2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election
The 2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election is an upcoming special election. The seat became vacant when incumbent Republican representative Don Young died on March 18, 2022, on a flight home.[1] According to a preliminary plan by Governor Mike Dunleavy, a special primary election is to be held on June 11, while the general election is held alongside the regular primary election on August 16. The filing deadline was on April 1.[2] This will be the first election to use the state's new voting system, in which all candidates compete in a single blanket primary, with the top four candidates advancing to a general election that uses ranked-choice voting.[3]
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Candidates
Declared
- Jay R. Armstrong[4]
- Nick Begich III, Alaska Policy Forum board member, grandson of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich, and nephew of former U.S. Senator Mark Begich and Alaska Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich[4][5]
- John Callahan, public affairs officer for the Alaska Air National Guard[4][6]
- John Coghill, former majority leader of the Alaskan State Senate (2013–2017), former state senator (2009–2021), former majority leader of the Alaskan House of Representatives (2002–2006), former state representative (1999–2009), son of former Lieutenant Governor Jack Coghill, and U.S. Air Force veteran[4][7]
- Otto Florschutz[4]
- Tom Gibbons[4]
- Robert "Bob" Lyons, case manager[4][8]
- Mikel Melander[4]
- Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska (2006–2009) and nominee for vice president of the United States in 2008[4][9]
- Josh Revak, state senator for District M (2019–present) and U.S. Army veteran[4][10][11]
- Maxwell Sumner, homebuilder[4][6]
- Tara Sweeney, former assistant secretary of the Interior for the Bureau of Indian Affairs (2018-2021)[4][12][9]
- Stephen Wright, candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2016, candidate for Alaska State Senate in 2020, and U.S. Air Force veteran[4][13]
- Clayton Trotter[4]
- Bradley Welter[4]
- Joe Woodward[4]
Withdrawn
- Jesse Sumner, member of the Matanuska-Susitna Borough Assembly[4][6]
Declined
Declared
- Christopher Constant, Anchorage Assembly member since 2017[4][5]
- Mike Milligan, former Kodiak Island Borough Assembly member, Green Party nominee for U.S. House (1992) and lieutenant governor (1998)[4]
- Emil Notti, engineer, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce, former chair of the Alaska Democratic Party, and nominee for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 1973[4][15]
- Mary Sattler Peltola, former state representative and executive director of the Kuskokwim River Inter-Tribal Fish Commission[4][16]
- Ernest Thomas[4]
- Adam Wool, state representative (2015–present)[4][11]
Declined
- Les Gara, former state representative (2003–2019) (running for governor)[17]
- Elvi Gray-Jackson, state senator (2019–present)[12]
Declared
Declared
- John Howe, machinist and Alaskan Independence Party nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[4]
Declared
- Robert Ornelas, perennial candidate[4]
Declared
- Dennis Aguayo[4]
- Brian Beal[4]
- Tim Beck, former Fairbanks North Star Borough Assembly member (1998–2004, 2005–2011), candidate for FNSB mayor (2000) and Alaska Senate (2006)[4]
- Gregg Brelsford, lawyer and former Bristol Bay Borough manager (2018–2020)[4][2]
- Robert Brown[4]
- Arlene Carl[4]
- Santa Claus, North Pole city councillor (2015–2018, since 2019) and current mayor pro tem[4][11]
- Lady Donna Dutchess, judicial reform activist[4]
- Laurel Foster, paralegal[4]
- Karyn Griffin, political organizer and activist[4][18]
- Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, and Democratic-endorsed nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[4][19]
- Andrew Halcro, former Republican state representative (1998–2003) and Independent candidate for governor of Alaska in 2006[4][12][11]
- Ted Heintz[4]
- William Hibler III, former glaciologist with the University of Alaska Fairbanks and Democratic candidate for Alaska's at-large congressional district in 2016 and 2020[4]
