2004 United States Senate election in Indiana
The 2004 United States Senate election in Indiana was held on November 2, 2004. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator Evan Bayh won re-election to a second term. As of 2022, this was the last time the Democrats have won the Class 3 Senate seat from Indiana. Bayh won 86 of the state's 92 counties.
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 County results Bayh: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% Scott: 40–50% 50–60% | |||||||||||||||||
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| Elections in Indiana |
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Major candidates
Democratic
- Evan Bayh, incumbent U.S. Senator
Republican
- Marvin Scott, Professor at Butler University
Campaign
In September, Bayh had $6.5 million cash on hand.[1] Scott's strategy of trying to paint Bayh as too liberal failed to gain traction.[2]
In early 2004, Bayh was considered a serious contender for the Vice Presidency as the running mate of Massachusetts Senator John Kerry. Although Bayh was on the final shortlist, North Carolina Senator John Edwards was ultimately chosen instead.[3]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[4] | Safe D | November 1, 2004 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 1] |
Margin of error |
Evan Bayh (D) |
Marvin Scott (R) |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | October 27–29, 2004 | 586 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 61% | 34% | 5% |
Overall
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Evan Bayh (incumbent) | 1,496,976 | 61.7% | ||
| Republican | Marvin Scott | 903,913 | 37.2% | ||
| Libertarian | Albert Barger | 27,344 | 1.1% | ||
| Total votes | 2,428,233 | 100.0% | |||
| Democratic hold | |||||
By county
Bayh won 86 of Indiana's counties compared to 6 for Scott.[6]
| County | Bayh | Votes | Scott | Votes | Barger | Votes | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | 57.4% | 7,551 | 41.6% | 5,476 | 1.0% | 126 | 13,153 |
| Allen | 57.8% | 74,011 | 41.3% | 52,845 | 0.9% | 1,126 | 127,982 |
| Bartholomew | 58.4% | 16,507 | 40.4% | 11,422 | 1.1% | 316 | 28,245 |
| Benton | 63.0% | 2,501 | 35.3% | 1,400 | 1.7% | 69 | 3,970 |
| Blackford | 69.1% | 3,694 | 30.1% | 1,609 | 0.8% | 42 | 5,345 |
| Boone | 48.8% | 11,074 | 50.0% | 11,343 | 1.1% | 255 | 22,672 |
| Brown | 59.7% | 4,336 | 38.6% | 2,803 | 1.7% | 125 | 7,264 |
| Carroll | 59.7% | 5,067 | 39.3% | 3,331 | 1.0% | 85 | 8,483 |
| Cass | 56.8% | 7,873 | 42.1% | 5,829 | 1.1% | 159 | 13,861 |
| Clark | 62.8% | 26,054 | 36.4% | 15,091 | 0.9% | 368 | 41,513 |
| Clay | 64.9% | 6,928 | 34.0% | 3,629 | 1.0% | 112 | 10,669 |
| Clinton | 56.3% | 6,600 | 42.8% | 5,011 | 0.9% | 108 | 11,719 |
| Crawford | 63.6% | 2,832 | 35.3% | 1,572 | 1.1% | 47 | 4,451 |
| Daviess | 56.4% | 5,891 | 42.6% | 4,447 | 1.0% | 107 | 10,445 |
| Dearborn | 45.7% | 9,264 | 52.7% | 10,675 | 1.5% | 311 | 20,250 |
