2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 3, 2020, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe won reelection to a fifth full term, defeating Democratic challenger Abby Broyles.[1]

2020 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

November 3, 2020
 
Nominee Jim Inhofe Abby Broyles
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 979,140 509,763
Percentage 62.9% 32.8%

County results
Inhofe:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%

U.S. senator before election

Jim Inhofe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Jim Inhofe
Republican

This proved to be the fifth U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma in a row in which the Democratic nominee failed to carry any of Oklahoma's counties, but Broyles came very close to breaking this drought, losing Oklahoma County by less than one percentage point.

Republican primary

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Jim Inhofe
Federal officials
State officials

Results

Results by county:
Inhofe
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 277,868 74.05%
Republican J.J. Stitt 57,433 15.31%
Republican John Tompkins 23,563 6.28%
Republican Neil Mavis 16,363 4.36%
Total votes 375,227 100.0%

Democratic primary

Nominee

  • Abby Broyles, attorney and former KFOR news reporter[9]

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

  • Dylan Billings, political science professor[10]
  • Tyler Dougherty, software developer[9]
  • Bevon Rogers, former oil and gas industrialist,[11] instead ran for State Senate[12]
  • Paul Tay, primary candidate for Mayor of Tulsa in 2016[13]
  • Perry Williams[13]
  • Mike Workman, political consultant, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016, and nominee for Oklahoma Labor Commissioner in 2014[10][14]

Declined

Endorsements

Abby Broyles
Organizations
Unions
  • Oklahoma Building Trades[17]

Results

Results by county:
Broyles
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
  •   40–50%
  •   30–40%
Cassity
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Abby Broyles 163,921 60.45%
Democratic Elysabeth Britt 45,206 16.67%
Democratic Sheila Bilyeu 32,350 11.93%
Democratic R. O. Joe Cassity, Jr. 29,698 10.95%
Total votes 271,175 100.0%

Other candidates

Nominee

  • Robert Murphy, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2016[18]

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[19] Safe R October 29, 2020
Inside Elections[20] Safe R October 28, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[21] Safe R November 2, 2020
Daily Kos[22] Safe R October 30, 2020
Politico[23] Safe R November 2, 2020
RCP[24] Safe R October 23, 2020
DDHQ[25] Safe R November 3, 2020
538[26] Safe R November 2, 2020
Economist[27] Safe R November 2, 2020

Endorsements

Jim Inhofe (R)
Federal officials
State officials
Abby Broyles (D)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
Local Officials
Organizations
Unions

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Abby
Broyles (D)
Other Undecided
SoonerPoll October 15–20, 2020 5,466 (LV) ± 1.33% 56% 37% 2%[lower-alpha 2] 4%
Amber Integrated September 17–20, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 46% 30% 5%[lower-alpha 3] 19%
SoonerPoll September 2–8, 2020 486 (LV) ± 4.45% 57% 33% 3%[lower-alpha 4] 6%
DFM Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] July 29–30, 2020 572 (LV) ± 4.1% 50% 34% 5%[lower-alpha 5] 11%
Amber Integrated March 5–8, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 57% 31% 12%
Abby Broyles[upper-alpha 1] Released February 17, 2020 – (V)[lower-alpha 6] 56% 44%
Hypothetical polling
with generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Jim
Inhofe (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Amber Integrated June 3–4, 2020 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 54% 34% 12%

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020[38]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Jim Inhofe (incumbent) 979,140 62.91% -5.10%
Democratic Abby Broyles 509,763 32.75% +4.20%
Libertarian Robert Murphy 34,435 2.21% N/A
Independent Joan Farr 21,652 1.39% +0.11%
Independent A. D. Nesbit 11,371 0.73% N/A
Total votes 1,556,361 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. Poll conducted for Abby Broyles.
Voter samples and additional candidates
  1. Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Farr (I), Murphy (L) and Nesbitt (I) with 1%
  3. Murphy (L) and Nesbit (I) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  4. Murphy (L) with 2%; Farr (I) with 1%
  5. "Independent candidate" with 5%
  6. Not yet released