- David Hughes[4]
- Don Knight[4]
- Jeff Lowenfels, attorney and gardening writer[4][12]
- Anne McCabe, former president of the Kenai Peninsula Educational Support Association[4][18]
- Sherry Mettler[4]
- Silvio Pellegrini, cyber security manager, IT project manager, and intelligence analyst for the US Air Force Reserve[4][20]
- David Thistle[4]
- Jason Williams[4]
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Endorsements
Nick Begich III (R)
- State Legislators
- Shelley Hughes, Alaska State Senate Majority Leader (since 2021), Alaska State Senator (since 2017), and former Alaska State House member (2012-2017)[21]
- Mike Cronk, Alaska State House member (since 2021)[21]
- Ken McCarty, Alaska State House member (since 2021)[21]
- Kevin McCabe, Alaska State House member (since 2021)[21]
- Roger Holland, Alaska State Senator (since 2021)[21]
- Tom McKay, Alaska State House member (since 2021)[21]
- Lynn Gattis, former Alaska State House member (2013-2017)[21]
- Mike Shower, Alaska State Senator (since 2018)[21]
- Sarah Vance, Alaska State House member (since 2019)[21]
- Ben Carpenter, Alaska State house member (since 2019)[21]
- Charisse Millett, former Alaska House Majority Leader (2017-2019) and former Alaska State House member (2009-2019)[21]
- Organizations
- Alaska Republican Party[22]
- Alaska Outdoor Council[23]
- Individuals
- Jim Palin, Sarah Palin's former father-in-law[24]
Sarah Palin (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Donald Trump, 45th President of the United States (2017–2021)[25]
- Nikki Haley, former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations (2017–2018) and former Governor of South Carolina (2011–2017)[26]
- Individuals
- Sean Hannity, American talk show host and conservative political commentator[27]
Al Gross (I)
- Organizations
- State Officials
- Tony Knowles, former Alaska Governor (1994-2002) and former Mayor of Anchorage (1982-1987)[21]
- Fran Ulmer, former Lieutenant Governor (1994-2002), former Alaska State House member (1987-1994), and former Mayor of Juneau (1983-1985)[21]
- State Legislators
- Beth Kerttula, former Alaska State House Minority Leader (2007-2014) and former Alaska State Representative (2007-2014)[21]
- Joe Paskvan, former Alaska State Senator (2009-2013)[21]
- Hollis French, former Alaska State Senator (2003-2015)[21]
- Sally Smith, former mayor of Juneau (2000-2003) and former Alaska State Representative (1977-1983)[21]
Josh Revak (R)
- Individuals
- Anne Garland Young, Don Young's widow[29]
Tara Sweeney (R)
- U.S. Executive Branch officials
- Thomas J. Barrett, former U.S. Deputy Secretary of Transportation (2007-2009) and former United States Coast Guard admiral[30]
- State Officials
- Mead Treadwell, former Alaska Lieutenant Governor (2010-2014)[31]
- Organizations
- ANCSA Regional Association[32]
Primary election
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Nick Begich III (R) |
Christopher Constant (D) |
Al Gross (I) |
Sarah Palin (R) |
Josh Revak (R) |
Tara Sweeney (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remington Research Group (R) | April 7–9, 2022 | 955 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 21% | 7% | 26% | 31% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 6% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independent | Dennis Aguayo | Independent | Don Knight | ||||||
| Republican | Jay Armstrong | Independent | Jeff Lowenfels | ||||||
| Independent | Brian Beal | Republican | Bob Lyons | ||||||
| Independent | Tim Beck | Independent | Anne McCabe | ||||||
| Republican | Nick Begich III | Republican | Mikel Melander | ||||||
| Independent | Gregg Brelsford | Independent | Sherry Mettler | ||||||
| Independent | Robert Brown | Democratic | Mike Milligan | ||||||
| Libertarian | Chris Bye | Libertarian | J. R. Myers | ||||||
| Republican | John Callahan | Democratic | Emil Notti | ||||||
| Independent | Arlene Carle | American Independent | Robert Ornelas | ||||||
| Independent | Santa Claus | Republican | Sarah Palin | ||||||
