2022 Atlantic hurricane season

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is an upcoming event in the annual tropical cyclone season in the Northern Hemisphere. The season officially begins on June 1, 2022, and ends on November 30, 2022. These dates, adopted by convention, historically describe the period in each year when most subtropical or tropical cyclogenesis occurs in the Atlantic Ocean (over 97%).[1] The National Hurricane Center (NHC) will begin issuing regular Tropical Weather Outlooks on May 15, 2022,[2] about two weeks prior to the start of the season.

2022 Atlantic hurricane season
Seasonal boundaries
First system formedSeason not started
Last system dissipatedSeason not started
Seasonal statistics
Total fatalitiesNone
Total damageNone
Related articles

Seasonal forecasts
Predictions of tropical activity in the 2022 season
Source Date Named
storms		 Hurricanes Major
hurricanes		 Ref
Average (1991–2020)14.47.23.2[3]
Record high activity 30 15 7† [4]
Record low activity 4 2† 0† [4]
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
CSU December 9, 2021 13–16 6–8 2–3 [5]
TSR December 10, 2021 18 8 3 [6]
TSR April 6, 2022 18 8 4 [7]
CSU April 7, 2022 19 9 4 [8]
TWC April 14, 2022 20 8 4 [9]
UA April 14, 2022 14 7 3 [10]
NCSU April 20, 2022 17–21 7–9 3–5 [11]
–––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Actual activity
 0 0 0
* June–November only
† Most recent of several such occurrences. (See all)

In advance of, and during, each hurricane season, several forecasts of hurricane activity are issued by national meteorological services, scientific agencies, and noted hurricane experts. These include forecasters from the United States National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)'s Climate Prediction Center, Tropical Storm Risk (TSR), the United Kingdom's Met Office (UKMO), and Philip J. Klotzbach, William M. Gray and their associates at Colorado State University (CSU). The forecasts include weekly and monthly changes in significant factors that help determine the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a particular year. According to NOAA and CSU, the average Atlantic hurricane season between 1991 and 2020 contained roughly 14 tropical storms, seven hurricanes, three major hurricanes, and an accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) index of 72–111 units.[12] Broadly speaking, ACE is a measure of the power of a tropical or subtropical storm multiplied by the length of time it existed. It is only calculated for full advisories on specific tropical and subtropical systems reaching or exceeding wind speeds of 39 mph (63 km/h).[3] NOAA typically categorizes a season as above-average, average, or below-average based on the cumulative ACE index, but the number of tropical storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes within a hurricane season is sometimes also considered.[3]

Pre-season forecasts

On December 9, 2021, CSU issued an extended range forecast for the 2022 hurricane season, predicting slightly above-average activity with 13–16 named storms, 6–8 hurricanes, 2–3 major hurricanes, and an ACE index of about 124 units.[5] TSR also issued an extended range forecast on December 10, 2021.[6] It predicted overall near-average tropical activity with its ACE index, however, anticipating 18 tropical storms, 8 hurricanes and 3 intense hurricanes to form during the season. One of their factors was the expectation of a neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation condition by the third quarter of 2022. However, they said that this outlook had "large uncertainties".[6] On April 7, 2022, CSU issued their first extended range seasonal forecast for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting well above-average activity, with 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes, 4 major hurricanes and an ACE index of 160 units. Their factors supporting an active hurricane season included above average-sea surface temperatures in the subtropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea, and a cool neutral ENSO or weak La Niña pattern, corresponding to a low chance of an El Niño.[13] On April 14, 2022, University of Arizona (UA) issued its seasonal prediction for a slightly above-average hurricane season, with 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, three major hurricanes, and an ACE index of 129 units.[10] North Carolina State University (NCSU) made its prediction for the season on April 20, calling for an above-average season with 17 to 21 named storms, 7 to 9 hurricanes, and 3 to 5 major hurricanes.[11]

Storm names
Main articles: Tropical cyclone naming, History of tropical cyclone naming, and List of historic tropical cyclone names

The following list of names will be used for named storms that form in the North Atlantic in 2022. Retired names, if any, will be announced by the World Meteorological Organization in the Spring of 2023. The names not retired from this list will be used again in the 2028 season.[14] This is the same list used in the 2016 season, with the exceptions of Martin and Owen, which replaced Matthew and Otto, respectively.[15]

