2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas
The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the four U.S. representatives from the state of Arkansas, one from each of the state's four congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
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All 4 Arkansas seats to the United States House of Representatives | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Arkansas |
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Overview
District
Results of the 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Arkansas by district:[1]
| District | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian | Total | Result | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | Votes | % | ||
| District 1 | 237,596 | 100% | 0 | 0.00% | 0 | 0.00% | 237,596 | 100% | Republican Hold |
| District 2 | 184,093 | 55.37% | 148,410 | 44.63% | 0 | 0.00% | 332,503 | 100% | Republican Hold |
| District 3 | 214,960 | 64.31% | 106,325 | 31.81% | 12,977 | 3.88% | 334,262 | 100% | Republican Hold |
| District 4 | 191,617 | 69.67% | 75,750 | 27.54% | 7,668 | 2.79% | 275,035 | 100% | Republican Hold |
| Total | 828,266 | 70.23% | 330,485 | 28.02% | 20,645 | 1.75% | 1,179,396 | 100% | |
District 1
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The 1st district encompasses northeastern Arkansas, taking in Jonesboro and West Memphis. The incumbent is Republican Rick Crawford, who was re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Rick Crawford, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[7] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Rick Crawford (incumbent) | 237,596 | 100.0 | |
| Total votes | 237,596 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 2
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The 2nd district takes in Central Arkansas, including Little Rock and the surrounding exurbs. The incumbent is Republican French Hill, who was re-elected with 52.1% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- French Hill, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Declared
- Joyce Elliott, state senator[11]
Endorsements
Joyce Elliott
- Former U.S. executive branch officials
- Barack Obama, former President of the United States (2009-2017, former Senator from Illinois (2005-2008)[12]
- Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States and 2020 Democratic nominee for President[13]
- Organizations
- Congressional Black Caucus[14]
- Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee[15]
- EMILY's List[16]
- Equality PAC[17]
- Human Rights Campaign[18]
- League of Conservation Voters Action Fund[19]
- NARAL Pro-Choice America[20]
- National Association of Social Workers[21]
- National Women's Political Caucus[22]
- Peace Action[23]
- Planned Parenthood Action Fund[24]
- Sierra Club[25]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Tossup | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[7] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Tossup | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[9] | Lean R | November 2, 2020 |
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
French Hill (R) |
Joyce Elliott (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Change Research | October 29 – November 2, 2020 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 48% | 48% | 4%[lower-alpha 2] | 1% |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | October 16–21, 2020 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 47% | 47% | – | – |
| Hendrix College | October 11–13, 2020 | 644 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 46% | 46% | – | 9% |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | September 27–29, 2020 | 511 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 48% | 48% | – | – |
| Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[upper-alpha 2] | September 10–16, 2020 | 605 (LV) | – | 46% | 48% | – | – |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | September 9–13, 2020 | 511 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | – | 50% | 46% | – | – |
| Hendrix College/TalkBusiness | September 4–9, 2020 | 698 (LV) | ± 4.3% | 48% | 46% | – | 7% |
| ALG Research (D)[upper-alpha 1] | June 18–24, 2020 | 511 (LV)[lower-alpha 3] | – | 50% | 43% | – | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | French Hill (incumbent) | 184,093 | 55.4 | |
| Democratic | Joyce Elliott | 148,410 | 44.6 | |
| Total votes | 332,503 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 3
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The 3rd district covers northwestern Arkansas, including Bentonville, Fayetteville, Springdale and Fort Smith. The incumbent is Republican Steve Womack, who was re-elected with 64.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Steve Womack, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Declared
- Celeste Williams, nurse practitioner[26]
Declared
- Michael Kalagias (Libertarian), candidate for Arkansas's 3rd congressional district in 2018 and candidate for Arkansas House of Representatives in 2014 and 2016[3]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[7] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Steve Womack (incumbent) | 214,960 | 64.3 | |
| Democratic | Celeste Williams | 106,325 | 31.8 | |
| Libertarian | Michael Kalagias | 12,977 | 3.9 | |
| Total votes | 334,262 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
District 4
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The 4th district encompasses southwestern Arkansas, taking in Camden, Hope, Hot Springs, Magnolia, Pine Bluff, and Texarkana. The incumbent is Republican Bruce Westerman, who was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2018.[2]
Declared
- Bruce Westerman, incumbent U.S. Representative[3]
Declared
- William Hanson, former law professor[27]
Declared
- Frank Gilbert (Libertarian), former mayor of Tull and former Grant County coroner[3]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[4] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Inside Elections[5] | Safe R | October 28, 2020 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Politico[7] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| Daily Kos[8] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
| RCP[9] | Safe R | November 2, 2020 |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Bruce Westerman (incumbent) | 191,617 | 69.7 | |
| Democratic | William Hanson | 75,750 | 27.5 | |
| Libertarian | Frank Gilbert | 7,668 | 2.8 | |
| Total votes | 275,035 | 100.0 | ||
| Republican hold | ||||
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - "Don't recall" with 3%; Did not vote with 1%; Would not vote with 0%
- Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
- Partisan clients
- Poll sponsored by Elliott's campaign.