| Republican | John Coghill | Independent | Silvio Pellegrini | ||||||
| Democratic | Christopher Constant | Democratic | Mary Sattler Peltola | ||||||
| Independent | Lady Donna Dutchess | Republican | Josh Revak | ||||||
| Republican | Otto Florschutz | Republican | Maxwell Sumner | ||||||
| Independent | Laurel Foster | Republican | Tara Sweeney | ||||||
| Republican | Tom Gibbons | Independent | David Thistle | ||||||
| Independent | Karyn Griffin | Democratic | Ernest Thomas | ||||||
| Independent | Al Gross | Republican | Clayton Trotter | ||||||
| Independent | Andrew Halcro | Republican | Bradley Welter | ||||||
| Independent | Ted Heintz | Independent | Jason Williams | ||||||
| Independent | William Hibler III | Democratic | Adam Wool | ||||||
| Independence | John Howe | Republican | Jo Woodard | ||||||
| Independent | David Hughes | Republican | Stephen Wright | ||||||
| Total votes | |||||||||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[33] | Solid R | March 22, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[34] | Likely R | April 14, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] | Likely R | March 24, 2022 |
| Politico[36] | Lean R | April 5, 2022 |
Polling
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Al Gross (I) |
Sarah Palin (R) |
Lora Reinbold (R) |
Josh Revak (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | March 25–29, 2022 | 728 (LV) | ± 3.6% | BA | 33% | 30% | 8% | 9% | 16% |
| 2 | 33% | 30% | – | 11% | 26% | ||||
| 3 | 35% | 35% | – | – | 30% |
- Al Gross vs. Sarah Palin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Al Gross (I) |
Sarah Palin (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | March 25–29, 2022 | 728 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 40% | 42% | 19% |
- Al Gross vs. Josh Revak
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Al Gross (I) |
Josh Revak (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | March 25–29, 2022 | 728 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 35% | 34% | 31% |
By Borough
| Borough | TBD Republican |
TBD Democratic |
TBD Independent |
TBD Libertarian |
Margin | Total votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Aleutians East | |||||||||||
| Anchorage | |||||||||||
| Bristol Bay | |||||||||||
| Denali | |||||||||||
| Fairbanks North Star | |||||||||||
| Juneau | |||||||||||
| Kenai Peninsula | |||||||||||
| Ketchikan Gateway | |||||||||||
| Kodiak Island | |||||||||||
| Lake and Peninsula | |||||||||||
| Matanuska-Susitna | |||||||||||
| North Slope | |||||||||||
| Northwest Arctic | |||||||||||
| Petersburg | |||||||||||
| Sitka | |||||||||||
| Skagway | |||||||||||
| Unorganized | |||||||||||
| Wrangell | |||||||||||
| Yakutat | |||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||
By Census Areas
| Census Areas | TBD Republican |
TBD Democratic |
TBD Independent |
TBD Libertarian |
Margin | Total votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | # | % | ||
| Aleutians West | |||||||||||
| Bethel | |||||||||||
| Chugach | |||||||||||
| Copper River | |||||||||||
| Dillingham | |||||||||||
| Hoonah-Angoon | |||||||||||
| Kusilvak | |||||||||||
| Nome | |||||||||||
| Prince of Wales-Hyder | |||||||||||
| Southeast Fairbanks | |||||||||||
| Yukon-Koyukuk | |||||||||||
| Total | |||||||||||
Notes
- The images in this gallery are in the public domain or are otherwise free to use. This gallery should not be construed as a list of major or noteworthy candidates. If a candidate is not included in this gallery, it is only because there are no high-quality, copyright-free photographs of them available on the Internet.
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
- Partisan clients
- This poll was sponsored by 314 Action, which supports Gross
References
- Miller, Andrew Mark (March 18, 2022). "Alaska Republican Congressman Don Young dead at 88". Fox News. Retrieved March 18, 2022.
- Herz, Nathaniel; Brooks, James (March 22, 2022). "After Young's death, Alaska's political world braces for a sea change and an elections marathon". Anchorage Daily News. Archived from the original on March 22, 2022. Retrieved March 22, 2022.