References

  1. "Inhofe says he's seeking another term in Senate". KTUL. Associated Press. March 5, 2020. Archived from the original on April 4, 2020. Retrieved March 6, 2020.
  2. Krehbiel, Randy (June 7, 2020). "U.S. Senate primary draws lively competition despite Inhofe's decades dominating at polls". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on June 16, 2020. Retrieved June 16, 2020.
  3. Krehbiel, Randy (October 27, 2019). "Inspired by Oklahoma's governor, another Stitt is running for U.S. Senate". Tulsa World. Archived from the original on October 31, 2019. Retrieved October 31, 2019.
  4. Davenport, Coral (March 17, 2018). "Scott Pruitt, Trump's Rule-Cutting E.P.A. Chief, Plots His Political Future". The New York Times. Archived from the original on March 21, 2021. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  5. Trump, Donald [@realDonaldTrump] (March 9, 2020). "THANK YOU, Jim, for your incredible support of our #MAGA Agenda! You are a tremendous Senator for the people of the Great State of Oklahoma and you have my Complete and Total Endorsement! t.co/yx3e1tmjCM" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  6. Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 24, 2020). "Thank you Congressman Lucas for your kind words. Proud to represent the citizens of Oklahoma alongside you and excited for the future of our great state. t.co/zsGHMjOciQ" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  7. Inhofe, Jim [@inhofeforsenate] (June 16, 2020). ""Jim is a close friend. Jim Inhofe is Oklahoma's stable rock in turbulent times." @GovStitt t.co/xpDoxb5fSv" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  8. "OK Election Results". Oklahoma Secretary of State. Archived from the original on July 1, 2020. Retrieved June 30, 2020.
  9. Savage, Tres (November 4, 2019). "Abby Broyles is fifth Dem to file against Jim Inhofe". Non Doc. Archived from the original on December 15, 2019. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  10. Simmons, Beau (August 16, 2019). "Incoming OSU instructor launches U.S. Senate campaign". Stillwater News Press. Archived from the original on August 26, 2019. Retrieved August 25, 2019.
  11. Bach, Tawnya (November 1, 2019). "Coffee With The Candidates: Bevon Rogers". KOAM News. Archived from the original on January 1, 2020. Retrieved January 5, 2020.
  12. "Filing data". www.ok.gov. Archived from the original on June 12, 2020. Retrieved June 29, 2020.
  13. "United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2020". Ballotpedia. Archived from the original on March 19, 2020. Retrieved May 15, 2020.
  14. "Workman 4 Oklahoma". www.facebook.com. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved April 10, 2020.
  15. "Crap. Scott Pruitt wants to be Oklahoma's next U.S. Senator". The Last Ogle. August 15, 2017. Archived from the original on January 11, 2020. Retrieved August 29, 2019.
  16. "2020 Federal Endorsements – NOW PAC". nowpac.org. Archived from the original on June 15, 2020. Retrieved June 18, 2020.
  17. Broyles, Abby [@abbybroyles] (March 2, 2020). "I'm excited to announce I've been endorsed by Oklahoma Building Trades! This organization represents thousands of Oklahoma workers that I look forward to supporting in the US Senate. Join our team! t.co/gzXLcfAqSB -AB t.co/C72wvdmdlN" (Tweet). Retrieved December 23, 2020 via Twitter.
  18. "Murphy for Senate 2020". secure.anedot.com. Archived from the original on April 6, 2020. Retrieved April 6, 2020.
  19. "2020 Senate Race Ratings for October 29, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on May 30, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  20. "2020 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Archived from the original on March 13, 2021. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  21. "2020 Senate race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Archived from the original on March 1, 2021. Retrieved March 12, 2021.
  22. "2020 Senate Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  23. "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. November 19, 2019. Archived from the original on June 20, 2020. Retrieved December 2, 2019.
  24. "Battle for the Senate 2020". RCP. October 23, 2020. Archived from the original on March 16, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  25. "2020 Senate Elections Model". Decision Desk HQ. September 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved September 2, 2020.
  26. Silver, Nate (September 18, 2020). "Forecasting the race for the Senate". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on September 20, 2020. Retrieved September 18, 2020.
  27. "Forecasting the US elections". The Economist. November 2, 2020. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved March 13, 2021.
  28. "Endorsements | Warren Democrats". elizabethwarren.com. Archived from the original on January 7, 2021. Retrieved September 15, 2020.
  29. Swalwell, Eric [@ericswalwell] (July 1, 2020). "#FactCheck: Sen. Inhofe won't stand up for Oklahoma soldiers Trump may have allowed Russians to target. But @abbybroyles will. Flip the senate with Abby" (Tweet) via Twitter.
  30. "Endorsed Candidates". Hertime. Archived from the original on September 27, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  31. "Archived copy". Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved October 17, 2020.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  32. "End Citizens United and Let America Vote Endorse Slate of Candidates Committed to Fighting the Status Quo in Washington". End Citizens United. July 30, 2020. Archived from the original on August 14, 2020. Retrieved September 21, 2020.
  33. {cite webtitle=Endorsed Candidates – National Women's Political Caucus PAC|url=https://www.nwpc.org/endorsedcandidates/} Archived October 14, 2021, at the Wayback Machine
  34. "2020 Endorsements - Patriotic Millionaires". patrioticmillionaires.org. Archived from the original on September 28, 2020. Retrieved September 23, 2020.
  35. "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club. March 19, 2021. Archived from the original on December 8, 2019. Retrieved September 28, 2020.
  36. "U.S. Senate - Education Votes". educationvotes.nea.org. Archived from the original on January 6, 2021. Retrieved November 3, 2020.
  37. "Oklahoma – Official UAW Endorsements". uawendorsements.org. United Automobile Workers. Archived from the original on October 14, 2021. Retrieved September 3, 2020.
  38. "November 3, 2020 - Official Results". Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original on January 5, 2021. Retrieved November 11, 2020.
Official campaign websites
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