- Poll sponsored by EMILY's List.
References
- Johnson, Cheryl L. (February 28, 2019). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 3, 2020". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives.
- Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (November 7, 2018). "2018 House Popular Vote Tracker". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on April 3, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- "Arkansas Secretary of State". www.ark.org.
- "2020 House Race Ratings for November 2, 2020". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- "2020 House Ratings". House Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- "2020 House race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- "2020 Election Forecast". Politico. April 5, 2021.
- "2020 House Race Ratings". Daily Kos Elections. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- "Battle for House 2020". RCP. Retrieved April 5, 2021.
- "2020 General Election and Nonpartisan Judicial Runoff". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 25, 2020.
- "State Sen. Joyce Elliott to challenge Rep. French Hill in 2020 election". November 12, 2019. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
- Obama, Barack (August 3, 2020). "First Wave of 2020 Endorsements". Medium.
- "Democratic nominee Joe Biden formally endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". KATV. September 18, 2020. Retrieved March 3, 2021.
- "| CBCPAC". www.cbcpac.org.
- "Red to Blue". Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. Archived from the original on October 7, 2020. Retrieved June 5, 2020.
- Schriock, Stephanie (June 16, 2020). "EMILY's List Endorses Joyce Elliott in Arkansas' 2nd Congressional District". www.emilyslist.org. EMILY's List.
- "Allies for Equality". Equality PAC. Retrieved January 9, 2021.
- Acosta, Lucas (June 3, 2020). "Human Rights Campaign Announces Pro-Equality Endorsements". Human Rights Campaign.
- Sittenfeld, Tiernan (July 15, 2020). "LCV Action Fund Endorses Joyce Elliott for Congress". League of Conservation Voters. LCV Action Fund.
- "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Slate of Reproductive Freedom Champions for U.S. House of Representatives". NARAL Pro-Choice America. July 10, 2020.
- "2020 PACE Endorsements". NASW.
- "Endorsed Candidates". NWPC.
- "PeaceVoter 2020 Endorsements". Peace Action.
- McGill Johnson, Alexis (May 20, 2020). "Planned Parenthood Action Fund Endorses Health Care Champions in Competitive Races". www.plannedparenthoodaction.org.
- "Sierra Club #ClimateVoter Guide: Endorsements". Sierra Club.
- "Democrat Celeste Williams Announces Bid For Womack's US House Seat In Arkansas". 5News Web. August 14, 2019. Retrieved August 16, 2019.
- "Democrat announces campaign for south Arkansas US congress seat held by Republican". September 6, 2019. Retrieved September 6, 2019.
External links
- Government Documents Round Table of the American Library Association, "Arkansas", Voting & Elections Toolkits
- "Arkansas: Election Tools, Deadlines, Dates, Rules, and Links", Vote.org, Oakland, CA
- "League of Women Voters of Arkansas". (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
- Arkansas at Ballotpedia
- Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates
- Joyce Elliott (D) for Congress Archived February 22, 2020, at the Wayback Machine
- French Hill (R) for Congress
- Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates
- Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates
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