author[13]
- Andru Volinsky, former Executive Council member and candidate for governor in 2020[14]
Tom Sherman
- NH State Officials
- Becky Whitley, State Senator
- Josh Kahn, State Senator
- Cindy Rosenwald, State Senator and Deputy minority leader
- Martha Fuller Clark, Former NH senate president pro tempore
- Individuals
- Gary Hirshberg, Former Sonyfield CEO
General election
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[17] | Solid R | March 4, 2022 |
Inside Elections[18] | Likely R | March 4, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] | Safe R | January 26, 2022 |
Politico[20] | Likely R | April 1, 2022 |
RCP[21] | Likely R | January 10, 2022 |
Polling
- Chris Sununu vs. Tom Sherman
- Aggregate polls
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Tom Sherman (D) |
Other [lower-alpha 1] |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | March 23 – April 18, 2022 | April 21, 2022 | 53.0% | 26.5% | 20.5% | Sununu +26.5 |
- Graphical summary
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Tom Sherman (D) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 55% | 29% | 1% | 14% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 62% | 24% | – | 14% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 73% | 24% | – | 3% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 51% | 24% | 10% | 15% |
Hypothetical polling
- Chris Sununu vs. generic opponent
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
Notes
- Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- "New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu Not Running For US Senate, Will Seek 4th Term As Governor". CBS Boston. November 9, 2021. Archived from the original on November 9, 2021. Retrieved November 9, 2021.
- Bailey, Kathleen D. (November 3, 2021). "Ex-Brentwood School Board member runs for NH governor, criticizes Sununu, vaccine mandates". The Portsmouth Herald. Gannett. Archived from the original on November 6, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
- DiStaso, John (July 29, 2021). "NH Primary Source: Karen Testerman, running again for governor, says, 'I'm not a protest candidate'". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on July 29, 2021. Retrieved July 30, 2021.
- DiStaso, John (January 4, 2021). "Lewandowski says he's eyeing run for governor in 2022, would not be 'dissuaded' by Sununu, Ayotte". Retrieved January 24, 2021.
- Steinhauser, Paul (October 29, 2021). "On the trail: Who would replace Sununu in governor's office?". Concord Monitor. Archived from the original on November 3, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
- DiStaso, John (November 4, 2021). "NH Primary Source: NH governor 2022: Democrat Warmington vs. Republican Edelblut?". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on November 4, 2021. Retrieved November 6, 2021.
- "Politics1 - Online Guide to New Hampshire Politics".
- DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "BREAKING: Sources close to former Sen @KellyAyotte tell @WMUR9 she "will NOT be a candidate for any office in 2022…." Ayotte "thankful" @ChrisSununu ChrisSununu "will continue his service to our state." #nhsen #NHgov #NHPolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
- DiStaso, John [@jdistaso] (November 9, 2021). "Now: @SenScottBrown has essentially taken himself out of the running for the #nhsen seat, says he wants to focus on his wife, @gailhuffbrown in her bid for #nh01 - His comments to @WMUR9 below #nhpolitics #WMUR" (Tweet). Retrieved November 9, 2021 – via Twitter.
- "NH state Sen. Tom Sherman exploring gubernatorial run". Associated Press. February 15, 2022. Archived from the original on February 15, 2022. Retrieved February 15, 2022.
- Sexton, Adam (March 24, 2021). "Race for mayor of Manchester expected to kick off in coming weeks". WMUR. Retrieved April 12, 2021.
- DiStaso, John (November 11, 2021). "Former Gov. John Lynch says he's 'not even considering' running for governor again". WMUR-TV. Archived from the original on November 12, 2021. Retrieved November 15, 2021.
- Sexton, Adam (April 14, 2021). "Progressive activists try to recruit author Picoult into run for governor". WMUR-TV. Concord, N.H. Archived from the original on April 15, 2021. Retrieved June 20, 2021.
Picoult announced on Wednesday evening via Twitter that she would not be running for governor.
- "Franklin Pierce University Names Andru Volinsky as its First Civic Scholar-In-Residence".
- "Dr. Tom Sherman Facebook".
- "WMUR".
- "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved January 14, 2021.
- "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
- "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
- "New Hampshire Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
- "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
External links
- Official campaign websites
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