| Decatur | 61.3% | 6,173 | 37.8% | 3,808 | 0.9% | 88 | 10,069 |
| DeKalb | 56.2% | 8,529 | 43.0% | 6,523 | 0.9% | 132 | 15,184 |
| Delaware | 69.5% | 32,312 | 29.3% | 13,627 | 1.2% | 580 | 46,519 |
| Dubois | 66.2% | 11,166 | 33.0% | 5,560 | 0.8% | 136 | 16,862 |
| Elkhart | 51.2% | 31,186 | 47.9% | 29,168 | 0.9% | 546 | 60,900 |
| Fayette | 64.0% | 5,961 | 34.5% | 3,212 | 1.4% | 134 | 9,307 |
| Floyd | 62.1% | 20,898 | 36.9% | 12,412 | 1.0% | 332 | 33,642 |
| Fountain | 60.1% | 4,532 | 39.2% | 2,955 | 0.8% | 60 | 7,547 |
| Franklin | 53.5% | 5,247 | 44.8% | 4,395 | 1.7% | 171 | 9,813 |
| Fulton | 60.7% | 5,264 | 38.3% | 3,324 | 1.0% | 91 | 8,679 |
| Gibson | 69.6% | 10,110 | 29.5% | 4,289 | 0.9% | 129 | 14,528 |
| Grant | 61.4% | 16,620 | 37.6% | 10,189 | 0.9% | 256 | 27,065 |
| Greene | 64.7% | 8,336 | 34.2% | 4,402 | 1.1% | 137 | 12,875 |
| Hamilton | 46.4% | 48,001 | 52.6% | 54,408 | 0.9% | 970 | 103,379 |
| Hancock | 52.3% | 14,548 | 46.6% | 12,941 | 1.1% | 309 | 27,798 |
| Harrison | 59.0% | 10,094 | 39.9% | 6,824 | 1.1% | 180 | 17,098 |
| Hendricks | 48.0% | 24,844 | 51.1% | 26,441 | 0.9% | 486 | 51,771 |
| Henry | 62.6% | 12,666 | 36.1% | 7,312 | 1.3% | 254 | 20,232 |
| Howard | 58.9% | 21,732 | 40.1% | 14,776 | 1.0% | 368 | 36,876 |
| Huntington | 52.8% | 8,125 | 46.2% | 7,103 | 1.0% | 160 | 15,388 |
| Jackson | 62.2% | 10,071 | 36.7% | 5,944 | 1.1% | 171 | 16,186 |
| Jasper | 49.2% | 5,727 | 49.6% | 5,772 | 1.1% | 130 | 11,629 |
| Jay | 63.5% | 5,117 | 35.3% | 2,845 | 1.2% | 94 | 8,056 |
| Jefferson | 61.4% | 7,794 | 37.5% | 4,764 | 1.1% | 142 | 12,700 |
| Jennings | 60.9% | 6,349 | 37.9% | 3,944 | 1.2% | 125 | 10,418 |
| Johnson | 53.2% | 27,149 | 45.8% | 23,330 | 1.0% | 506 | 50,985 |
| Knox | 71.5% | 11,130 | 27.5% | 4,275 | 1.0% | 155 | 15,560 |
| Kosciusko | 45.7% | 12,554 | 53.0% | 14,574 | 1.3% | 369 | 27,497 |
| LaGrange | 54.3% | 4,865 | 44.7% | 4,006 | 1.0% | 90 | 8,961 |
| Lake | 71.4% | 130,450 | 27.3% | 49,919 | 1.3% | 2,320 | 182,689 |
| LaPorte | 69.7% | 28,826 | 28.3% | 11,685 | 2.0% | 840 | 41,351 |
| Lawrence | 52.4% | 9,132 | 46.2% | 8,064 | 1.4% | 242 | 17,438 |
| Madison | 64.3% | 34,379 | 34.7% | 18,541 | 1.0% | 524 | 53,444 |
| Marion | 66.0% | 210,107 | 33.0% | 104,819 | 1.0% | 3,047 | 317,973 |
| Marshall | 57.5% | 10,111 | 41.5% | 7,293 | 1.0% | 174 | 17,578 |
| Martin | 66.7% | 3,297 | 32.1% | 1,587 | 1.2% | 58 | 5,058 |
| Miami | 54.5% | 7,339 | 44.3% | 5,967 | 1.2% | 168 | 13,474 |
| Monroe | 68.9% | 33,821 | 29.3% | 14,396 | 1.8% | 880 | 49,097 |
| Montgomery | 59.9% | 8,651 | 39.0% | 5,635 | 1.1% | 159 | 14,445 |
| Morgan | 50.1% | 12,878 | 48.7% | 12,498 | 1.2% | 313 | 25,689 |
| Newton | 55.7% | 3,225 | 42.7% | 2,475 | 1.6% | 91 | 5,791 |
| Noble | 57.0% | 8,853 | 42.0% | 6,527 | 1.0% | 160 | 15,540 |
| Ohio | 54.4% | 1,572 | 44.3% | 1,282 | 1.3% | 37 | 2,891 |
| Orange | 61.1% | 5,056 | 37.8% | 3,127 | 1.1% | 89 | 8,272 |
| Owen | 60.5% | 4,538 | 38.0% | 2,851 | 1.5% | 114 | 7,503 |
