2022 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election

2022 Minas Gerais state election
	2 October 2022 (first round) ; 30 October 2022 (second round, if necessary)
	Opinion polls
	Gubernatorial election
Incumbent Governor; Romeu Zema; NOVO	; ;
	Parliamentary election
	All 77 seats of the Legislative Assembly
Legislative Assembly

The 2022 Minas Gerais state elections will take place in the state of Minas Gerais, Brazil on 2 October 2022. Voters will elect a governor, vice governor, one senator, 53 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 77 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent governor, Romeu Zema, a member of the New Party, is eligible for a second term, and intends to run for reelection.[1]

Gubernatorial election

Potential candidates

Candidate name and party	Most recent political office	Details	Ref.
Romeu Zema New Party (NOVO)	Governor of Minas Gerais (since 2019)	Born in Araxá, Minas Gerais in 1964. Businessman and current Governor of Minas Gerais.	[2]
Alexandre Kalil Social Democratic Party (PSD)	Mayor of Belo Horizonte (2017-2022)	Born in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais in 1959. Former presidente of Clube Atlético Mineiro, a football club based in Belo Horizonte, Brazil	[3]
Carlos Viana Liberal Party (PL)	Senator for Minas Gerais (since 2019)	Born in Braúnas, Minas Gerais in 1963. Brazilian journalist.	[4]

Legislative Assembly

The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly is given below:

Affiliation		Members		+/–
Affiliation		Elected[5]	Current[6]	+/–
	PSD	4	10	6
	PT	10	10
	PL	2	9	7
	PV	5	7	2
	CDN	1	4	3
	PSDB	7	4	3
	MDB	7	4	3
	Brazil Union	New	3	3
	Avante	2	3	1
	PDT	2	3	1
	PATRI	2	3	1
	REP	3	3
	PSB	1	2	1
	PODE	2	2
	NOVO	3	2	1
	PSC	3	2	1
	PP	1	1
	REDE	1	1
	PCdoB	1	1
	PROS	1	1
	SDD	2	1	1
	PTB	3	1	2
	PSOL	1	0	1
	DC	1	0	1
	PRP	1	0	1
	PRTB	1	0	1
	DEM	1	0	1
	PHS	3	0	3
	PSL	6	0	6
Total		77		–

Opinion polling

First round

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Zema NOVO	Kalil PSD	Janones AVANTE	Viana PL	Salabert PDT	Lopes PT	Lacerda Ind.	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size								Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Itatiata / Instituto Ver	14–17 Apr 22	1,500	44%	22%	–	5%	–	–	–	–	29%	22%
Itatiata / Instituto Ver	14–17 Apr 22	1,500	32%	33%	–	13%	–	–	–	[lower-alpha 1]	22%	1%
Quaest/Genial	11–16 Mar 22	1,480	34%	21%	7%	5%	–	–	–	10%[lower-alpha 2]	23%	13%
			40%	26%	–	6%	–	–	–	4%[lower-alpha 3]	24%	14%
			42%	28%	–	–	–	–	–	6%[lower-alpha 4]	24%	14%
			49%	33%	–	–	–	–	–	[lower-alpha 5]	18%	16%
			35%	49%	–	–	–	–	–	[lower-alpha 6]	16%	14%
Real Time Big Data	12–15 Mar 22	1,500	40%	23%	–	4%	–	–	–	5%[lower-alpha 7]	28%	17%
F5/EM	14–17 Feb 22	1,560	46,8%	17,4%	7,3%	3,7%	–	–	–	–	24,8%	29,4%
Paraná Pesquisas	3–5 Nov 21	1,540	46,5%	22,5%	5,7%	2,2%	2,8%	2,1%	1,7%	1,4%[lower-alpha 8]	15%	24%
DataTempo/CP2	29 Oct–3 Nov 21	1,402	45,1%	22,5%	–	–	–	2,9%	–	9,8%[lower-alpha 9]	19,7%	22,6%
DataTempo/CP2	24–27 Sep 21	1,392	40,4%	19,1%	–	–	–	4,2%		13,4%[lower-alpha 10]	22,9%	21,3%
Real Time Big Data	21–22 Sep 21	1,000	38%	23%	7%	2%	–	2%	–	3%[lower-alpha 11]	25%	15%
DataTempo/CP2	17–20 Jul 21	1,300	46,2%	18,8%	–	–	–	3,5%	–	11,5%[lower-alpha 12]	19,8%	27,4%
DataTempo/CP2	17–20 Jul 21	1,300	50,2%	23,9%	–	–	–	4,8%	–	3,7%[lower-alpha 13]	17,3%	26,3%