- Brooks, James (March 19, 2022). "Alaska's first ranked-choice election will be a special vote to replace Rep. Don Young". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- "2022 Special Primary Election for U.S. Representative". Alaska Division of Elections. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- "Begich, Constant to Run in Special Alaska US House Election". Associated Press. March 21, 2022. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- Samuels, Iris; Herz, Nathaniel; Brooks, James (April 2, 2022). "51 candidates: A wild U.S. House race takes shape in Alaska". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- Bohrer, Becky (March 28, 2022). "Gross, Coghill say they plan to run for Alaska US House seat". San Francisco Chronicle. Associated Press. Archived from the original on March 29, 2022. Retrieved March 29, 2022.
- "Robert Lyons". Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
- Ulloa, Jazmine; Peters, Jeremy W. (April 2, 2022). "Sarah Palin Announces She's Running for Congress in Alaska". The New York Times.
- Downing, Suzanne (March 23, 2022). "Revak to file for Congress to replace Don Young". Retrieved March 24, 2022.
- BOHRER, BECKY (April 2, 2022). "Palin joins 50 others in running for Alaska US House seat". Alton Telegraph.
- Herz, Nathaniel (March 26, 2022). "An array of Alaska politicians ponder bids in the "absolute jungle" of elections to replace U.S. Rep. Don Young". Anchorage Daily News. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- "Stephen Wright (Alaska)". Ballotpedia. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
- "Alaska's U.S. House candidate field expands as Friday deadline nears". Anchorage Daily News.
- "Emil Notti, who ran against Don Young in 1973, jumps into the race". www.adn.com/. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
- "Candidate list keeps growing with former lawmaker Mary Sattler Peltola". www.adn.com/. Retrieved April 1, 2022.
- Hickman, Matt (March 21, 2022). "Rumors swirl, but Al Gross remains the only newcomer who's a virtual lock to enter race to replace Don Young". Anchorage Press. Retrieved March 26, 2022.
- O'Hara, Ashlyn (April 2, 2022). "Soldotna resident joins bid for US House seat". Peninsula Clarion. Retrieved April 2, 2022.
- Matt Hickman (March 19, 2022). "Source: Gross running for Congressional seat vacated by Young's passing". Anchorage Press. Retrieved March 21, 2022.
- Pellegrini, Silvio (April 6, 2022). "LinkedIn Profile". LinkedIn.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link) - "Sarah Palin gets national endorsements, as Nick Begich keeps racking up local Alaskan endorsements". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- https://mustreadalaska.com/nick-begich-for-congress-receives-endorsement-of-alaska-republican-party/
- "Nick Begich III speaks to News of the North".
- https://mustreadalaska.com/surprise-endorsement-for-nick-begich-for-congress-comes-from-the-heart-of-palin-world/
- "Trump endorses Palin in Alaska House special election". Politico. April 3, 2022. Retrieved April 3, 2022.
- "Nikki Haley returns the favor: endorses Sarah Palin for Congress". The Post and Courier. Retrieved April 3, 2022.
- https://www.instagram.com/p/Cc3wR4MPaOt/
- "Meet Sarah Palin's Jewish opponent in Alaska's crowded Congressional race". The Forward. Retrieved April 12, 2022.
- "Don Young's wife endorses Revak in Alaska House race". The Hill. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- "Tara Sweeney kicks off campaign for Congress, names campaign manager Karina Waller, others in key positions". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- "With 64 days to special primary to replace Don Young, congressional candidates are on the move around Alaska". Must Read Alaska. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- "Revak, Sweeney get endorsements in bid for Alaska House seat". The Seattle Times. Associated Press. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- Wasserman, Dave (March 22, 2022). "Alaska's House Seat Remains in Solid Republican Following Young's Death". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved March 23, 2022.
- Rubashkin, Jacob (April 14, 2022). "Alaska At-Large Special: Frontier Fiasco". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 14, 2022.
- Kondik, Kyle (March 24, 2022). "Notes on the State of Politics: March 24, 2022". Retrieved March 24, 2022.
- "2022 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2022.
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