  • Alex (unused)
  • Bonnie (unused)
  • Colin (unused)
  • Danielle (unused)
  • Earl (unused)
  • Fiona (unused)
  • Gaston (unused)
  • Hermine (unused)
  • Ian (unused)
  • Julia (unused)
  • Karl (unused)
  • Lisa (unused)
  • Martin (unused)
  • Nicole (unused)
  • Owen (unused)
  • Paula (unused)
  • Richard (unused)
  • Shary (unused)
  • Tobias (unused)
  • Virginie (unused)
  • Walter (unused)

Season effects

This is a table of all of the storms that have formed in the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. It includes their duration, names, landfall(s)–denoted by bold location names – damages, and death totals. Deaths in parentheses are additional and indirect (an example of an indirect death would be a traffic accident), but were still related to that storm. Damage and deaths include totals while the storm was extratropical, a wave, or a low, and all of the damage figures are in 2022 USD.

Saffir–Simpson scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5
2022 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name		 Dates active Storm category

at peak intensity

 Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)		 Min.
press.
(mbar)		 Areas affected Damage
(USD)		 Deaths Ref(s)
Season aggregates
0 systems Season not started  0 (0) 0 0 0  

See also

References
  1. "Hurricanes Frequently Asked Questions". Miami, Florida: NOAA Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory. June 1, 2021. Retrieved January 30, 2022.
  2. Bevin, Jack (November 30, 2021). Tropical Weather Outlook (Report). Miami, Florida: National Hurricane Center. Retrieved January 30, 2022.
  3. "Background Information: North Atlantic Hurricane Season". College Park, Maryland: Climate Prediction Center. May 22, 2019. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
  4. "Atlantic hurricane best track (HURDAT version 2)" (Database). United States National Hurricane Center. April 8, 2022. Retrieved May 5, 2022.
  5. "Colorado State University releases first look at 2022 Hurricane Season". FOX4. Colorado State University. December 9, 2021.
  6. Saunders, Marc; Lea, Adam (December 10, 2021). "Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2022" (PDF). TropicalStormRisk.com. London, UK: Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, University College London. Retrieved December 10, 2021.
  7. "April Forecast Update for North Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2022" (PDF). Tropical Storm Risk. Tropical Storm Risk. April 6, 2022.
  8. "EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST OF ATLANTIC SEASONAL HURRICANE ACTIVITY AND LANDFALL STRIKE PROBABILITY FOR 2022" (PDF). Colorado State University. Colorado State University. April 7, 2022.
  9. "TWC Hurricane Outlook Released: 2022 Atlantic Season Expected to Be Another Busy One". The Weather Channel. The Weather Channel. April 14, 2022.
  10. Davis, Kyle; Zeng, Xubin (April 14, 2022). "Forecast of the 2022 Hurricane Activities over the North Atlantic" (PDF). University of Arizona. University of Arizona.
  11. Peake, Tracy (April 20, 2022). "NC State Researchers Predict Active Hurricane Season". Raleigh, North Carolina: North Carolina State University. Retrieved April 20, 2022.
  12. Saunders, Marc; Lea, Adam (December 9, 2020). "Extended Range Forecast for Atlantic Hurricane Activity in 2021" (PDF). TropicalStormRisk.com. London, UK: Dept. of Space and Climate Physics, University College London. Retrieved April 16, 2021.
  13. Klotzbach, Philip [@philklotzbach] (April 7, 2022). "Atlantic seasonal #hurricane forecast from @ColoradoStateU calls for above-average season: 19 named storms, 9 hurricanes & 4 major hurricanes. Reasons for above-average forecast include predicted lack of #ElNino and warmer than normal subtropical Atlantic t.co/uauRVHEjql t.co/7dzsFjQBN9" (Tweet). Archived from the original on April 7, 2022. Retrieved April 10, 2022 – via Twitter.
  14. "Hurricane Names for the 2022 Hurricane Season". Dublin, New Hampshire: Yankee Publishing. December 6, 2021. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
  15. "World Meteorological Organization retires storm names Matthew and Otto". Washington, D.C.: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. March 27, 2017. Retrieved February 5, 2022.
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