Second round

Zema vs. Kalil

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Zema NOVO	Kalil PSD	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size			Abst. Undec.	Lead
Itatiata / Instituto Ver	14–17 Apr 22	1,500	48%	29%	23%	19%
Quaest/Genial	11–16 Mar 22	1,480	49%	33%	19%	16%
Real Time Big Data	12–15 Mar 22	1,500	47%	27%	26%	20%
DataTempo/CP2	29 Oct–3 Nov 21	1,402	56,2%	28,1%	15,8%	28,1%
DataTempo/CP2	24–27 Sep 21	1,392	50,8%	35,6%	13,6%	15,2%

Zema vs. Viana

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Zema NOVO	Viana PL	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size			Abst. Undec.	Lead
Itatiata / Instituto Ver	14–17 Apr 22	1,500	55%	13%	32%	42%
Quaest/Genial	11–16 Mar 22	1,480	57%	18%	26%	39%

Zema vs. Medioli

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Zema NOVO	Medioli Indep.	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size			Abst. Undec.	Lead
Quaest/Genial	11–16 Mar 22	1,480	59%	14%	27%	45%

Zema vs. Pacheco

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Zema NOVO	Pacheco PSD	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size			Abst. Undec.	Lead
DataTempo/CP2	29 Oct–3 Nov 21	1,402	58,9%	18,8%	22,4%	40,1%

Senator

Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Cleitinho CDN	Lopes PT	Marcelo PL	Melles DEM	Silveira PSD	Julvan MDB	Salabert PDT	Aro PP	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size									Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Itatiata / Instituto Ver	14–17 Apr 22	1,500	14%	10%	4%	–	5%	–	–	3%	–	64%	4%
Quaest/Genial	11–16 Mar 22	1,480	13%	10%	4%	–	8%	1%	6%	2%		56%	3%
			18%	–	7%	–	10%	3%	–	–		62%	8%
			18%	12%	8%	–	–	4%	–	–		58%	6%
Real Time Big Data	12–15 Mar	1,500	–	13%	6%	–	2%	1%	3%	–		75%	5%
F5/EM	14–17 Feb	1,560	10,3%	8,3%	3,2%	2,9%	2,7%	2,4%	1,9%	1,3%		67%	2%
Feb 3, 2022	Antonio Anastasia takes office as a Justice of the Federal Court of Accounts of Brazil.[7]
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size	Anastasia PSD	Cleitinho CDN	Lopes PT	Marcelo PL	Melles DEM	Silveira PSD	Julvan MDB	Salabert PDT	Aro PP	Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
Pollster/client(s)	Date(s) conducted	Sample size										Others	Abst. Undec.	Lead
DataTempo/CP2	26 Nov–1 Dec 21	1,404	28,9%	–	7,3%	1,6%	–	2,1%	–	–	1,3%	8,4%[lower-alpha 14]	50,3%	20,5%
Real Time Big Data	21–22 Sep 21	1,000	18%	–	–	2%	–	–	–	–	1%	10%[lower-alpha 15]	69%	8%

Notes

Possible electoral scenario in which the presidential candidate Lula (PT) supports Alexandre Kalil (PSD) for the government of Minas Gerais, Luiz Felipe d'Avila (NOVO) supports Romeu Zema for reelection and Bolsonaro (PL) supports Carlos Viana (PL) for the government
Cleitinho Azevedo (Cidadania) with 6%; Vittorio Medioli (Indep.) with 2%; Daniel Sucupira (PT) with 1% and Miguel Corrêa (PDT) with 1%
Vittorio Medioli (Indep.) with 4%
Vittorio Medioli (Indep.) with 6%
Possible electoral scenario in which there is no support from any of the presidential candidates: Lula (PT) or Jair Bolsonaro (PL) for the candidates for the government of Minas Gerais
Possible electoral scenario in which the presidential candidate Lula (PT) supports Alexandre Kalil (PSD) for the government of Minas Gerais, and Bolsonaro (PL) supports Romeu Zema (NOVO) for reelection
Vittorio Medioli (Ind.) with 3% and Daniel Sucupira (PT) with 2%
Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 0,8% and Marcelo Álvaro Antônio (PSL) with 0,6%
Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 5,3%, Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 2,6% and Paulo Brant (PSDB) with 1,9%
Others (unspecified) with 6,3%, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 5% and Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 2,1%
Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 3%
Others (unspecified) with 8,5% and Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 3%
Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 3,7%
Vanessa Portugal (PSTU) with 4,6%, Mario Heringer (PDT) with 2,2% and Kaká Menezes (REDE) with 1,6%
Rogério Correia (PT) with 6%, Agostinho Patrus (PV) with 4%