| Parke | 65.9% | 4,480 | 33.0% | 2,249 | 1.1% | 78 | 6,807 |
| Perry | 71.6% | 5,790 | 27.6% | 2,234 | 0.8% | 62 | 8,086 |
| Pike | 69.8% | 4,209 | 29.3% | 1,765 | 1.0% | 59 | 6,033 |
| Porter | 63.9% | 39,876 | 34.3% | 21,411 | 1.9% | 1,159 | 62,446 |
| Posey | 69.0% | 8,052 | 30.2% | 3,523 | 0.8% | 88 | 11,663 |
| Pulaski | 59.1% | 3,328 | 39.7% | 2,236 | 1.2% | 65 | 5,629 |
| Putnam | 59.1% | 7,683 | 39.9% | 5,185 | 1.0% | 134 | 13,002 |
| Randolph | 61.9% | 6,625 | 36.8% | 3,943 | 1.2% | 133 | 10,701 |
| Ripley | 53.3% | 6,212 | 45.3% | 5,282 | 1.4% | 168 | 11,662 |
| Rush | 58.7% | 4,316 | 40.2% | 2,962 | 1.1% | 83 | 7,361 |
| Saint Joseph | 70.0% | 75,340 | 29.2% | 31,372 | 0.8% | 886 | 107,598 |
| Scott | 70.7% | 6,070 | 28.3% | 2,435 | 1.0% | 85 | 8,590 |
| Shelby | 56.7% | 8,986 | 42.4% | 6,717 | 0.9% | 136 | 15,839 |
| Spencer | 65.7% | 6,495 | 33.6% | 3,317 | 0.7% | 74 | 9,886 |
| Starke | 67.8% | 6,108 | 30.6% | 2,762 | 1.6% | 142 | 9,012 |
| Steuben | 58.7% | 7,447 | 40.0% | 5,070 | 1.3% | 169 | 12,686 |
| Sullivan | 73.6% | 6,072 | 25.4% | 2,099 | 1.0% | 79 | 8,250 |
| Switzerland | 59.6% | 2,148 | 38.9% | 1,404 | 1.5% | 53 | 3,605 |
| Tippecanoe | 63.5% | 32,766 | 34.9% | 18,002 | 1.6% | 837 | 51,605 |
| Tipton | 58.5% | 4,557 | 40.4% | 3,142 | 1.1% | 87 | 7,786 |
| Union | 54.6% | 1,777 | 43.6% | 1,417 | 1.8% | 58 | 3,252 |
| Vanderburgh | 67.6% | 46,088 | 31.2% | 21,242 | 1.2% | 817 | 68,147 |
| Vermillion | 78.0% | 5,468 | 21.1% | 1,480 | 0.9% | 66 | 7,014 |
| Vigo | 75.3% | 29,828 | 23.5% | 9,307 | 1.2% | 492 | 39,627 |
| Wabash | 51.6% | 6,853 | 47.5% | 6,313 | 0.8% | 111 | 13,277 |
| Warren | 61.1% | 2,357 | 37.7% | 1,454 | 1.2% | 48 | 3,859 |
| Warrick | 62.2% | 15,572 | 37.0% | 9,260 | 0.8% | 205 | 25,037 |
| Washington | 58.4% | 6,270 | 40.1% | 4,304 | 1.5% | 156 | 10,730 |
| Wayne | 58.5% | 16,081 | 39.4% | 10,821 | 2.1% | 584 | 27,486 |
| Wells | 53.5% | 6,532 | 45.7% | 5,583 | 0.8% | 103 | 12,218 |
| White | 64.4% | 6,667 | 34.6% | 3,589 | 1.0% | 108 | 10,364 |
| Whitley | 55.6% | 7,405 | 43.3% | 5,761 | 1.1% | 146 | 13,312 |
See also
Notes
- Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear
References
- http://0-infoweb.newsbank.com/iw-search/we/InfoWeb?p_product=NewsBank&p_theme=aggregated5&p_action=doc&p_docid=1053DC1A4A663CC3&p_docnum=4&p_queryname=29
- http://0-infoweb.newsbank.com/iw-search/we/InfoWeb?p_product=NewsBank&p_theme=aggregated5&p_action=doc&p_docid=10C85E772BA661DD&p_docnum=3&p_queryname=23
- "Evan Bayh: The New Perennial Bridesmaid?". The New York Observer. 19 August 2008.
- "The Final Predictions". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved May 2, 2021.
- "United States Senator". Indiana of Secretary of State. November 2, 2004. Retrieved November 8, 2008.
- "United States Senator by County". Indiana Secretary of State. November 2, 2004. Retrieved November 8, 2008.
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