References

""Pretendo ser candidato ao Governo de Minas", diz Romeu Zema sobre reeleição em 2022".
Duarte, Victor (20 February 2022). ""Pretendo ser candidato ao Governo de Minas", diz Romeu Zema sobre reeleição em 2022". 98Live (in Portuguese). Retrieved 11 January 2022.
Linhares; Redação, Itatiaia (19 February 2022). "Prefeito de BH, Kalil cita indefinição para disputa do Governo de MG: 'não está resolvido'". Itatiaia (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 February 2022.
Dias, Roger (20 December 2021). "Carlos Viana se filia ao MDB e lança nome para disputar o governo de Minas". Estado de Minas (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 February 2022.
"Apuração de votos e resultado das Eleições 2018 MG: Governador eleito" (in Portuguese). UOL. 7 October 2018. Retrieved 30 December 2020.
de Minas Gerais, Assembleia Legislativa (20 April 2022). "Representação Partidária - Assembleia de Minas". Assembleia de Minas Gerais. Retrieved 20 April 2022.
Contas da União, Tribunal de (4 February 2022). "Antônio Anastasia toma posse como ministro do TCU". Tribunal de Contas da União. Retrieved 20 April 2022.

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[7] Possible electoral scenario in which the presidential candidate Lula (PT) supports Alexandre Kalil (PSD) for the government of Minas Gerais, Luiz Felipe d'Avila (NOVO) supports Romeu Zema for reelection and Bolsonaro (PL) supports Carlos Viana (PL) for the government

[8] Cleitinho Azevedo (Cidadania) with 6%; Vittorio Medioli (Indep.) with 2%; Daniel Sucupira (PT) with 1% and Miguel Corrêa (PDT) with 1%

[9] Vittorio Medioli (Indep.) with 4%

[10] Vittorio Medioli (Indep.) with 6%

[11] Possible electoral scenario in which there is no support from any of the presidential candidates: Lula (PT) or Jair Bolsonaro (PL) for the candidates for the government of Minas Gerais

[12] Possible electoral scenario in which the presidential candidate Lula (PT) supports Alexandre Kalil (PSD) for the government of Minas Gerais, and Bolsonaro (PL) supports Romeu Zema (NOVO) for reelection

[13] Vittorio Medioli (Ind.) with 3% and Daniel Sucupira (PT) with 2%

[14] Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 0,8% and Marcelo Álvaro Antônio (PSL) with 0,6%

[15] Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 5,3%, Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 2,6% and Paulo Brant (PSDB) with 1,9%

[16] Others (unspecified) with 6,3%, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 5% and Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 2,1%

[17] Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 3%

[18] Others (unspecified) with 8,5% and Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD) with 3%

[19] Áurea Carolina (PSOL) with 3,7%

[21] Vanessa Portugal (PSTU) with 4,6%, Mario Heringer (PDT) with 2,2% and Kaká Menezes (REDE) with 1,6%

[22] Rogério Correia (PT) with 6%, Agostinho Patrus (PV) with 4%

[1] ""Pretendo ser candidato ao Governo de Minas", diz Romeu Zema sobre reeleição em 2022".

[Zema-2] Duarte, Victor (20 February 2022). ""Pretendo ser candidato ao Governo de Minas", diz Romeu Zema sobre reeleição em 2022". 98Live (in Portuguese). Retrieved 11 January 2022.

[Kalil-3] Linhares; Redação, Itatiaia (19 February 2022). "Prefeito de BH, Kalil cita indefinição para disputa do Governo de MG: 'não está resolvido'". Itatiaia (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 February 2022.

[Viana-4] Dias, Roger (20 December 2021). "Carlos Viana se filia ao MDB e lança nome para disputar o governo de Minas". Estado de Minas (in Portuguese). Retrieved 20 February 2022.

[5] "Apuração de votos e resultado das Eleições 2018 MG: Governador eleito" (in Portuguese). UOL. 7 October 2018. Retrieved 30 December 2020.

[6] Minas Gerais, Assembleia Legislativa (20 April 2022). "Representação Partidária - Assembleia de Minas". Assembleia de Minas Gerais. Retrieved 20 April 2022.

[20] Contas da União, Tribunal de (4 February 2022). "Antônio Anastasia toma posse como ministro do TCU". Tribunal de Contas da União. Retrieved 20 April 2022.

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